Gallup Daily: Likely Voters (Traditional)
Results based on a three-day rolling average
| % McCain | % Obama | |
|---|---|---|
| 10/12-14/2008 | 46.00 | 49.00 |
| 10/13-15/2008 | 47.00 | 49.00 |
| 10/14-16/2008 | 47.00 | 49.00 |
| 10/15-17/2008 | 47.00 | 49.00 |
| 10/16-18/2008 | 46.00 | 49.00 |
| 10/17-19/2008 | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| 10/18-20/2008 | 44.00 | 51.00 |
| 10/19-21/2008 | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| 10/20-22/2008 | 46.00 | 50.00 |
| 10/21-23/2008 | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| 10/22-24/2008 | 44.00 | 51.00 |
| 10/23-25/2008 | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| 10/24-26/2008 | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| 10/25-27/2008 | 47.00 | 49.00 |
| 10/26-28/2008 | 46.00 | 49.00 |
| 10/27-29/2008 | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| 10/28-30/2008 | 43.00 | 51.00 |
| 10/29-31/2008 | 42.00 | 52.00 |
| 10/30-11/1/2008 | 43.00 | 51.00 |
| 10/31-11/2/2008 | 42.00 | 53.00 |
Gallup's "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections.
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