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Gallup Daily: Obama 49%, Clinton 45%
Politics

Gallup Daily: Obama 49%, Clinton 45%

Clinton and Obama outpoll McCain in general election matchups

PRINCETON, NJ -- For the second consecutive day, Barack Obama maintains a slight advantage over Hillary Clinton in Democratic nomination preferences, 49% to 45%, according to May 8-10 Gallup Poll Daily tracking.

Some experts expected the race would dramatically turn in Obama's favor following the Indiana and North Carolina primaries. His decisive win in North Carolina and Clinton's narrow victory in Indiana made her odds of overcoming Obama's delegate lead longer, and his nomination seem inevitable. Since then, Obama has received a number of superdelegate endorsements to overtake Clinton on that count, but perhaps not the flood of endorsements some predicted. His support among the party rank and file as measured by Gallup Poll Daily tracking has also picked up nationally in recent days, though his four percentage point advantage does not attain statistical significance.

As a result, neither candidate has held a significant lead since Obama did so just prior to the Pennsylvania primaries in late April. Clinton last held a lead in mid-March (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here).

In the latest general election polling among registered voters, both Democrats hold slight advantages over likely Republican nominee John McCain -- Obama 47%, McCain 44% and Clinton 48%, McCain 44%. -- Jeff Jones

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Survey Methods

For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from May 8-10, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,285 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

The general election results are based on combined data from May 6-10, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,355 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

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