Preferences nearly tied in each of the last three days
PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup Poll Daily tracking conducted April 25-27 shows Democrats closely divided in their nomination preferences, with 47% favoring Barack Obama and 46% backing Hillary Clinton.
The race has been stable at a virtual dead heat in each of the last four Gallup Poll Daily tracking reports. This follows Clinton's victory in the April 22 Pennsylvania Democratic primary -- an event which has helped Clinton challenge what had been a growing sense of inevitability around Obama winning the nomination. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)
Also, the two have been roughly tied in each individual day of polling included in today's three-day rolling average. Barring any political firestorms along the lines of the recent Rev. Jeremiah Wright and Kosovo controversies, the race could very well remain closely contested through at least the May 6 Indiana and North Carolina primaries.
There is also no change in national registered voter preferences for the fall, with Clinton beating John McCain by three percentage points, 47% to 44%, and Obama running even with McCain, each at 45%. -- Lydia Saad
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For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from April 25-27, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,230 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.
The general election results are based on combined data from April 23-27, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,346 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
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