In Depth: Topics A to Z

Election 2012

Do the following political officeholders deserve re-election?

How enthusiastic are you about voting for president in this year's election?

Congress Generic Ballot Question

Do you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle each of the following issues?

Have you been contacted about your vote for president in the last few weeks by the Obama/Romney campaign?

When did you decide for certain that you would vote for Obama/Romney?

Are you a first-time voter in a presidential election, or have you voted before?

Who do you think will win the November election? Obama or Romney?

Are the stakes in this presidential election higher than in previous years? Are you afraid of what will happen if your candidate for president does not win?

Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way [candidate's] campaign has been conducted?

Did you watch or listen to the presidential debate?

Who did the better job in the [first/second/third] debate?

Who did the better job in all three debates?

What is Obama's greatest strength?

What is Romney's greatest strength?

Have you seen an ad on TV for Obama/Romney in the last three days?

Have the campaign ads you have seen made you more certain or less certain whom you will support for president?

Have the presidential campaign ads made you feel more excited about the campaign or have they turned you off to the campaign?

Candidate Who Will Do a Better Job in the Presidential Debates


Trend: Would Barack Obama/Mitt Romney/Neither/Both Be Good Presidents?


Trend: Obama/Romney: Are His Political Views Too Conservative, About Right, or Too Liberal?


How will the U.S. economy fare under an Obama/under a Romney presidency?


Status of Groups: Better Off Under Obama or Romney Presidency?


How much did the recent political conventions affect your vote for president -- a great deal, a fair amount, not much, or not at all?

Just your best guess, how much will the upcoming presidential debates affect your vote for president -- a great deal, a fair amount, not much, or not at all?

2012 Presidential Ballot

Trend: From what you know about the campaign so far, would you say Barack Obama has been attacking Mitt Romney unfairly, or not?

From what you know about the campaign so far, would you say Mitt Romney has been attacking Barack Obama unfairly, or not?


Which of the following do you think will be most important to you when you decide who to vote for -- where the candidates stand on issues that matter to you or the leadership skills and vision that you think the candidates would have as president?

Do you agree or disagree that Barack Obama/Mitt Romney has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have?

Trend: Do you agree or disagree with Barack Obama/Mitt Romney on the issues that matter most to you?

How well do you understand what Mitt Romney/Barack Obama would do to create jobs if elected president this November -- very well, somewhat well, not too well, or not well at all.

Now, I’d like you to think about Mitt Romney’s background in business, including his time as head of Bain Capital. Do you think his business background would cause him to make good decisions or bad decisions as president in dealing with economic problems the U.S. will face over the next four years?

As you may know, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has a net worth of over 200 million dollars. Does the fact that he is this rich make you more likely or less likely to vote for him, or does it make no difference?


(Asked of those with a candidate preference) What would you say are the one or two most important reasons why you would vote for [preferred candidate in Q.1]?\n[OPEN-ENDED]\n (Asked of those with a candidate leaning) What would you say are the one or two most important reasons why you lean toward voting for [preferred candidate in Q.1A]?

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each applies or doesn't apply to Barack Obama. How about ... ?

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each applies or doesn't apply to Mitt Romney. How about ... ?

Thinking about the economic problems currently facing the United States, how much do you blame [George W. Bush/Barack Obama] for these -- a great deal, a moderate amount, not much, or not at all?

Do you happen to know the religious faith of Barack Obama? [OPEN-ENDED] (If "yes"): Can you tell me what Barack Obama’s religious faith is? June 2012 results

Do you happen to know the religious faith of Mitt Romney? [OPEN-ENDED] (If "yes"): Can you tell me what Mitt Romney’s religious faith is? June 2012 results

(Asked of those who recognize each candidate) Now, please tell me whether you have a generally favorable or unfavorable impression of -- [RANDOM ORDER]? Is that a strongly (favorable/unfavorable) opinion or just (a/an) (favorable/unfavorable) opinion?]

Are you satisfied that Mitt Romney ended up the winner in the Republican race, or would you have preferred to see one of the other Republican presidential candidates win?

Are you satisfied that Barack Obama is the Democratic presidential nominee this year, or would you have preferred to see another Democrat be the party’s presidential nominee?


Does President Obama’s support for same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn’t it make any difference? May 2012 results

Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama, the Democrat (or) Mitt Romney, the Republican]? (Asked of those who are undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATED: Obama, the Democrat (or) Romney, the Republican]? (Asked of those with a preference) Are you certain now that you will vote for [Barack Obama/Mitt Romney] for president, or do you think you may change your mind between now and the November election?

Trend: How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in [this year’s/next year's] election -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

If Barack Obama is re-elected president in November, do you think he would do a very good, good, poor, or very poor job of handling the economy over the next four years?
If Mitt Romney is elected president in November, do you think he would do a very good, good, poor, or very poor job of handling the economy over the next four years?
Who do you think would do a better job of handling the economy over the next four years -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama (or) Mitt Romney]?

From what you know about the candidate’s political views, would you say -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- is -- [ROTATED: more conservative than you, is about the same, or is more liberal than you]?

Next, I am going to mention the names of some people in the news. For each one, please tell me if you recognize the name, or not. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

Suppose the election was being held today and Barack Obama was the Democratic Party's candidate and _____ was the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama, the Democrat (or) _____ , the Republican]? (Asked of those who are undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATED: Obama, the Democrat (or) _____, the Republican]?

Trend: Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down to Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney. Which one would you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president -- [ROTATED: Rick Santorum (or) Mitt Romney]?

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Trend: Are you generally pleased with the selection of the candidates running for the Republican nomination, or do you wish someone else was running for president?

Just your best guess, how likely do you think it is that Mitt Romney will win the Republican nomination -- do you think it is very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely or very unlikely?

Do you think the continuing campaign for the Republican nomination is hurting the party or not hurting the party?

In your view, would it be better for one of the four Republican candidates running to win enough delegates in the primaries to secure the presidential nomination before the party’s convention, or would it be better if none of the four candidates won enough delegates so that the party can pick someone else to be the nominee at the convention?

Just your best guess, do you think -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama will definitely win the presidential election, who wins depends on whom the Republicans nominate, (or do you think) the Republican candidate will definitely win the presidential election]?

Which Republican candidate do you think has the better chance of beating Barack Obama in November -- [ROTATED: Mitt Romney (or) Rick Santorum]?

Now I am going to read a list of some of the issues that will probably be discussed in this year’s presidential election campaign. As I read each one, please tell me how important the candidates' positions on that issue will be in influencing your vote for president -- extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not important. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?


Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have.

Trend: Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- on the issues that matter most to you.

If you had to choose, which type of person would you prefer to be president -- [ROTATED: someone who you are confident will improve economic conditions in the U.S., but who you disagree with on moral or cultural issues, (or) someone who you are not confident will improve economic conditions in the U.S., but who you agree with on moral or cultural issues]?

As you may know, passing the healthcare law was one of President Obama’s major goals. Does his support for the law make you more likely to vote for President Obama in this November’s election, less likely, or does it not make much difference? [IF MORE OR LESS LIKELY, PROBE: Does it make you much [more/less] likely to vote for him, or only somewhat [more/less] likely?]

As you may know, when Mitt Romney was governor of Massachusetts he signed into a law a healthcare bill for that state. If Romney is the Republican nominee for president, would his support for that Massachusetts healthcare law make you more likely to vote for him in this November’s election, less likely, or would it not make much difference? [IF MORE OR LESS LIKELY, PROBE: Does it make you much [more/less] likely to vote for him, or only somewhat [more/less] likely?]


NOTE: * Less than 0.5%; (vol.) = Volunteered response


(Asked of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents) Next, I'd like you to think about the Republican nomination for president in the 2012 election. Please tell me if you would find -- [ITEM A READ FIRST, THEN ITEMS B-H READ IN RANDOM ORDER] -- to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or not.

BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN-LEANING INDEPENDENTS

Former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney


Acceptable

Not acceptable

No opinion


%

%

%

2012 Jan 5-8

59

31

10

2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

54

41

5

Former Speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich


Acceptable

Not acceptable

No opinion


%

%

%

2012 Jan 5-8

46

46

8

2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

62

34

4

Former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman


Acceptable

Not acceptable

No opinion


%

%

%

2012 Jan 5-8

21

61

18

2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

28

58

14

Texas Congressman, Ron Paul


Acceptable

Not acceptable

No opinion


%

%

%

2012 Jan 5-8

29

62

10

2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

34

62

4

Texas Governor, Rick Perry


Acceptable

Not acceptable

No opinion


%

%

%

2012 Jan 5-8

37

55

9

2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

41

52

7

Former Pennsylvania Senator, Rick Santorum


Acceptable

Not acceptable

No opinion


%

%

%

2012 Jan 5-8

45

39

16

2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

27

62

11

Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann


Acceptable

Not acceptable

No opinion


%

%

%

2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

37

56

7

Businessman, Herman Cain


Acceptable

Not acceptable

No opinion


%

%

%

2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

37

58

6

(Asked of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents) Regardless of whom you support, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the 2012 Republican presidential nomination?

BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN-LEANING INDEPENDENTS WHO ARE REGISTERED TO VOTE


2012 Jan 4-8

2011 Dec 1-5

2011 Nov 2-6


%

%

%

Mitt Romney

60

47

39

Rick Santorum

11

1

*

Newt Gingrich

8

35

4

Ron Paul

4

2

2

Rick Perry

3

5

9

Jon Huntsman

1

*

1

Michele Bachmann

--

1

2

Herman Cain

--

1

13





Other

1

1

1





None/Any/No opinion

13

15

21

* Less than 0.5%

Next we have some questions about the 2012 presidential campaign. Please try to answer each question based on what you may have heard or read so far about the campaign and the candidates from the Democratic and Republican parties. [RANDOM ORDER]

Does it make a real difference to you who is elected president, or not?


Yes

No

No opinion


%

%

%

2011 Dec 15-18

79

20

1

2008 Jan 10-13

87

12

1

2007 Dec 14-16

90

10

*

2000 Mar 10-12

60

35

5

2000 Jan 7-10

54

37

9

1996 May 9-12

57

40

3

1992 Oct 23-25

76

22

2

1992 Sep 11-15

66

30

4

1992 Apr 20-22

53

43

4

1992 Feb 28-Mar 1

53

42

5

1992 Jan 6-9

60

30

10

* Less than 0.5%

Is there any candidate running who you think would make a good president, or not?


Yes

No

No opinion


%

%

%

2011 Dec 15-18

48

46

6

2008 Jan 10-13

84

11

5

2007 Dec 14-16

83

14

4

2000 Mar 10-12

71

24

5

2000 Jan 7-10

75

16

9

1996 May 9-12

57

39

4

1992 Oct 23-25

68

26

6

1992 Sep 11-15

61

32

7

1992 Apr 20-22

47

44

9

1992 Jan 6-9

40

41

19

Does the way the presidential campaign is being conducted make you feel as though the election process is working as it should, or not?


Yes

No

No opinion


%

%

%

2011 Dec 15-18

39

58

3

2008 Jan 10-13

67

30

3

2007 Dec 14-16

47

49

3

2000 Mar 10-12

53

43

4

2000 Jan 7-10

57

37

6

Are the presidential candidates talking about issues you really care about, or not?


Yes

No

No opinion


%

%

%

2011 Dec 15-18

57

38

4

2008 Jan 10-13

72

24

4

2000 Oct 13-15 ^

77

20

3

2000 Mar 10-12

60

35

5

2000 Jan 7-10

54

37

9

1996 May 9-12

57

40

3

1992 Oct 23-25

76

22

2

1992 Sep 11-15

66

30

4

1992 Apr 20-22

53

43

4

1992 Feb 28-Mar 1

53

42

5

1992 Jan 6-9

60

30

10

^ Based on registered voters.

Do you feel that any of the presidential candidates have come up with good ideas for solving the country's problems, or not?


Yes

No

No opinion


%

%

%

2011 Dec 15-18

42

54

5

2008 Jan 10-13

58

36

6

1996 May 9-12

44

52

4

1992 Oct 23-25

65

30

5

1992 Sep 11-15

50

44

6

1992 Apr 20-22

35

58

7

1992 Mar 20-22

32

57

11

1992 Jan 6-9

29

61

10


Next I'm going to read some statements about the election. As I read each one, please say whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with each one. How about -- [ITEMS ROTATED]?

The stakes in this presidential election are higher than in previous years


Strongly
agree

Somewhat
agree

Somewhat
disagree

Strongly
disagree

No
opinion

Registered voters

%

%

%

%

%

2011 Dec 15-18

53

27

13

6

1

2008 Oct 23-26

76

16

5

2

1

2004 Oct 22-24

70

20

7

2

1

1996 Oct 22-23

37

30

20

9

4







National adults






2011 Dec 15-18

49

29

13

7

1

2008 Oct 23-26

75

16

5

3

1

2004 Oct 22-24

69

20

8

2

1

I am afraid of what will happen if my candidate for president does not win


Strongly
agree

Somewhat
agree

Somewhat
disagree

Strongly
disagree

No
opinion

Registered voters

%

%

%

%

%

2011 Dec 15-18

39

24

19

15

3

2008 Oct 23-26

54

22

15

7

2

2004 Oct 22-24

54

22

16

7

1

1996 Oct 22-23

35

24

22

15

4







National adults






2011 Dec 15-18

35

24

21

17

3

2008 Oct 23-26

53

22

15

8

2

2004 Oct 22-24

53

22

16

7

2

Next, as you may know the Republican presidential candidates have participated in a series of nationally televised debates this year. Would you say these debates have had a major impact, a minor impact, or no impact at all in helping you decide how you will vote in 2012?

2011 Dec 15-18

Major
impact

Minor
impact

No
impact

No
opinion


%

%

%

%

National adults

21

35

42

1

Republicans/Republican leaners

23

44

33

1

Democrats/Democratic leaners

20

27

51

1

Based on what you have seen or read, overall, which Republican presidential candidate do you think has done the best job in the debates? [OPEN-ENDED]

2011 Dec 15-18

National
adults

Republicans/
Republican
leaners

Democrats/
Democratic
leaners


%

%

%

Newt Gingrich

26

41

15

Mitt Romney

21

20

24

Ron Paul

8

6

9

Michelle Bachmann

4

4

3

Rick Perry

3

1

5

Jon Huntsman

1

1

2

Herman Cain

1

1

3

Rick Santorum

1

2

1





Other

1

1

1





All

*

1

--





None

6

3

7





No opinion

28

20

31

* Less than 0.5%

And, overall, which Republican presidential candidate do you think has done the worst job in the debates? [OPEN-ENDED]

2011 Dec 15-18

National
adults

Republicans/
Republican
leaners

Democrats/
Democratic
leaners


%

%

%

Rick Perry

29

33

29

Michelle Bachmann

12

8

16

Mitt Romney

5

5

6

Newt Gingrich

5

4

5

Ron Paul

4

7

1

Rick Santorum

4

4

4

Jon Huntsman

2

4

1

Herman Cain

2

2

2





Other

1

2

1





All

2

*

1





None

2

2

1





No opinion

32

28

32

* Less than 0.5%

Now, I'd like to ask you a question about how much it matters to the economy whether a Democrat or a Republican is elected president in 2012. Do you think it will make a major difference, a minor difference, or no difference at all in terms of solving the country's economic problems?


Major
difference

Minor
difference

No
difference

No
opinion


%

%

%

%

Registered voters





2011 Dec 6-7

42

27

27

4






National adults





2011 Dec 6-7

41

28

28

4

Thinking about the 2012 presidential campaign, starting with the Iowa caucuses in January through Election Day in November, which better describes you -- [ROTATED: you can't wait for the campaign to begin (or) you can't wait for the campaign to be over]?


Can't wait for
it to begin

Can't wait for
it to be over

Neutral/
Neither
(volunteered)

No
opinion


%

%

%

%

Registered voters





2011 Dec 6-7

26

70

4

1






National adults





2011 Dec 6-7

26

70

3

1

Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be re-elected, or not. How about -- [ROTATED]?

President Obama


Yes,
deserves

No,
does not

No
opinion


%

%

%

Registered voters




2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

43

55

2

2011 Aug 4-7

47

50

2

2011 May 12-15

47

51

2

2010 Oct 14-17

37

57

6

2010 Jun 11-13

46

51

3

2010 May 24-25

48

49

3

2010 Mar 26-28

46

50

4

The U.S. representative in your congressional district


Yes,
deserves

No,
does not

No
opinion


%

%

%

Registered voters




2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

53

39

8

2011 Aug 4-7

54

34

12

2011 May 12-15

57

34

8

2010 Oct 14-17

51

31

18

2010 Jun 11-13

49

40

11

2010 May 24-25

50

40

10

2010 Mar 26-28

49

40

10

2008 Oct 23-26

59

25

16

2008 Jul 25-27

57

29

14

2008 Feb 8-10

62

26

12

2006 Oct 20-22

54

33

14

2006 Oct 6-8

57

28

14

2006 Jun 23-25

62

25

13

2006 Apr 28-30

59

26

14

2006 Jan 6-8

62

26

12

2005 Oct 21-23

65

24

11

2004 Oct 14-16

63

21

16

2003 Oct 10-12

65

24

11

2002 Sep 20-22

67

19

14

2002 Apr 29-May 1

67

19

14

2001 Aug 24-26

67

20

13

2000 Sep 11-13

66

19

15

2000 Jan 7-10

70

16

14

1998 Oct 9-12

69

17

14

1998 Apr 17-19

65

21

14

1994 Nov 2-6

54

30

16

1994 Oct 22-25

55

32

13

1994 Oct 7-9

55

30

15

1994 Jul 15-17

61

28

11

1994 Mar 25-27

60

23

17

1994 Feb 26-28

59

28

13

1992 Oct 23-25

48

30

22

1992 Sep 11-15

54

25

21

1992 Jul 31-Aug 2

61

25

14

1992 Apr 20-22

50

31

19

1992 Apr 9-12

58

29

13

1992 Mar 20-22

56

30

14

1992 Jan 31-Feb 2

64

24

12

1992 Jan 3-9

61

25

14

Most members of Congress


Yes,
deserves

No,
does not

No
opinion


%

%

%

Registered voters




2011 Nov 28-Dec 1

20

76

3

2011 Aug 4-7

21

70

9

2011 May 12-15

28

63

9

2010 Oct 14-17

33

56

12

2010 Jun 11-13

28

64

7

2010 May 24-25

32

63

6

2010 Mar 26-28

28

65

7

2008 Oct 23-26

36

51

13

2008 Jul 25-27

36

52

12

2008 Feb 8-10

39

50

11

2006 Oct 20-22

38

52

10

2006 Oct 6-8

39

50

11

2006 Jun 23-25

38

51

11

2006 Apr 28-30

38

53

10

2006 Jan 6-8

43

47

10

2005 Oct 21-23

46

44

10

2004 Oct 14-16

51

34

15

2003 Oct 10-12

50

37

13

2002 Sep 20-22

57

29

14

2002 Apr 29-May 1

57

24

19

2001 Aug 24-26

52

30

18

2000 Sep 11-13

54

30

16

2000 Jan 7-10

56

31

13

1998 Oct 9-12

58

27

15

1998 Apr 17-19

55

29

16

1994 Nov 2-6

38

47

15

1994 Oct 22-25

43

45

12

1994 Oct 7-9

37

49

14

1994 Jul 15-17

40

46

14

1994 Mar 25-27

46

38

16

1994 Feb 26-28

42

44

14

1992 Oct 23-25

29

50

21

1992 Sep 11-15

32

46

22

1992 Jul 31 Aug 2

40

46

14

1992 Apr 20-22

33

50

17

1992 Apr 9-12

32

53

15

1992 Mar 20-22

31

58

11

1992 Jan 31-Feb 2

43

43

14

1992 Jan 3-9

43

42

15


(Asked of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents) Which type of candidate would you prefer to see the Republicans nominate for president in 2012 -- [ROTATED: a candidate who agrees with you on almost all of the issues you care about but does not have the best chance of beating Barack Obama, (or) a candidate who has the best chance of beating Barack Obama, but who does not agree with you on almost all of the issues you care about]?

BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN LEANERS


Agrees on
issues

Best chance
of beating Obama

No
opinion


%

%

%

2011 Nov 2-6 ^

45

47

8

2011 Sep 15-18 †

43

53

4

2011 Jun 8-11 ^

44

50

6

^ Asked on Gallup Daily tracking survey

† Asked on separate USA Today/Gallup poll

Please tell me if you think Barack Obama or the Republican candidate for president would do a better job handling each of the following issues. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

2011 Oct 26-27


Obama

Republican

Same
(volunteered)

No
opinion


%

%

%

%

Registered voters





Terrorism and international threats

45

47

2

7

Healthcare

45

48

1

6

Unemployment

41

51

2

6

The federal budget deficit and debt

38

54

2

6

(Asked of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents) Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down to Rick Perry and Mitt Romney. Which one would you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president -- [ROTATED: Rick Perry (or) Mitt Romney]?

BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN LEANERS


Perry

Romney

No opinion


%

%

%

2011 Sep 15-18

49

39

11

Please tell me whether you would definitely vote for each of the following candidates if he were his party's nominee for president, whether you might consider voting for that person, or whether you would definitely not vote for that person. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS

2011 Sep 15-18
(sorted by "definitely/might consider")

Will
definitely
vote for

Might
consider
voting for


Definitely not vote for


%

%

%

Mitt Romney

21

41

35

Barack Obama

33

21

45

Rick Perry

20

33

44

(Asked of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents) Next, when you think about politics, which of the following sets of issues is most important to you -- [ROTATED: social issues and moral values, government spending and power, business and the economy, national security and foreign policy]?

BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN-LEANING INDEPENDENTS


Gov't
spending/
power

Business/
Economy

Social/
Moral
issues

National
security

No
opinion


%

%

%

%

%

2011 Aug 17-21

36

38

15

9

2

2011 July 20-24

38

35

14

10

2

2011 May 20-24

36

31

15

15

3

2011 Apr 15-20

37

36

15

12

1

2011 Mar 18-22

38

32

17

12

2

2011 Feb 18-20

35

31

17

15

2

Thinking again about how you might vote for Congress, would you, personally, be -- [ROTATED: more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who was supported by the Tea Party movement, would it not make a difference to your vote, (or would you be) less likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who was supported by the Tea Party movement]?

BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS


More
likely

No
difference

Less
likely

No
opinion

2011 Aug 4-7

23%

30

42

5

(Asked of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents) Thinking about the men and women who are running or are likely to run for the Republican Party's 2012 presidential nomination, who are you most likely to support for the Republican nomination? [OPEN-ENDED]


2011 Jul 7-10


%

Mitt Romney

13

Michele Bachmann

9

Rick Perry

4

Sarah Palin

3

Herman Cain

2

Jon Huntsman

1

Tim Pawlenty

1

Newt Gingrich

1

Rick Santorum

1

Ron Paul

1



Other

6



None/Would not vote

9



Any/all

1



No opinion

49

(Asked of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents) Suppose the list of candidates I read to you ends up being the actual group of candidates who run for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination. If that were the case, would you be satisfied or not satisfied with the choice of candidates for the Republican presidential nomination?

BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN-LEANING INDEPENDENTS


Satisfied

Not satisfied

No opinion

2011 Jun 8-11

67%

27

6

How important will Barack Obama's handling of -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- be in deciding whether you will vote for him for president -- extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not important?

The economy

2011 May 12-15

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

Registered voters

38%

33

12

15

2

Foreign affairs

2011 May 12-15

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

Registered voters

22%

27

30

20

1

How motivated do you feel to get out and vote in next year's presidential election -- extremely motivated, very motivated, somewhat motivated, not too motivated or not at all motivated?

2011 Apr 20-23

Extremely
motivated

Very
motivated

Somewhat
motivated

Not too
motivated

Not at all
motivated

No
opinion


%

%

%

%

%

%

National adults

60

20

10

5

4

1








Democrats

59

23

13

5

*

1

Independents

50

19

13

8

8

1

Republicans

72

17

5

2

4

*

* Less than 0.5%

Next, I'm going to ask you about some people who may run for president in 2012. For each one, please tell me whether you will definitely vote for that person, whether you might consider voting for that person, or whether you will definitely not vote for that person. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

2011 Apr 20-23
based on registered voters
(sorted by "definitely/might consider")

Definitely
vote for/
Might
consider
voting for

Will
definitely
vote for

Might
consider
voting for

Definitely
not vote for


%

%

%

%

Barack Obama

54

31

23

46

Mitt Romney

48

6

42

45

Mike Huckabee

46

7

39

46

Donald Trump

35

7

28

64

Sarah Palin

34

8

26

65

In your view, what kind of president would each of the following be if he or she were elected in November 2012 -- great, good, average, poor, terrible, or don't you know enough to say? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

2011 Apr 20-23
Sorted by "great/good"

Great/
Good

Average

Poor/
Terrible

No opinion


%

%

%

%

Mike Huckabee

28

27

21

23

Sarah Palin

25

17

51

7

Mitt Romney

25

26

23

25

Donald Trump

22

17

50

10

Ron Paul

20

19

26

35

Newt Gingrich

18

20

37

25

Michele Bachmann

13

13

23

50

Tim Pawlenty

11

13

15

61

Haley Barbour

10

12

16

62

Just off the top of your head, which Republican would you most like to see as the party's candidate for president in the 2012 election? [OPEN-ENDED]

BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN LEANERS


2010 Feb 1-3


%

Mitt Romney

14

Sarah Palin

11

John McCain

7

Scott Brown

4

Mike Huckabee

3

Newt Gingrich

3

Ron Paul

2

Tim Pawlenty

1

Bob McDonnell

1

Fred Thompson

1

Bobby Jindal

1



Other

10



None (volunteered)

6



No opinion

36


(Asked of Republicans and independents who lean to the Republican Party) Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else. [ROTATED: Mississippi Governor, Haley Barbour; Former Speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; Former Arkansas Governor, Mike Huckabee; Alaska Governor, Sarah Palin; Minnesota Governor, Tim Pawlenty; Former Massachusetts Governor, Mitt Romney]

BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN LEANERS


2009 Jul 10-12


%

Mitt Romney

26

Sarah Palin

21

Mike Huckabee

19

Newt Gingrich

14

Tim Pawlenty

3

Haley Barbour

2



Other

4



Any/All/None

3



No opinion

7

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