February 27, 2008

Gallup Daily: Tracking Election 2008

Based on polling conducted Feb. 24-26, 2008

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama has a 48% to 43% lead over Hillary Clinton in Gallup Poll Daily tracking of national Democratic preferences. John McCain leads Mike Huckabee among national Republicans 63% to 22%.

Gallup Poll Daily tracking conducted Feb. 24-26 shows Obama leading Clinton by a margin of five percentage points, 48% to 43%. This is the first time in a week that either Democratic frontrunner has eked out a significant advantage in the race in the tracking poll. Obama was last ahead Feb. 17-19 in Gallup Poll Daily tracking, when he also led Clinton by five points, 47% to 42%. Clinton has not had a significant lead in nearly three weeks (since Feb. 7-9).

National Republican preferences for the GOP presidential nomination have been at a standstill for about a week, with McCain consistently leading Huckabee by 40 to 45 percentage points.

In the latest three day rolling average, McCain is favored by 63% of Republican voters (including independents who lean Republican) and Huckabee is favored by 22% -- a 41-point margin for McCain. -- Lydia Saad

Methodology: Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008. The results reported here are based on combined data from Feb. 24-26, 2008, including interviews with 1,012 Republican and Republican-leaning voters, and 1,215 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters. For results based on these samples, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

Gallup Poll: Election 2008
Click here for Gallup's complete coverage of Election 2008, including up-to-the-minute reports, our editors' blog, and key indicators to watch.
Gallup Poll: Election 2008

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Gallup's World Poll reveals new findings on the "great global dream" and how it will affect the rise of the next economic empire. Jim Clifton, Gallup's chairman and CEO, offers an in-depth analysis of the study's implications for leaders. Read the article or download the pdf.

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