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Gallup Daily: Likely Voters (Traditional)

Gallup Daily: Likely Voters (Traditional)

Results based on a three-day rolling average

Date(s)% Obama% McCain
10/31-11/2/20085342
10/30-11/1/20085143
10/29-31/20085242
10/28-30/20085143
10/27-29/20085045
10/26-28/20084946
10/25-27/20084947
10/24-26/20085045
10/23-25/20085045
10/22-24/20085144
Gallup's "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections.


Gallup https://news.gallup.com/poll/111124/Gallup-Daily-Likely-Voters-Traditional.aspx
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