April 12, 2008

Gallup Daily: Obama Leads Clinton 49% to 42%

Also has slight edge over McCain in general election preferences

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama continues to lead Hillary Clinton by an ample margin in national Democratic preferences for the nomination, now favored by 49% of Democratic voters to Clinton's 42%.

The latest results are based on interviews with national Democratic primary voters conducted April 9-11 and represent Obama's sixth straight day of leading Clinton by a significant margin in Gallup Poll Daily tracking reports. Obama's lead is substantially narrower in the two most recent days of interviews, however, suggesting the race could tighten in the coming days. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)

There has been no change since April 6-10 tracking in how Obama and Clinton each fare against their probable Republican presidential challenger, John McCain. In trial heats for the general election, Obama leads McCain by three percentage points, 46% to 43% while Clinton leads McCain by a narrower (and not statistically significant) 1-point margin, 46% to 45%. -- Lydia Saad

Survey Methods

For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general election results are based on combined data from April 7-11, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,400 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from April 9-11, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,197 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

To receive Gallup Poll Daily tracking reports each day as soon as they are published, please register here and add Gallup Daily to your e-mail subscriptions.

Gallup Poll: Election 2008
Click here for Gallup's complete coverage of Election 2008, including up-to-the-minute reports, our editors' blog, and key indicators to watch.
Gallup Poll: Election 2008

Global Migration Patterns
and Job Creation

Gallup's World Poll reveals new findings on the "great global dream" and how it will affect the rise of the next economic empire. Jim Clifton, Gallup's chairman and CEO, offers an in-depth analysis of the study's implications for leaders. Read the article or download the pdf.

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