Politics

Gallup Daily: Race Steady at Obama 49%, Clinton 46%

General election looks too close to call for either Democrat

PRINCETON, NJ -- National Democratic voters remain closely divided in their preferences for the Democratic presidential nomination, with 49% supporting Barack Obama and 46% backing Hillary Clinton. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)

The latest results, based on Gallup Poll Daily tracking interviews conducted March 31 through April 2, are identical to those of the previous three-day rolling average.

Although Obama's three percentage point lead is within the poll's margin of error, today marks the twelfth consecutive Gallup Poll Daily tracking report in which he has had the edge over Clinton in national Democratic preferences. This long-term trend clearly points to a significant (albeit slim) advantage for Obama.

The General Election

One focus of the fierce battle for superdelegates between the Clinton and Obama campaigns is the question "who's more electable in the fall?" ABC News is reporting that both former President Bill Clinton and Sen. Clinton, herself, are telling superdelegates that Obama can't beat John McCain in the general election.

According to Gallup Poll Daily tracking interviews conducted March 29 through April 2, both Democrats are running neck and neck with McCain among national registered voters. -- Lydia Saad

Survey Methods

Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general election results are based on combined data from March 29-April 2, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,423 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 31-April 2, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,238 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

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Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/106108/Gallup-Daily-Democratic-Race-Steady-Obama-49-Clinton-46.aspx Gallup World Headquarters, 901 F Street, Washington, D.C., 20001, U.S.A +1 202.715.3030