In Depth: Topics A to Z

Election 2010

See Gallup's weekly tracking of key 2010 election indicators.

How much thought have you given to the upcoming elections for Congress -- quite a lot, or only a little?

Quite
a lot

SOME
(vol.)

Only
a little

None

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 28-31

55

3

35

6

1

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

46

5

40

8

1

2010 Oct 7-10, 14-17

44

4

43

8

1

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3;
Oct 7-10

43

4

44

8

1

2010 Sep 23-26;
Sep 30-Oct 3

42

4

44

9

1

2010 Jun 11-13

34

3

56

6

1

(vol.) = Volunteered response

For comparison: October-November of prior midterm election years

Quite
a lot

SOME
(vol.)

Only
a little


None

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2006 Nov 2-5

50

5

38

6

1

2006 Oct 20-22

44

6

43

6

1

2006 Oct 6-8

38

4

50

7

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

38

5

49

7

1

2002 Oct 21-22

29

6

55

10

--

2002 Oct 3-6

26

7

58

9

--

1998 Nov 2

43

9

43

4

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

44

6

44

5

1

1998 Oct 23-25

39

6

50

5

--

1998 Oct 9-12

34

6

54

5

1

1994 Nov 2-6

52

4

40

3

1

1994 Oct 22-25

46

5

46

3

--

1990 Oct 25-28

43

7

46

4

--

1982 Oct 15-18

29

22

37

12

--

1978 Oct 27-30

28

21

39

12

--

1978 Oct 13-16

23

22

39

17

--

1974 Oct 18-21

28

18

41

13

--

1974 Oct 11-14

27

16

43

13

1

1970 Oct 9-14

30

22

38

11

--

1966 Oct 21-26

35

26

31

8

--

1966 Oct 1-6

30

23

37

10

--

1962 Oct 19-24

21

23

45

11

--

1958 Oct 15-20

29

21

38

12

--

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district -- [ROTATED: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate]?

As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATE: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate]?

Democratic
candidate

Republican
candidate

Undecided/
Other

%

%

%

Likely voters: Lower turnout (40% to 45% of adults)

2010 Oct 28-31

40

55

5

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

41

55

4

2010 Oct 7-10, 14-17

39

56

4

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3; Oct 7-10

39

56

5

2010 Sep 23-26; Sep 30-Oct 3

38

56

6

Likely voters: Higher turnout (53% to 60% of adults)

2010 Oct 28-31

42

52

6

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

43

52

5

2010 Oct 7-10, 14-17

42

53

5

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3; Oct 7-10

41

53

5

2010 Sep 23-26; Sep 30-Oct 3

40

53

7

Registered voters: Full turnout

2010 Oct 28-31

44

48

8

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

44

48

9

2010 Oct 7-10, 14-17

43

48

8

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3; Oct 7-10

44

47

9

2010 Sep 23-26; Sep 30-Oct 3

43

46

10

For comparison: Registered voters, 2010 Gallup Daily tracking



Democratic
candidate

Republican
candidate

Undecided/
other

%

%

%

Sep 20-26, 2010

46

46

9

Sep 13-19, 2010

46

45

8

Sep 6-12, 2010

43

48

9

Aug 30-Sep 5, 2010

46

46

8

Aug 23-29, 2010

41

51

8

Aug 16-22, 2010

44

47

9

Aug 9-15, 2010

43

50

7

Aug 2-8, 2010

43

49

9

Jul 26-Aug 1, 2010

43

48

8

Jul 19-25, 2010

48

44

8

Jul 12-18, 2010

49

43

8

Jul 5-11, 2010

47

46

7

Jun 28-Jul 4, 2010

44

46

10

Jun 21-27, 2010

46

45

9

Jun 14-20, 2010

46

46

8

Jun 7-13, 2010

44

49

8

May 31-June 6, 2010

46

46

8

May 24-30, 2010

43

49

8

May 17-23, 2010

47

46

8

May 10-16, 2010

45

46

11

May 3-9, 2010

46

46

10

Apr 26-May 2, 2010

45

45

10

Apr 19-25, 2010

45

45

10

Apr 12-18, 2010

43

46

11

Apr 5-11, 2010

44

48

9

Mar 29-Apr 4, 2010

46

46

8

Mar 22-28, 2010

44

47

10

Mar 15-21, 2010

47

45

8

Mar 8-14, 2010

47

44

9

Mar 1-7, 2010

47

44

9

Would you say you are enthusiastic or not enthusiastic about voting in this year's congressional elections?

(If "enthusiastic," probe:) Are you very enthusiastic or somewhat enthusiastic?

BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS

Very

Somewhat

Not

No opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 Oct 28-31

47

23

28

1

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

38

23

36

2

2010 Oct 7-10, 14-17

37

26

36

2

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3; Oct 7-10

36

26

37

2

2010 Sep 23-26; Sep 30-Oct. 3

37

23

38

2

Republicans

2010 Oct 28-31

61

22

17

1

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

48

24

27

1

2010 Oct 7-10, 14-17

44

28

27

1

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3; Oct 7-10

45

27

26

1

2010 Sep 23-26; Sep 30-Oct. 3

50

20

28

2

Independents

2010 Oct 28-31

36

24

38

1

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

31

20

46

3

2010 Oct 7-10, 14-17

32

18

47

3

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3; Oct 7-10

31

22

45

1

2010 Sep 23-26; Sep 30-Oct. 3

29

24

45

2

Democrats

2010 Oct 28-31

43

25

30

1

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

36

26

36

2

2010 Oct 7-10, 14-17

33

30

35

1

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3; Oct 7-10

31

29

40

1

2010 Sep 23-26; Sep 30-Oct. 3

33

26

39

2

For comparison: Registered voters, 2010 Gallup Daily tracking, % "Very enthusiastic"



All
registered
voters

Republican
registered
voters

Independent
registered
voters

Democratic
registered
voters

%

%

%

%

Sep 20-26, 2010

34

48

26

28

Sep 13-19, 2010

34

47

27

28

Sep 6-12, 2010

35

49

26

31

Aug 30-Sept 5, 2010

34

50

28

25

Aug 23-29, 2010

35

50

28

25

Aug 16-22, 2010

32

46

29

23

Aug 9-15, 2010

34

44

29

27

Aug 2-8, 2010

32

44

24

28

Jul 26-Aug 1, 2010

31

44

27

22

Jul 19-25, 2010

34

46

30

28

Jul 12-18, 2010

36

51

31

28

Jul 5-11, 2010

32

40

30

28

Jun 28-Jul 4, 2010

30

41

26

26

Jun 21-27, 2010

32

47

26

23

Jun 14-20, 2010

31

42

27

27

Jun 7-13, 2010

33

43

26

28

May 31-June 6, 2010

31

46

24

24

May 24-30, 2010

29

39

25

24

May 17-23, 2010

30

39

28

25

May 10-16, 2010

30

40

29

23

May 3-9, 2010

34

43

30

30

Apr 26-May 2, 2010

35

43

29

33

Apr 19-25, 2010

35

47

27

34

Apr 12-18, 2010

33

45

27

28

Apr 5-11, 2010

38

48

38

30

Mar 29-Apr 4, 2010

39

54

30

35

Mar 22-28, 2010

40

50

38

35

Mar 15-21, 2010

32

43

31

25

Mar 8-14, 2010

30

39

29

24

Mar 1-7, 2010

32

43

28

27

Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?

Trend for midterm elections

More
enthu-
siastic

Less
enthu-
siastic

Same
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

National adults

2010 Oct 28-31

50

38

9

2

2010 Oct 21-24

46

42

9

2

2010 Jun 11-13

43

48

8

2

2010 May 24-25

49

41

9

1

2010 Mar 26-28

61

28

8

3

2010 Feb 1-3

46

39

14

2

2006 Nov 2-5

46

36

16

3

2006 Oct 6-8

43

46

10

1

2006 Sep 7-10

42

46

10

2

2006 Aug 18-20

39

43

16

3

2006 Jun 23-25

50

36

13

1

2006 Apr 28-30

44

42

13

1

2006 Apr 7-9

40

46

12

2

2006 Jan 6-8

45

39

14

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

38

45

14

3

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

37

46

14

3

1998 Oct 23-25

35

47

16

2

1998 Oct 9-12

35

47

16

2

1998 Aug 21-23

38

41

17

4

1998 Apr 17-19

30

48

19

3

1994 Nov 2-6

37

48

13

2

1994 Oct 7-9

34

46

18

2

Republicans/Republican leaners

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 28-31

63

28

7

1

2010 Oct 21-24

63

28

8

1

2010 Jun 11-13

53

39

7

1

2010 May 24-25

59

33

7

1

2010 Mar 26-28

69

23

6

1

2010 Feb 1-3

55

30

13

2

2006 Nov 2-5

44

36

18

2

2006 Oct 6-8

39

47

14

*

2006 Sep 7-10

40

47

11

1

2006 Aug 18-20

36

40

22

2

2006 Jun 23-25

43

35

21

*

2006 Apr 28-30

38

46

15

1

2006 Apr 7-9

33

47

18

2

2006 Jan 6-8

47

32

20

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

42

42

15

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

39

46

14

1

1998 Oct 23-25

44

39

16

1

1998 Oct 9-12

45

36

17

2

1998 Aug 21-23

42

39

17

2

1998 Apr 17-19

31

48

19

2

1994 Nov 2-6

44

44

11

1

1994 Oct 7-9

40

42

18

*

Democrats/Democratic leaners

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 28-31

44

43

11

1

2010 Oct 21-24

37

53

8

2

2010 Jun 11-13

35

56

8

2

2010 May 24-25

43

46

10

2

2010 Mar 26-28

57

30

9

4

2010 Feb 1-3

41

45

13

2

2006 Nov 2-5

53

33

12

2

2006 Oct 6-8

48

43

7

1

2006 Sep 7-10

47

42

9

2

2006 Aug 18-20

46

43

9

2

2006 Jun 23-25

56

35

8

1

2006 Apr 28-30

50

37

12

1

2006 Apr 7-9

48

43

8

1

2006 Jan 6-8

48

44

7

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

38

46

13

3

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

39

44

15

2

1998 Oct 23-25

32

51

16

1

1998 Oct 9-12

41

45

13

1

1998 Aug 21-23

37

41

18

4

1998 Apr 17-19

31

48

19

2

1994 Nov 2-6

35

50

14

1

1994 Oct 7-9

29

50

18

3

(Asked of those who would vote for the Democratic candidate for Congress) Is that more a vote for the Democratic candidate or against the Republican candidate?

BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS



For the
Democrat

Against the
Republican

Both
equally
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2010 Oct 28-31

67

21

9

3

2006 Sep 15-17

50

38

8

4

1994 Oct 18-19

65

26

6

3

Registered voters

2010 Oct 28-31

66

23

7

4

2010 Aug 27-30 ^

61

32

3

3

2006 Sep 15-17

52

38

6

4

1994 Oct 18-19

66

26

5

3

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Based on 390 registered voters planning to vote for the Democratic candidate (±6 pct. pts.)

(Asked of those who would vote for the Republican candidate for Congress) Is that more a vote for the Republican candidate or against the Democratic candidate?

BASED ON REPUBLICAN VOTERS

For the
Republican

Against the
Democrat

Both
equally
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2010 Oct 28-31

54

32

12

2

2006 Sep 15-17

69

18

7

6

1994 Oct 18-19

59

33

7

1

Registered voters

2010 Oct 28-31

56

30

11

3

2010 Aug 27-30 ^

48

44

5

2

2006 Sep 15-17

69

21

6

5

1994 Oct 18-19

58

34

6

1

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Based on 477 registered voters planning to vote for the Republican candidate (±5 pct. pts.)

Which of the following applies to you -- you have already voted in this year's election, either by absentee ballot or early voting opportunities in your state, you plan to vote before Election Day, either by absentee ballot or early voting opportunities in your state, or you plan to vote on Election Day itself?

2010 Oct 21-24

Already
voted

Plan to
vote
before
Election
Day

Plan to
vote on
Election
Day
itself

Do not
plan
to vote

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

National adults

2010 Oct 28-31

16

6

57

20

*

2010 Oct 21-24

9

14

58

17

1

Registered voters

2010 Oct 28-31

19

7

63

11

*

2010 Oct 21-24

11

16

63

10

*

* Less than 0.5%

Thinking ahead to your vote in the elections for Congress this November, what will make the biggest difference in how you vote for Congress in your district -- [ROTATED: national issues, local or state issues, the candidate's character and experience, (or) the candidate's political party]?

National
issues

Local/
State issues

Character/
Experi-
ence

Party

Other
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

Gallup poll

Likely voters

2010 Oct 28-31

41

21

23

12

2

1

2006 Nov 2-5

39

20

23

13

3

3

2006 Oct 20-22

43

24

18

12

2

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

27

27

32

10

1

3

2002 Oct 21-22

33

24

34

5

1

3

Registered voters

2010 Oct 28-31

37

25

23

11

2

3

2006 Nov 2-5

37

24

22

11

3

4

2006 Oct 20-22

37

29

19

11

1

3

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

26

31

31

8

1

3

2002 Oct 21-22

30

29

31

6

1

3

National adults

2010 Oct 28-31

37

25

22

11

2

3

2006 Nov 2-5

35

25

21

11

3

6

2006 Oct 20-22

38

29

18

10

2

3

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

25

31

30

8

2

4

2002 Oct 21-22

30

31

28

6

1

4

Pew Research Center

Registered Voters

2006 Sep 6-10

29

33

27

5

1

5

2006 Jun 14-19

30

26

33

6

2

3

2002 Jun 19-23

26

30

33

5

2

4

2000 Oct 4-8

21

42

21

9

1

6

2000 Jul 19-23

18

40

32

6

1

3

1998 Oct 28-31

20

39

27

5

3

6

1998 Oct 14-18

23

36

28

7

1

5

1998 Aug 27-Sep 8

22

34

33

5

2

4

1998 Jun 4-8

22

37

32

4

1

4

1998 Mar 25-29

18

37

35

6

1

3

1996 Oct 31-Nov 2

23

38

25

6

2

6

1996 Oct 14-20

19

45

26

7

1

2

1996 Sep 25-29

25

38

24

6

2

5

1996 Sep 5-8

18

42

30

6

1

3

CNN/Time

National Adults

2002 May 22-23

32

30

26

7

--

5

Times Mirror/PSRA

Registered Voters

1994 Nov 3-5

22

38

30

5

1

4

1994 Oct 20-24

22

38

29

3

3

5

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Will your vote for a candidate be made in order to send a message that you SUPPORT Barack Obama, be made in order to send a message that you OPPOSE Barack Obama, or will you NOT be sending a message about Barack Obama with your vote?

Message
to support

Message
to oppose

Not a
message

Don't
plan to vote (vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2010 Oct 28-31

24

38

37

--

1

George W. Bush

2006 Nov 2-5

20

36

42

*

2

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

35

18

45

1

1

Bill Clinton

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

23

23

52

*

2

1998 Oct 23-25

24

22

52

--

2

1998 Sep 23-25

25

20

53

*

2

1998 Sep 11-12

22

19

58

--

1

Registered voters

2010 Oct 28-31

22

30

44

1

3

George W. Bush

2006 Nov 2-5

18

31

46

1

4

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

28

15

53

1

3

Bill Clinton

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

24

19

54

1

2

1998 Oct 23-25

24

20

53

1

2

1998 Sep 23-25

24

18

55

1

2

1998 Sep 11-12

20

17

60

1

2

(vol.) = Volunteered response

1998 WORDING: What effect, if any, will the Monica Lewinsky matter have on your vote for Congress in November? Will your vote for a candidate be made in order to send a message that you SUPPORT Bill Clinton, be made in order to send a message that you OPPOSE Bill Clinton, or will you NOT be sending a message about Bill Clinton with your vote?

Do you think the country would be better off if the Republicans controlled Congress, if the Democrats controlled Congress, or would the country be the same regardless of which party controlled Congress?


Republicans


Democrats

Same
regardless

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2010 Oct 28-31

45

23

28

3

2006 Nov 2-5

33

40

24

3

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

38

29

30

3

Registered voters

2010 Oct 28-31

35

23

38

4

2006 Nov 2-5

27

35

33

5

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

27

28

40

5

National adults

2010 Oct 28-31

32

23

40

4

2006 Nov 2-5

25

34

35

6

2006 Jun 23-25

18

32

48

3

2004 Mar 5-7

25

31

39

5

2002 Nov 8-10

28

22

47

3

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

25

27

42

6

1998 Oct 23-25

24

22

48

6

Do you consider yourself to be -- [ROTATED: a supporter of the Tea Party movement, an opponent of the Tea Party movement], or neither?

Supporter

Opponent

Neither

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 28-31

26

27

40

7

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

26

26

35

13

2010 Aug 27-30

30

27

34

9

2010 Jun 11-13

31

30

32

7

2010 May 24-25

29

28

37

6

2010 Mar 26-28

28

26

38

8

Would you say you will definitely vote for the (Republican/Democrat), or is it possible you would change your mind between now and the election?

Definitely
vote

Could
change

Other/
No preference

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

67

25

6

2006 Oct 6-8

62

34

6

2002 Oct 21-22

52

39

9

2002 Oct 3-6

54

37

9

2002 May 28-29

45

46

9

Republican voters

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

76

24

--

2006 Oct 6-8

60

40

--

2002 Oct 21-22

61

39

--

2002 Oct 3-6

63

37

--

2002 May 28-29

48

52

--

Democratic voters

2010 Oct 14-17, 21-24

68

32

--

2006 Oct 6-8

71

29

--

2002 Oct 21-22

54

46

--

2002 Oct 3-6

56

44

--

2002 May 28-29

51

49

--

Which ONE of the following issues is MOST important to you when you think about your vote for Congress this year -- [ROTATED: economic conditions, healthcare, the situation in Afghanistan, illegal immigration, (or) the size and power of the federal government]?

BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS

2010 Oct 21-24

%

Economic conditions

43

Healthcare

23

The size and power of the federal government

18

The situation in Afghanistan

6

Illegal immigration

5

Other (vol.)

2

None (vol.)

1

No opinion

2

(vol.) = Volunteered response

* Less than 0.5%

Do you think Congress has accomplished more this year, less, or about the same as it has in the past few years?

More

Less

Same

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 21-24

23

37

35

5

1994 Oct 7-9

10

36

51

3

(CNN/Time)

1993 Dec 2

24

16

56

4

Compared to previous elections, do you think there is a better chance that the election will make major changes in Washington, or don't you think so?

Better
chance

Not
better

Same
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 21-24

49

44

3

4

1994 Nov 2-6

40

53

2

5

1994 Oct 7-9

39

55

1

5

(vol.) = Volunteered response

How much does it matter to you which political party controls Congress -- a great deal, a moderate amount, not much, or not at all?

Great
deal

Moderate
amount

Not
much

Not
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 21-24

49

27

13

11

1

2002 Oct 3-6 ^

40

30

18

10

2

^ Asked of a half sample

Are you generally satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the congressional candidates in your area have conducted their campaigns this year?

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

Mixed
(vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 21-24 ^

48

42

4

7

2006 Oct 20-22

51

44

1

3

2002 Oct 21-22

57

32

4

7

1998 Oct 23-25 †

52

40

2

6

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of a half sample

† WORDING: Are you generally satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the candidates running in your area have conducted their campaigns this year?

Would you say most of the television commercials that you have seen for candidates for political office this year are -- [ROTATED: extremely positive, very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative, very negative, (or) extremely negative]?

Ex-
tremely
positive

Very
posi-
tive

Some-
what
posi-
tive

Some-
what
nega-
tive

Very
nega-
tive

Ex-
tremely
negative

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Oct 21-24 ^

*

1

13

33

19

27

7

2006 Nov 2-5

1

2

12

28

22

27

8

2006 Oct 6-8

1

3

22

35

16

12

11

2002 Oct 21-22

2

3

30

31

17

10

7

^ Asked of a half sample

Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be re-elected, or not. How about -- [ROTATED]?

A. The U.S. representative in your congressional district

Yes,
deserves

No,
does not

No
opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 Oct 14-17

51

31

18

2010 Jun 11-13

49

40

11

2010 May 24-25

50

40

10

2010 Mar 26-28

49

40

10

2008 Oct 23-26

59

25

16

2008 Jul 25-27

57

29

14

2008 Feb 8-10

62

26

12

2006 Oct 20-22

54

33

14

2006 Oct 6-8

57

28

14

2006 Jun 23-25

62

25

13

2006 Apr 28-30

59

26

14

2006 Jan 6-8

62

26

12

2005 Oct 21-23

65

24

11

2004 Oct 14-16

63

21

16

2003 Oct 10-12

65

24

11

2002 Sep 20-22

67

19

14

2002 Apr 29-May 1

67

19

14

2001 Aug 24-26

67

20

13

2000 Sep 11-13

66

19

15

2000 Jan 7-10

70

16

14

1998 Oct 9-12

69

17

14

1998 Apr 17-19

65

21

14

1994 Nov 2-6

54

30

16

1994 Oct 22-25

55

32

13

1994 Oct 7-9

55

30

15

1994 Jul 15-17

61

28

11

1994 Mar 25-27

60

23

17

1994 Feb 26-28

59

28

13

1992 Oct 23-25

48

30

22

1992 Sep 11-15

54

25

21

1992 Jul 31-Aug 2

61

25

14

1992 Apr 20-22

50

31

19

1992 Apr 9-12

58

29

13

1992 Mar 20-22

56

30

14

1992 Jan 31-Feb 2

64

24

12

1992 Jan 3-9

61

25

14

B. Most members of Congress

Yes,
deserves

No,
does not

No
opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 Oct 14-17

33

56

12

2010 Jun 11-13

28

64

7

2010 May 24-25

32

63

6

2010 Mar 26-28

28

65

7

2008 Oct 23-26

36

51

13

2008 Jul 25-27

36

52

12

2008 Feb 8-10

39

50

11

2006 Oct 20-22

38

52

10

2006 Oct 6-8

39

50

11

2006 Jun 23-25

38

51

11

2006 Apr 28-30

38

53

10

2006 Jan 6-8

43

47

10

2005 Oct 21-23

46

44

10

2004 Oct 14-16

51

34

15

2003 Oct 10-12

50

37

13

2002 Sep 20-22

57

29

14

2002 Apr 29-May 1

57

24

19

2001 Aug 24-26

52

30

18

2000 Sep 11-13

54

30

16

2000 Jan 7-10

56

31

13

1998 Oct 9-12

58

27

15

1998 Apr 17-19

55

29

16

1994 Nov 2-6

38

47

15

1994 Oct 22-25

43

45

12

1994 Oct 7-9

37

49

14

1994 Jul 15-17

40

46

14

1994 Mar 25-27

46

38

16

1994 Feb 26-28

42

44

14

1992 Oct 23-25

29

50

21

1992 Sep 11-15

32

46

22

1992 Jul 31 Aug 2

40

46

14

1992 Apr 20-22

33

50

17

1992 Apr 9-12

32

53

15

1992 Mar 20-22

31

58

11

1992 Jan 31-Feb 2

43

43

14

1992 Jan 3-9

43

42

15

Next, if [RANDOM ORDER] campaigned on behalf of a candidate in your local area, would that make you -- [ROTATED: more likely to vote for that candidate, would it make no difference to your vote, (or would that make you) less likely to vote for that candidate]?

BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS

2010 Oct 14-17

More
likely

No
difference

Less
likely

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Bill Clinton

26

46

26

2

Sarah Palin

22

40

36

2

Barack Obama

19

40

40

1

(Asked of those who would vote for the Democratic candidate) Why would you say you are voting for the Democratic candidate? [OPEN-ENDED]

BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

%

Always vote Democratic

30

Favor Democratic candidate's agenda, policies

15

Dislike Republicans

13

Incumbent doing a good job/Satisfied with performance

12

Candidate more supportive of lower/middle class

6

Support Democratic Party platform/ideas

6

Incumbent doing a poor job

3

Voting to support President Obama

3

Voting for change

2

Dislike Republican candidate

2

Prefer the more liberal candidate/party

2

Candidate is more supportive of unions

1

Other

2

No reason in particular (vol.)

6

No opinion

6

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Percentages total more than 100% due to multiple responses

(Asked of those who would vote for the Republican candidate) Why would you say you are voting for the Republican candidate? [OPEN-ENDED]

BASED ON REPUBLICAN VOTERS

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

%

Favor Republican candidate's agenda, policies

16

Always vote Republican

15

Dislike Democrats

11

Incumbent doing a poor job

11

Incumbent doing a good job/Satisfied with performance

11

Voting for change

10

Prefer the more conservative candidate/party

8

Support Republican Party platform/ideas

6

To stop excessive government spending

6

Voting to oppose President Obama

5

Dislike Democratic candidate

3

Other

2

No reason in particular (vol.)

3

No opinion

4

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Percentages total more than 100% due to multiple responses

Regardless of how you, yourself, plan to vote, which party do you think will win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the congressional elections this fall -- [ROTATED: The Republicans (or) the Democrats]?

Republicans

Democrats

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 23-26

52

32

15

2006 Oct 20-22

38

54

8

2006 Apr 28-30

39

52

9

1962 Sep 20-25

16

60

24

1958 Sep 10-15

12

67

22

1947 Oct 12-17

27

52

22

1946 Sep 27-Oct 2

63

37

--

1946 Jul 26-31

46

38

16

1946 Jun 28-Jul 3

45

35

20

Suppose the Republicans win control of Congress in this November's elections. Do you think the country would be better off, worse off, or would it not make any difference?

Better
off

Worse
off

No
difference

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Sep 23-26

36

24

32

7

Trends for comparison (2006): Suppose the Democrats win control of Congress in this November's elections. Do you think the country would be better off, worse off, or would it not make any difference?

Better
off

Worse
off

No
difference

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2006 Oct 20-22

39

27

32

2

2006 Sep 15-17

38

25

33

5

(1994): If the Republicans win control of Congress, do you think the country will be better off, worse off, or will it not make any difference?

Better
off

Worse
off

No
difference

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

1994 Oct 7-9

34

18

45

3

Please tell me whether you think each of the following applies, or does not apply to the Republican Party today. [RANDOM ORDER]

A. Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems

Applies

Does not apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

32

63

5

2006 Oct 6-8

29

66

5

1999 Feb 12-13

38

57

5

1994 Oct 22-25

28

67

5

B. Can bring about the changes this country needs

Applies

Does not apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

43

52

5

2008 Feb 8-10

39

58

3

2006 Oct 6-8

40

54

6

1999 Feb 12-13

52

43

5

1994 Oct 22-25

43

53

4

C. Is able to manage the federal government effectively

Applies

Does not apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

42

52

6

2008 Feb 8-10

38

58

4

2006 Oct 6-8

40

54

6

1999 Feb 12-13

56

41

3

1994 Oct 22-25

42

53

5

D. Has mostly honest and ethical members in Congress

Applies

Does not apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

42

52

6

2008 Feb 8-10

41

52

7

2006 Oct 6-8

42

51

7

1999 Feb 12-13

56

40

4

1994 Oct 22-25

34

58

8

Please tell me whether you think each of the following applies, or does not apply to the Democratic Party today. [RANDOM ORDER]

A. Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems

Applies

Does not apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

33

62

5

2006 Oct 6-8

40

53

7

1999 Feb 12-13

47

49

4

1994 Oct 22-25

30

67

3

B. Can bring about the changes this country needs

Applies

Does not apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

40

55

5

2008 Feb 8-10

58

39

3

2006 Oct 6-8

59

36

6

1999 Feb 12-13

56

40

4

1994 Oct 22-25

43

53

4

C. Is able to manage the federal government effectively

Applies

Does not apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

39

56

5

2008 Feb 8-10

54

43

3

2006 Oct 6-8

57

38

5

1999 Feb 12-13

57

40

3

1994 Oct 22-25

34

62

4

D. Has mostly honest and ethical members in Congress

Applies

Does not apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Sep 30-Oct 3

39

52

8

2008 Feb 8-10

52

42

6

2006 Oct 6-8

54

38

8

1999 Feb 12-13

55

41

4

1994 Oct 22-25

34

60

6

How motivated do you feel to get out and vote this year -- extremely motivated, very motivated, somewhat motivated, not too motivated or not at all motivated?

Extremely
motivated

Very
motivated

Somewhat
motivated

Not too
motivated

Not at all
motivated

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

National adults

2010 Aug 27-30

50

19

18

5

8

1

2010 May 24-25

38

24

22

10

7

1

2006 Oct 20-22

45

25

15

5

9

1

2006 Jun 23-25

44

27

19

5

5

*

2002 Oct 3-6

30

25

23

10

11

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

28

25

25

9

12

1

1998 Oct 23-25

28

23

26

10

12

1

1998 Oct 9-12

27

26

28

9

9

1

1998 Sep 23-24

31

30

22

8

8

1

Republicans

2010 Aug 27-30

65

16

10

2

6

1

2010 May 24-25

50

21

21

5

3

--

2006 Oct 20-22

50

28

14

3

4

1

2006 Jun 23-25

44

30

19

5

*

1

2002 Oct 3-6

37

28

19

10

5

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

31

28

26

7

7

1

1998 Oct 23-25

36

31

20

7

5

1

1998 Oct 9-12

31

28

26

9

4

2

1998 Sep 23-24

40

33

17

4

5

1

Democrats

2010 Aug 27-30

44

22

24

5

5

*

2010 May 24-25

30

28

27

11

3

1

2006 Oct 20-22

53

23

14

5

4

1

2006 Jun 23-25

49

28

15

3

5

*

2002 Oct 3-6

31

24

25

9

10

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

32

25

26

7

9

1

1998 Oct 23-25

33

23

27

8

8

1

1998 Oct 9-12

28

25

29

9

7

2

1998 Sep 23-25

32

30

25

7

5

1

Independents

2010 Aug 27-30

44

18

18

8

12

*

2010 May 24-25

35

22

19

12

12

*

2006 Oct 20-22

34

26

18

7

15

*

2006 Jun 23-25

37

24

23

7

9

*

2002 Oct 3-6

22

25

25

10

17

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

20

23

24

11

20

2

1998 Oct 23-25

19

18

31

12

19

1

1998 Oct 9-12

22

26

28

10

14

*

1998 Sep 23-24

22

27

23

12

14

2

* Less than 0.5%

Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Obama, or more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Obama, or would that not make much difference to your vote?

Supports

No difference

Opposes

No opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 Aug 27-30

27

37

35

1

For comparison: (President George W. Bush)

Supports

No difference

Opposes

No opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2006 Oct 20-22

23

38

38

1

2006 Jun 23-25

21

40

39

*

2005 Aug 28-30

23

43

33

1

2002 Apr 5-7

37

49

12

2

* Less than 0.5%

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for Congress this year -- will it be -- extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

Corruption in government

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

51

30

14

4

1

2006 Oct 6-8

48

38

11

2

1

2006 Jun 23-25

49

36

12

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

43

38

15

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

36

15

3

1

The economy

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

62

31

6

1

*

2010 Mar 26-28

57

36

5

2

--

2006 Oct 6-8

40

42

16

2

*

2006 Jun 23-25

45

40

13

2

1

2006 Jan 6-8

38

45

14

1

1

2005 Oct 21-23

43

41

15

1

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

37

44

17

2

*

2002 Aug 19-21 ^

34

44

17

3

2

* Less than 0.5%

^ WORDING: Economic conditions

Jobs

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

60

32

6

1

*

* Less than 0.5%

Healthcare

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

49

30

15

5

1

2010 Mar 26-28

48

34

13

5

*

2006 Oct 6-8

43

37

15

4

1

2006 Jun 23-25

44

36

17

3

*

2006 Jan 6-8

43

39

15

2

1

2005 Oct 21-23

42

37

18

3

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

35

39

22

4

*

* Less than 0.5%

^ Asked of a half sample

Immigration

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

38

27

23

11

1

2006 Oct 6-8

33

32

23

11

1

2006 Jun 23-25

33

32

23

11

1

2006 Jan 6-8

26

35

29

9

1

The situation in Afghanistan

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

35

33

24

6

2

2010 Mar 26-28

32

37

23

6

1

Terrorism

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

47

28

17

6

1

2010 Mar 26-28

40

36

19

5

*

2006 Oct 6-8

48

36

12

4

1

2006 Jun 23-25

47

34

15

4

*

2006 Jan 6-8

45

35

16

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

32

19

4

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

47

36

13

3

1

* Less than 0.5%

^ Asked of a half sample

The environment

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

28

32

29

12

*

2010 Mar 26-28 †

22

24

29

23

1

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

28

33

30

9

*

* Less than 0.5%

^ Asked of a half sample

† WORDING: The environment, including global warming

Federal spending

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

51

30

15

3

1

Unemployment

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Mar 26-28

46

40

10

3

1

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

28

37

29

5

1

^ Asked of a half sample

The federal budget deficit

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2010 Mar 26-28

46

33

18

3

*

* Less than 0.5%

Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with each of the following issues and problems? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

Corruption in government

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

38

35

20

6

2006 Oct 6-8

28

49

16

7

2006 Jan 20-22 ^

31

40

19

10

2006 Jan 6-8 ^

32

44

19

6

2005 Oct 21-23

33

44

18

5

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked as a stand-alone question; not in rotation with other issues.

The economy

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

49

38

10

3

2006 Oct 6-8

36

54

7

4

2006 Mar 10-12

38

53

4

5

2005 Oct 21-23

38

50

9

3

2003 Jul 18-20

36

53

7

4

2003 Jan 3-5

43

42

10

5

2002 Jul 26-28

37

42

13

8

2002 Jun 28-30

44

40

10

6

2002 May 28-29 ^

43

34

13

10

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of a half sample

Jobs

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

46

41

9

4

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Healthcare

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

43

44

8

4

2006 Oct 6-8

25

62

8

4

2005 Oct 21-23

30

59

7

4

2003 Jan 3-5 ^ †

35

50

9

6

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of a half sample

† WORDING: Healthcare costs

Immigration

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

50

35

10

5

2006 Oct 6-8

34

47

12

8

(vol.) = Volunteered response

The situation in Afghanistan

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

45

38

12

5

Terrorism

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

55

31

11

4

2006 Oct 6-8

41

46

7

6

2006 Mar 10-12

45

41

7

7

2005 Oct 21-23

49

38

9

4

2003 Jul 18-20

55

29

10

6

2003 Jan 3-5 ^

55

27

13

5

2002 Oct 21-22

52

23

14

11

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

56

27

10

7

2002 Jun 28-30

57

22

13

8

2002 May 28-29 ^

51

19

19

11

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of a half sample

The environment

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

31

54

9

5

2003 Jan 3-5 ^

27

56

10

7

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

28

60

5

7

2002 May 28-29 ^

28

49

12

11

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of a half sample

Federal spending

Republicans

Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

50

35

11

4

Who do you want to have more influence over the direction the nation takes in the next year -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama (or) The Republicans in Congress]?


Obama

Republicans
in Congress

Same/
Neither (vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30

43

48

6

3

For comparison: Who do you want to have more influence over the direction the nation takes in the next year -- [ROTATED: George W. Bush (or) The Democrats in Congress]?


Bush

Democrats
in Congress

Both/
Neither (vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2007 Jan 5-7 ^

32

63

4

2

2006 Nov 9-12

31

61

6

2

2002 Jan 11-14 ^

59

36

2

3

2001 Jul 10-11

50

38

9

3

2001 Jun 8-10

48

41

6

5

2001 Feb 9-11

48

41

8

3

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of a half sample

For comparison: Who do you want to have more influence over the direction the nation takes in the next year -- [ROTATED: Bill Clinton (or) The Republicans in Congress]?

Clinton

Republicans
in Congress

Both/
Neither (vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

1999 Apr 13-14

44

43

9

4

1999 Jan 8-10

55

37

5

3

1998 Dec 19-20

60

31

6

3

1998 Oct 9-12

53

39

5

3

1998 Sep 14-15

44

43

8

5

1998 Jan 24-25

49

40

6

5

1998 Jan 23-24

46

41

7

6

1997 Aug 22-25

49

41

5

5

1997 Jan 31-Feb 2

48

39

9

4

1996 Nov 21-24

43

41

9

7

1996 May 9-12

54

41

4

1

1996 Apr 9-10

50

42

4

4

1996 Jan 5-7

41

47

3

9

1995 Nov 6-8

48

42

2

8

1995 Feb 24-26

37

52

4

7

1995 Jan 16-18

40

49

5

6

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Suppose that after the November elections most of the present members of Congress are replaced with new members. Do you think it would change Congress for the better or change Congress for the worse?

Better

Worse

No opinion

%

%

%

2010 Aug 27-30 ^

75

14

11

^ Asked of a half sample

Suppose you had a choice among each of the following four types of candidates for Congress. Which one would you be most likely to vote for -- [ROTATED: a Republican who is currently serving in Congress, a Republican who has not served in Congress, a Democrat who has not served in Congress, (or) a Democrat who is currently serving in Congress]?

2010 Aug 27-30 ^

%

Republican serving in Congress

15

Republican who has not served in Congress

38

Democrat who has not served in Congress

16

Democrat serving in Congress

24

Other (vol.)

3

No opinion

4

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^Asked of a half sample

(Asked of those who say most members of Congress do not deserve to be re-elected) We'd like to know a little more about your views on whether most members of Congress deserve to be re-elected. Please tell me some of the reasons why you believe most members of Congress do not deserve to be re-elected. [OPEN-ENDED]

BASED ON ADULTS WHO SAY MOST MEMBERS OF CONGRESS DO NOT DESERVE TO BE RE-ELECTED

2010 Jun 11-13

%

Doing a bad job/Not doing their job

29

Not working in best interests of country as a whole

15

Many have been there too long/Need new members/Fresh ideas

15

Self-serving/Self-interested/Corrupt

13

Too partisan/Vote along party lines/Not working together

12

Not listening to the American people

6

Too much spending/debt

5

Not addressing economic issues

4

Healthcare legislation

4

Cater to lobbyists/special interests

3

Too many Democrats in Congress

2

Financial bailouts

2

Oppose Obama too much

2

Too many Republicans in Congress

1

Not addressing military/war issues

1

Not addressing immigration issues

1

Other

3

No reason in particular (vol.)

2

No opinion

2

Note: Total adds to more than 100% due to multiple responses

(vol.) = Volunteered response

How likely are you to vote for an independent candidate for federal or state office this year instead of a Democrat or Republican -- very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?

Very
likely

Somewhat
likely

Not too
likely

Not at
all likely

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 Jun 11-13

18

45

19

16

3

How important is your view of President Barack Obama in determining your vote for Congress this year -- very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not too
important

Not
important
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 May 24-25

42

24

18

16

1

2002 Oct 3-6 (George W. Bush)

38

30

14

17

1

When you vote for a candidate for the House of Representatives, which is more important to you -- [ROTATED: his or her ability to do things that help people in your congressional district (or) that you agree with his or her positions on major national issues]?

Ability to
help people
in district

Agree with
positions
on issues

Both
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 May 24-25

39

55

5

1

2006 Jun 23-25

39

52

9

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

46

8

1

2002 Oct 3-6

38

53

5

3

2002 Apr 5-7

45

48

6

1

1994 Oct 22-25

50

39

10

1

1992 Apr 22-24

47

41

9

3

(vol.) = Volunteered response

If you had to choose, which type of congressional candidate would you rather vote for in November -- [ROTATED: a candidate who has been in Congress, (or) a candidate who has never been in Congress]?

Has been in
Congress

Has never been
in Congress

No opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2010 May 24-25

32

60

8

In the elections for Congress this fall, will you be -- [ROTATED: more likely to vote for a candidate who supports the healthcare bill Congress passed, will the healthcare bill not make much difference to your vote, (or will you be) more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes the healthcare bill Congress passed]?

(Asked of those more likely to vote for a candidate who supports the healthcare bill) Will you be much more likely to vote for a candidate who supports the healthcare bill Congress passed, or only somewhat more likely?

(Asked of those more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes the healthcare bill) Will you be much more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes the healthcare bill Congress passed, or only somewhat more likely?

COMBINED RESULTS

2010 Mar 26-28

Registered
voters

%

More likely to vote for candidate who supports healthcare bill

39

(Much more likely)

(26)

(Somewhat more likely)

(13)

Does not make much difference

14

More likely to vote for candidate who opposes healthcare bill

44

(Much more likely)

(32)

(Somewhat more likely)

(12)

No opinion

2


Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/142907/Election-2010.aspx
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