Americas

Election 2008 Topics and Trends

Registered Voter Trend: If the Presidential Election Were Held Today, and Barack Obama Were the Democratic Party's Candidate and John McCain Were the Republican Party's Candidate, Who Would You Vote for?

Likely Voter Trend: If the Presidential Election Were Held Today, and Barack Obama Were the Democratic Party's Candidate and John McCain Were the Republican Party's Candidate, Who Would You Vote for?

Are you certain now that you will vote for [Barack Obama/John McCain] for president, or do you think you may change your mind between now and the November election?




Vote for
Obama,
certain

Vote for
Obama,
may change
mind

Vote for
McCain,
may change
mind



Vote for
McCain,
certain





No
opinion




NET:
"swing voters"

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2

%

%

%

%

%

%

Likely voters I

51

2

3

39

5

10

Registered voters

50

3

3

37

7

13

For comparison: USA Today/Gallup poll trends




Vote for
Obama,
certain

Vote for
Obama,
may change
mind

Vote for
McCain,
may change
mind



Vote for
McCain,
certain





No
opinion




NET:
"swing voters"

%

%

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2008 Sep 5-7

39

5

7

47

2

14

2008 Aug 21-23

38

10

8

37

7

25

2008 Jun 15-19

42

8

9

35

6

23

Registered voters

2008 Sep 5-7

38

8

9

41

5

22

2008 Aug 30-31 ^

42

8

6

37

7

21

2008 Aug 21-23

36

11

9

34

10

30

2008 Jun 15-19

38

10

11

31

10

31

National adults

2008 Sep 5-7

38

8

9

39

6

23

2008 Aug 21-23

37

12

9

32

10

31

2008 Jun 15-19

39

10

11

30

10

31

^ USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup daily tracking survey

NOTE: "Swing voters" include those who are uncertain about their vote choice or have no opinion as to whom they would vote for.

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district -- [ROTATE: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate]?

As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATE: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate]?

Democratic
candidate

Republican
candidate

Undecided/
Other

%

%

%

Likely voters I

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2

53

41

6

2008 Oct 10-12

51

45

5

2008 Sep 5-7

45

50

6

2008 Aug 21-23

51

42

7

2008 Jun 15-19

52

42

7

2008 Feb 8-10

55

41

3

Likely voters II

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2

54

41

6

2008 Oct 10-12

51

45

5

2008 Sep 5-7

47

48

6

2008 Aug 21-23

51

42

7

Notes: Likely voters I is the likely voter estimate using the traditional Gallup likely voter model, with likely voters determined on the basis of a series of questions measuring current voting intention and past voting behavior.

Likely voters II is an alternative likely voter estimate using a series of questions measuring current voting intention only.

Registered voters

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2

54

39

7

2008 Oct 10-12

51

44

6

2008 Sep 5-7

48

45

8

2008 Aug 21-23

51

40

10

2008 Jun 15-19

51

40

9

2008 Feb 8-10

55

40

4

2007 Dec 14-16

53

40

7

National adults

2008 Oct 10-12

51

43

7

2008 Sep 5-7

48

44

8

2008 Aug 21-23

53

38

10

2008 Jun 15-19

52

40

9

2008 Feb 8-10

56

40

4

2007 Dec 14-16

53

39

9

Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic than usual about voting, or less enthusiastic?

More
enthusiastic

Less
enthusiastic

Same
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2 †

68

19

12

1

2008 Oct 23-26

69

19

11

1

2008 Oct 10-12

62

27

11

1

2008 Sep 5-7

64

21

14

1

2008 Aug 30-31 †

54

28

17

2

2008 Aug 21-23

48

37

14

1

2008 Jun 15-19

48

37

14

1

2008 Feb 8-10

63

29

8

*

2008 Jan 10-13 ^

62

28

10

1

2004 Oct 14-16 ^

67

21

12

*

2004 Sep 3-5 ^

65

23

11

1

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

60

29

11

--

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 ^

69

22

9

--

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

60

25

14

1

2004 Mar 26-28

52

29

18

1

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

56

32

12

*

2000 Oct 13-15

38

39

20

3

2000 Mar 10-12

39

38

22

1

2000 Jan 7-10

45

37

17

1

1996 Oct 23-24

17

36

45

2

National adults

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2 †

65

21

11

2

2008 Oct 23-26

67

21

11

1

2008 Oct 10-12

60

28

10

1

2008 Sep 5-7

62

23

14

1

2008 Aug 30-31 †

51

30

16

4

2008 Aug 21-23

48

38

13

1

2008 Jun 15-19

48

37

14

1

2008 Feb 8-10

62

30

7

1

2008 Jan 10-13 ^

60

29

10

1

2004 Oct 14-16 ^

65

23

11

1

2004 Sep 3-5 ^

64

24

11

1

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

57

32

10

1

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 ^

67

25

8

*

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

59

27

13

1

2004 Mar 26-28

51

32

16

1

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

55

34

10

1

2000 Mar 10-12

37

40

21

2

2000 Jan 7-10

43

38

17

2

Democrats/Democratic leaners

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2 †

73

15

10

2

2008 Oct 23-26

76

15

8

1

2008 Oct 10-12

71

18

10

1

2008 Sep 5-7

67

19

13

1

2008 Aug 30-31 †

61

24

12

3

2008 Aug 21-23

57

28

14

1

2008 Jun 15-19

61

25

13

1

2008 Feb 8-10

79

15

6

*

2008 Jan 10-13 ^

74

19

6

1

2004 Oct 14-16 ^

67

23

10

--

2004 Sep 3-5 ^

62

29

7

2

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

60

30

10

*

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 ^

73

21

6

--

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

68

20

12

--

2004 Mar 26-28

51

35

13

1

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

59

34

6

1

2000 Mar 10-12

33

47

19

1

2000 Jan 7-10

39

42

17

2

Republicans/Republican leaners

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2 †

59

27

12

2

2008 Oct 23-26

65

20

13

1

2008 Oct 10-12

51

38

10

1

2008 Sep 5-7

60

24

15

1

2008 Aug 30-31 †

42

36

20

2

2008 Aug 21-23

39

47

13

1

2008 Jun 15-19

35

51

13

1

2008 Feb 8-10

44

48

8

*

2008 Jan 10-13 ^

49

37

12

2

2004 Oct 14-16 ^

68

19

12

1

2004 Sep 3-5 ^

69

18

13

*

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

60

30

9

1

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1 ^

62

27

11

*

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

51

32

15

2

2004 Mar 26-28

52

27

20

1

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

53

31

15

1

2000 Mar 10-12

45

32

22

1

2000 Jan 7-10

51

32

16

1

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Note: trend for presidential elections

^ Asked of half sample

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup daily tracking survey

(Asked of a half sample) How would you rate Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden for vice president? Would you rate this choice as -- excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?


Excellent

Pretty
good

Only
fair


Poor

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2 ^

21

39

23

15

2

2008 Sep 5-7

25

38

24

9

4

2008 Aug 23 ^

16

31

21

12

20

^ USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup daily tracking survey

(Asked of a half sample) How would you rate John McCain's choice of Sarah Palin for vice president? Would you rate this choice as -- excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?


Excellent

Pretty
good

Only
fair


Poor

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 31-Nov 2 ^

16

19

18

45

2

2008 Sep 5-7

36

24

14

24

2

2008 Aug 29 ‡

19

27

19

18

17

‡ Based on one-night Palin vice presidential selection poll of registered voters (USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup daily tracking survey)

^ USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup daily tracking survey

Does the outcome of this year's presidential election matter to you more than in previous years, less than in previous years, or about the same?

Matters
more

Matters
less

Same
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

74

1

25

*

2007 Nov 2-4^

58

2

40

--

2004 Oct 14-16

72

2

26

--

2000 Oct 13-15

47

5

48

*

1996 Oct 23-24

41

8

50

1

1996 Oct 22-23

44

6

49

1

1996 Oct 21-22

41

5

53

1

1996 Oct 20-21

39

5

55

1

National adults

2007 Nov 2-4

56

2

41

*

2004 Oct 14-16

71

2

27

--

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ WORDING: Does the outcome of next year's presidential election matter to you more than in previous years, less than in previous years, or about the same?

Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be re-elected, or not. How about -- [ROTATED]?

A. The U.S. representative in your congressional district

Yes, deserves

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

59

25

16

2008 Jul 25-27

57

29

14

2008 Jun 15-19

62

26

12

Likely voters

2008 Jul 25-27

58

30

12

2008 Jun 15-19

62

27

11

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

58

25

18

2008 Jul 25-27

55

28

17

2008 Jun 15-19

63

24

14

Note: Full 1992-2008 trend not shown

B. Most members of Congress

Yes, deserves

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

36

51

13

2008 Jul 25-27

36

52

12

2008 Jun 15-19

39

50

11

Likely voters

2008 Jul 25-27

34

54

12

2008 Jun 15-19

38

52

10

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

36

50

14

2008 Jul 25-27

36

50

14

2008 Jun 15-19

41

47

11

Note: Full 1992-2008 trend not shown

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have.

A. Barack Obama

Agree, has
qualities

Disagree/
Does not

No
opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

61

37

2

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

61

36

3

2007 Nov 2-4

56

35

9

B. John McCain

Agree, has
qualities

Disagree/
Does not

No
opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

60

38

2

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

60

38

2

For comparison: 2000-2004 elections

Agree,
has
qualities

Disagree/
Does not

No
opinion

%

%

%

(RV) 2004 Oct 22-24

George W. Bush

57

41

2

John Kerry

52

44

4

(RV) 2000 Oct 20-22

George W. Bush

57

39

4

Al Gore

59

37

4

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- on the issues that matter most to you.

A. John McCain

Agree

Disagree

No opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

48

50

3

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

47

50

3

B. Barack Obama

Agree

Disagree

No opinion

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

51

46

2

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

52

45

3

2007 Nov 2-4

48

38

13

For comparison: 2004 election

Agree

Disagree

No opinion

%

%

%

(RV) 2004 Oct 22-24

George W. Bush

50

48

2

John Kerry

49

49

2

Now I am going to read a list of some of the issues that will probably be discussed in this year's presidential election campaign. As I read each one, please tell me how important the candidates' positions on that issue will be in influencing your vote for president -- extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not important. How about -- [random order A-N]?

A. The economy

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

55

40

4

*

*

2008 Jun 15-19

49

42

8

1

*

2008 Feb 8-10

41

48

9

2

*

* Less than 0.5%

B. Terrorism

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

42

38

17

3

1

2008 Jun 15-19

41

35

20

4

*

2008 Feb 8-10

40

37

19

4

*

C. The situation in Iraq

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

41

40

15

3

*

2008 Jun 15-19

44

41

12

2

1

2008 Feb 8-10

43

44

11

2

*

D. Healthcare

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

41

37

19

3

*

2008 Jun 15-19

41

39

17

3

--

2008 Feb 8-10

37

42

17

3

*

E. Energy, including gas prices

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

41

44

14

1

*

2008 Jun 15-19

51

39

8

2

*

2008 Feb 8-10

36

43

18

3

*

F. Illegal immigration

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

25

32

33

9

*

2008 Jun 15-19

27

32

31

10

*

2008 Feb 8-10

26

34

30

9

1

* Less than 0.5%

G. Taxes

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

40

41

17

2

*

2008 Jun 15-19

34

38

24

4

*

2008 Feb 8-10

27

42

27

4

*

H. Moral values

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

39

34

20

5

1

2008 Jun 15-19

34

35

21

9

1

2008 Feb 8-10

33

36

21

9

*

I. Education

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

39

41

18

2

*

2008 Feb 8-10

35

46

16

3

*

J. The environment

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

26

36

31

6

1

2008 Feb 8-10

27

35

27

11

--

K. The federal budget deficit

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

44

38

16

2

*

2008 Feb 8-10

30

43

22

4

1

* Less than 0.5%

L. The situation in Afghanistan

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

37

40

19

3

1

M. Medicare

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 8-10

29

40

26

4

*

* Less than 0.5%

N. Social Security

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 8-10

30

43

22

4

*

O. Corruption in government

Extremely
important

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 8-10

40

39

17

4

*

(Asked of a half sample) Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or John McCain would better handle each of the following issues. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. The economy

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

52

42

2

4

2008 Oct 10-12

53

39

3

6

2008 Sep 5-7

48

45

2

5

2008 Aug 30-31 †

55

36

2

8

2008 Aug 21-23

54

38

2

6

2008 Feb 8-10 ^

47

43

1

9

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of a half sample

B. Terrorism

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

37

59

2

3

2008 Oct 10-12

39

55

1

5

2008 Sep 5-7

38

55

2

5

2008 Aug 30-31 †

41

50

2

7

2008 Aug 21-23

35

57

3

5

2008 Feb 8-10 ^

34

60

1

6

^ Asked of a half sample

C. The situation in Iraq

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

41

54

1

3

2008 Oct 10-12

46

50

*

4

2008 Sep 5-7

42

52

2

4

2008 Aug 30-31 †

47

46

1

6

2008 Aug 21-23

42

51

2

5

2008 Feb 8-10 ^

40

54

*

5

* Less than 0.5%

^ Asked of a half sample

D. Healthcare policy

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

56

38

2

5

2008 Oct 10-12

61

32

1

6

2008 Sep 5-7

52

40

1

7

2008 Aug 21-23

57

32

3

8

2008 Feb 8-10 ^

56

33

1

10

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of a half sample

E. Energy, including gas prices

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

52

43

2

3

2008 Oct 10-12

52

40

2

6

2008 Sep 5-7

46

46

3

5

2008 Aug 21-23

52

38

4

6

(vol.) = Volunteered response

F. Taxes

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

50

44

1

4

2008 Oct 10-12

52

40

2

6

2008 Sep 5-7

43

49

2

6

2008 Aug 21-23

48

43

2

7

(vol.) = Volunteered response

G. The situation in Afghanistan

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

40

54

1

4

H. Gun policy

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

38

50

1

10

2008 Sep 5-7

37

51

2

10

(vol.) = Volunteered response

I. Abortion

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

47

42

1

10

(vol.) = Volunteered response

J. Illegal immigration

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

38

47

4

11

2008 Feb 8-10

37

50

3

10

K. Education

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

53

36

3

8

L. Foreign policy

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

38

51

2

9

M. U.S. policy toward Russia

Obama

McCain

Same (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

36

51

2

11

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Do you think [RANDOM ORDER] would rely too much on the federal government to solve the country's problems, not enough, or about the right amount?

A. Barack Obama

Would rely
too much

Right
amount

Not
enough

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

34

47

14

5

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

34

47

14

5

B. John McCain

Would rely
too much

Right
amount

Not
enough

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

16

53

25

7

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

16

52

26

7

For comparison: 2000 election

Would rely
too much

Right
amount

Not
enough

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

(RV) 2000 Sep 11-13 -- Gore

31

47

12

10

(RV) 2000 Sep 11-13 -- Bush

19

45

24

12

(RV) = Registered voters

Do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- can -- or cannot -- handle the responsibilities of commander-in-chief of the military?

A. Barack Obama

Yes, can

No, cannot

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26^

58

40

2

2008 Sep 5-7

55

42

3

2008 Aug 21-23

53

44

3

2008 Jul 25-27

52

41

7

2008 Jun 15-19

55

40

5

B. John McCain

Yes, can

No, cannot

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26^^

80

18

3

2008 Sep 5-7

84

15

1

2008 Aug 21-23

80

18

2

2008 Jul 25-27

76

19

5

2008 Jun 15-19

80

17

3

^ Asked of a half sample

For comparison (2004 election):

George W. Bush

Yes, can

No, cannot

No opinion

%

%

%

2004 Oct 14-16

65

34

1

2004 Oct 1-3

66

33

1

2004 Sep 24-26

67

31

2

2004 Sep 3-5

68

32

*

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

61

38

1

2004 Jun 21-23

61

35

4

John Kerry

Yes, can

No, cannot

No opinion

%

%

%

2004 Oct 14-16

57

40

3

2004 Oct 1-3

53

43

4

2004 Sep 24-26

49

46

5

2004 Sep 3-5

55

40

5

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

63

33

4

2004 Jun 21-23

61

30

9

(Asked of a half sample) In your view, does [RANDOM ORDER] have the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president, or not?

A. John McCain

Yes, has

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

78

20

2

B. Barack Obama

Yes, has

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

50

48

2

For comparison: 2000 election

Yes, has

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

1999 Dec 9-12 (Al Gore)

57

41

2

1999 Dec 9-12 (George W. Bush)

64

30

6

If Barack Obama is elected president, do you think your federal income taxes would increase, decrease, or remain the same?


Increase


Decrease

Remain
the same

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

49

19

29

3

2008 Sep 5-7 ^

54

13

27

6

2008 Aug 21-23

53

12

32

3

^ Asked of a half sample

If John McCain is elected president, do you think your federal income taxes would be increased, decreased or remain the same?


Increase


Decrease

Remain
the same

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

36

8

52

4

2008 Sep 5-7 ^

32

13

50

5

2008 Aug 21-23

34

9

54

3

Trends for comparison:

If John Kerry is elected president/George W. Bush is re-elected president, do you think your federal income taxes would be increased, decreased, or remain the same?


Increased


Decreased

Remain
the same

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2004 Oct 9-10 (Kerry)

48

13

34

5

2004 Oct 9-10 (Bush)

25

13

57

5

If Al Gore/George W. Bush is elected President, do you think the federal income taxes you personally pay will be cut, raised, or stay about the same?


Raised


Cut

Stay about
the same

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2000 Sep 15-17 (Gore) ^

26

6

61

7

2000 Sep 15-17 (Bush) ^

27

17

49

7

^ Based on registered voters

How would you describe the political views of Barack Obama -- [ROTATED: very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative (or) very conservative]?

Very
liberal

Liberal

Mod-
erate

Conser-
vative

Very
conser-
vative

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

29

32

24

8

3

4

How would you describe the political views of John McCain -- [ROTATED: very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative (or) very conservative]?

Very
liberal

Liberal

Mod-
erate

Conser-
vative

Very
conser-
vative

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

2

8

26

45

16

3

Next I'm going to read some statements about the election. As I read each one, please say whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with each one. How about -- [ITEMS ROTATED]?

A. The stakes in this presidential election are higher than in previous years

Strongly
agree

Somewhat
agree

Somewhat
disagree

Strongly
disagree

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

76

16

5

2

1

2004 Oct 22-24

70

20

7

2

1

1996 Oct 22-23

37

30

20

9

4

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

75

16

5

3

1

2004 Oct 22-24

69

20

8

2

1

B. I am afraid of what will happen if my candidate for president does not win

Strongly
agree

Somewhat
agree

Somewhat
disagree

Strongly
disagree

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

54

22

15

7

2

2004 Oct 22-24

54

22

16

7

1

1996 Oct 22-23

35

24

22

15

4

National adults

2008 Oct 23-26

53

22

15

8

2

2004 Oct 22-24

53

22

16

7

2

(Asked of a half sample) Are you generally satisfied or dissatisfied with the way [items rotated] has been conducted?

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

John McCain's campaign

40

59

1

Barack Obama's campaign

66

31

2

For Comparison: 2000-2004 elections

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

No opinion

%

%

%

2004 Oct 22-24

George W. Bush's campaign

55

42

3

John Kerry's campaign

51

46

3

2000 Oct 6-9

George W. Bush's campaign

58

31

11

Al Gore's campaign

61

30

9

(Asked of a half sample) How would you describe the tone of the presidential campaign so far? Would you say it has been mostly positive, about equally positive and negative, or mostly negative in tone?

(Asked of those who say the campaign has been mostly negative) Would you say that it has been very negative or somewhat negative?

2008 Oct 23-26^

2004 Oct 22-24^

2000 Oct 6-9

%

%

%

Mostly positive

11

13

26

About equally positive and negative

37

37

55

Mostly negative

50

48

15

(Very negative)

(26)

(23)

(3)

(Somewhat negative)

(24)

(25)

(12)

No opinion

1

2

4

^ Asked of a half sample

(Asked of a half sample) How confident are you that, across the country, the votes will be accurately cast and counted in next year's election -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very
confident

Somewhat
confident

Not too
confident

Not at all
confident

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

18

41

30

11

*

2007 Nov 30-Dec 2

25

46

20

10

*

2006 Oct 20-22

28

47

17

8

*

2004 Oct 14-16 ^

29

43

21

6

1

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

34

42

15

6

3

* Less than 0.5%

^ WORDING: How confident are you that, across the country, the votes for president will be accurately cast and counted in this year's election -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

(Asked of a half sample) Just your best guess, in this year's election, will be a major problem, a minor problem, or not a problem at all across the country? How about -- [ITEMS ROTATED]?

A. Eligible voters not being allowed to cast a vote

Major
problem

Minor
problem

Not a
problem
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

32

32

35

1

2004 Oct 14-16

25

31

41

3

B. Votes being cast by people who, by law, are not eligible to vote

Major
problem

Minor
problem

Not a
problem
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

44

32

23

1

2004 Oct 14-16

24

43

30

3

Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the presidential election in November?


Obama


McCain

Other
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

71

23

*

6

2008 Jun 9-12

52

41

*

6

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

For comparison: 1996-2004 elections

2004: John Kerry vs. George W. Bush

Kerry

Bush

Other (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2004 Oct 14-16

36

56

*

8

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

47

47

*

6

2004 Mar 5-7

42

52

*

6

2000: Al Gore vs. George W. Bush

Gore

Bush

Other (vol.)

No opinion

%

%

%

%

(RV) 2000 Sep 15-17

52

35

*

13

(NA) 2000 Aug 24-27

36

47

1

16

(NA) 2000 Aug 4-5

23

70

*

7

(NA) 2000 Jun 6-7

23

70

*

7

(NA) 2000 Mar 10-12

35

53

1

11

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

1996: Bill Clinton vs. Bob Dole

Clinton

Dole

Other (vol.)

No opinion

1996 Aug 23-25

69%

24

--

7

If you could vote separately for vice president, would you be more likely to vote for -- [ROTATED: Joe Biden, the Democrat, (or) Sarah Palin, the Republican]?


Biden


Palin

Neither (vol.)

Other
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

54

43

1

*

2

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of half sample

For comparison: 1988 and 2004 elections

2004: John Edwards vs. Dick Cheney


Edwards


Cheney

Neither
(vol.)

Other
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

(RV) 2004 Oct 9-10

51

45

2

*

2

(RV) 2004 Aug 23-25 ^

52

42

2

*

4

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

^ Asked of half sample

1988: Lloyd Bentsen vs. Dan Quayle


Bentsen


Quayle

Neither
(vol.)

Other
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

(RV) 1988 Oct 7-9

53

31

--

--

16

If [ROTATED: John McCain/Barack Obama] is elected president in November, which party would you prefer to have in control of Congress -- [ROTATED: the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party]?

A. If John McCain is elected

Republican

Democratic

Neither/
Doesn't
matter
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

38

57

3

3

(vol.) = Volunteered response

B. If Barack Obama is elected

Republican

Democratic

Neither/
Doesn't
matter
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Oct 23-26

48

47

2

3

(vol.) = Volunteered response

For comparison: 1996 and 2004 elections

2004: If George W. Bush is re-elected

Republican

Democratic

Neither (vol.)

Doesn't
matter
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

(RV) 2004 Oct 22-24

45

52

1

1

1

2004: If John Kerry is elected

Republican

Democratic

Neither (vol.)

Doesn't
matter
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

(RV) 2004 Oct 22-24

49

47

1

2

1

1996: If Bill Clinton is re-elected

Republican

Democratic

Neither (vol.)

Doesn't
matter
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

(RV) 1996 Oct 27-28

46

47

2

2

3

(RV) 1996 Sep 7-9

44

46

2

4

5

(RV) 1996 Sep 6-8

44

46

2

4

5

(RV) 1996 Sep 5-7

44

45

2

4

6

(RV) 1996 Sep 4-6

43

47

2

3

5

(vol.) = Volunteered response

(RV) = Registered voters

Now, thinking about how the outcome of this year's presidential election might affect your own financial situation, do you think you, personally, would be better off if -- [ROTATED: John McCain is elected president (or if) Barack Obama is elected president]

McCain

Obama

Same/No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 23-26

43

48

6

3

(vol.) = Volunteered response

If -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- is elected president, are you confident that he and his economic advisers can fix the economy, or not?

2008 Oct 10-12

Yes,
confident

No, not
confident

No
opinion

%

%

%

Barack Obama

44

50

6

John McCain

31

63

6

(Asked of those with a candidate preference) What would you say are the one or two most important reasons why you would vote for [preferred candidate]? [OPEN-ENDED]

(Asked of those with a candidate leaning) What would you say are the one or two most important reasons why you lean toward voting for [preferred candidate]?

Oct
3-5,
2008

Sep.
8-11,
2008

%

%

Want change/Fresh approach

22

21

Agree with his values/views (nonspecific)

16

10

Experienced/Qualified

13

12

Economy/His economic plan

8

11

Always support that party

7

11

Honest/Has integrity/Good character

7

11

Iraq war/Plans for handling it

7

6

Smart/Intelligent/Knowledgeable

5

4

National security/Terrorism issue

5

9

For the working/middle class

4

6

Like his choice of running mate

3

5

Military background/Service to country

3

5

Healthcare reform

3

2

Independent/Goes against party/A maverick

2

3

Conservative/More conservative candidate

2

3

International affairs/Foreign policy

2

3

Taxes/His tax plan

2

2

Trustworthy/Trust him

1

5

Education/His education plan

1

1

Favors smaller government

1

3

Energy/His energy plan

1

2

Environment/Global warming

*

1

Other

15

4

No reason in particular (vol.)

3

2

No opinion

2

1

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Percentages add to more than 100% due to multiple responses.

Does each of the following make you more likely to vote for Barack Obama for president, less likely to vote for him, or does it make no difference to your vote? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

2008 Oct 3-5
(sorted by "more likely")
More
likely

No
difference

Less
likely

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

His economic and tax plans

43

22

31

5

That he opposed the war in Iraq in 2003

43

26

30

1

His pro-choice position on abortion

38

29

31

2

His choice of Joe Biden as his
vice presidential running mate

36

45

18

1

That he opposed the surge
of U.S. troops in Iraq in 2007

32

29

36

2

That he is a Democrat

29

51

19

1

His age

24

67

9

1

His race

8

86

6

1

Does each of the following make you more likely to vote for John McCain for president, less likely to vote for him, or does it make no difference to your vote? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

2008 Oct 3-5
(sorted by "more likely")
More
likely

No
difference

Less
likely

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

That he supported the surge
of U.S. troops in Iraq in 2007

37

30

32

2

His pro-life position on abortion

34

29

35

2

His choice of Sarah Palin as his
vice presidential running mate

32

26

41

1

That he supported the war in Iraq in 2003

30

27

42

1

His economic and tax plans

29

22

43

6

That he is a Republican

22

49

29

1

His age

8

55

37

1

His race

7

86

6

1

In your view, has the news media's coverage of John McCain during the presidential campaign been -- [ROTATED: unfairly positive, about right, or unfairly negative]?

Unfairly
positive

About
right

Unfairly
negative

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 8-11

13

53

30

4

2008 Jul 25-27

12

46

32

10

In your view, has the news media's coverage of Barack Obama during the presidential campaign been -- [ROTATED: unfairly positive, about right, or unfairly negative]?

Unfairly
positive

About
right

Unfairly
negative

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 8-11

32

47

16

5

2008 Jul 25-27

39

39

15

7

In your view, has the news media's coverage of Joe Biden during the presidential campaign been -- [ROTATED: unfairly positive, about right, or unfairly negative]?

Unfairly
positive

About
right

Unfairly
negative

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 8-11

15

59

11

16

In your view, has the news media's coverage of Sarah Palin during the presidential campaign been -- [ROTATED: unfairly positive, about right, or unfairly negative]?

Unfairly
positive

About
right

Unfairly
negative

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 8-11

21

36

33

9

If you had to choose, which of the following issues will be most important to your vote for president -- [ROTATED: the economy, terrorism, the situation in Iraq, health care, energy, including gas prices], or some other issue?

2008 Sep 5-7

2008 Aug 21-23

%

%

The economy

42

43

The situation in Iraq

13

15

Energy, including gas prices

13

14

Health care

13

11

Terrorism

12

9

Illegal immigration (vol.)

1

1

Abortion (vol.)

1

1

Education (vol.)

1

*

Environment (vol.)

*

*

Other

4

4

No opinion

1

3

* Less than 0.5%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each applies or doesn't apply to Barack Obama. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Is a strong and decisive leader

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

61

37

2

2008 Apr 18-20

55

39

6

2008 Mar 14-16

56

37

7

B. Shares your values

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

58

40

2

2008 Apr 18-20

51

44

5

2008 Mar 14-16

51

44

5

C. Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

51

46

3

2008 Apr 18-20

40

53

7

2008 Mar 14-16

41

53

6

D. Can manage the government effectively

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

55

41

4

2008 Apr 18-20

48

45

6

2008 Mar 14-16

48

45

7

E. Understands the problems Americans face in their daily lives

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

73

26

1

2008 Apr 18-20

63

34

3

2008 Mar 14-16

67

30

3

F. Cares about the needs of people like you

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

62

33

5

2008 Mar 14-16

66

31

3

G. Is honest and trustworthy

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

60

32

8

2008 Mar 14-16

63

29

7

H. Is someone you would be proud to have as president

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

55

41

4

2008 Mar 14-16

57

38

4

I. Has a vision for the country's future

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Mar 14-16

67

29

4

J. Would work well with both parties to get things done in Washington

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Mar 14-16

62

33

5

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each applies or doesn't apply to John McCain. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Is a strong and decisive leader

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

63

35

2

2008 Apr 18-20

66

28

6

2008 Mar 14-16

69

27

4

2000 Feb 25-27

68

20

12

2000 Feb 20-21

59

26

15

2000 Feb 4-6

62

22

16

B. Shares your values

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

50

47

3

2008 Apr 18-20

47

47

6

2008 Mar 14-16

46

49

5

C. Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

35

61

4

2008 Apr 18-20

33

58

9

2008 Mar 14-16

42

52

6

D. Can manage the government effectively

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

55

43

2

2008 Apr 18-20

55

37

8

2008 Mar 14-16

60

34

6

E. Understands the problems Americans face in their daily lives

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

48

50

2

2008 Apr 18-20

50

43

7

2008 Mar 14-16

55

41

5

F. Cares about the needs of people like you

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

52

41

6

2008 Mar 14-16

54

42

4

G. Is honest and trustworthy

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

65

27

8

2008 Mar 14-16

67

27

6

H. Is someone you would be proud to have as president

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

51

44

5

2008 Mar 14-16

55

41

4

2000 Feb 25-27

57

31

12

I. Has a vision for the country's future

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Mar 14-16

65

30

5

2000 Feb 20-21

67

19

14

J. Would work well with both parties to get things done in Washington

Applies

Doesn't apply

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Mar 14-16

61

34

5

2000 Feb 20-21

60

27

13

How concerned are you that, as president, John McCain would pursue policies that are too similar to what George W. Bush has pursued -- very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?

Very
concerned

Somewhat
concerned

Not too
concerned

Not
concerned
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

46

20

17

16

1

2008 Sep 5-7

42

21

21

16

*

2008 Aug 30-31 ^†

47

17

17

17

1

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

41

25

18

15

1

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

49

19

16

15

1

* Less than 0.5%

^ Asked of a half sample

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey

How concerned are you that Barack Obama lacks the experience needed to be an effective president -- very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?

Very
concerned

Somewhat
concerned

Not too
concerned

Not
concerned
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Oct 10-12

39

18

18

25

*

2008 Sep 5-7

38

18

17

26

1

2008 Aug 30-31 ^†

31

19

18

29

3

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

35

22

19

23

1

* Less than 0.5%

^ Asked of a half sample

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey

Thinking now about the challenges facing the next president, do you think these will be -- [ROTATED: more serious, about the same, (or) less serious] -- than what other new presidents have faced?

(Asked of those who think challenges facing next president will be more serious) Do you think the challenges facing the next president will be more serious than any new president has faced in the last 50 years, much more serious than usual, but not the most serious of the last 50 years, or only somewhat more serious than what new presidents have faced?

2008 Oct 10-12

%

More serious than what other new presidents have faced

84

(Most serious new president has faced in last 50 years)

(44)

(Much more serious, but not the most serious)

(27)

(Somewhat more serious)

(13)

About the same

12

Less serious than what other new presidents have faced

2

No opinion

1

For each of the following candidates, please say whether you think his or her political views are too conservative, about right, or too liberal. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Barack Obama

Too
conservative

About
right

Too
liberal

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

6

44

45

5

2008 Aug 21-23

6

43

43

8

2008 Jun 15-19

9

43

40

8

2008 Feb 8-10

8

47

37

8

B. John McCain

Too
conservative

About
right

Too
liberal

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

35

45

14

6

2008 Aug 21-23

36

39

17

8

2008 Jun 15-19

40

37

15

8

2008 Feb 8-10

30

42

20

8

2000 Feb 25-27

19

43

19

19

2000 Jan 17-19

15

36

13

36

Next, thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to John McCain. How about -- [random order]?

A. Cares about the needs of people like you

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

52

40

4

2

2

2008 Aug 21-23

53

33

5

7

2

2008 Jun 15-19

52

30

8

8

2

B. Is a strong and decisive leader

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

41

52

4

1

2

2008 Aug 30-31 †

46

44

4

2

4

2008 Aug 21-23

40

48

4

4

4

2008 Jun 15-19

40

46

7

4

3

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey

C. Shares your values

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

48

44

3

3

2

2008 Aug 30-31 †

52

39

3

3

4

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

47

40

2

7

4

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

47

39

4

6

4

^ Asked of a half sample

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey

D. Can manage the government effectively

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

42

49

3

3

3

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

43

44

5

5

3

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

42

42

7

6

3

^ Asked of a half sample

E. Is independent in his thoughts and actions

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

45

46

3

3

3

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

50

37

7

3

3

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

52

36

4

5

3

^ Asked of a half sample

F. Is honest and trustworthy

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

39

46

9

2

4

2008 Aug 30-31 †

45

37

8

6

4

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

39

39

10

8

4

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

39

35

14

8

4

^ Asked of a half sample

USA Today/Gallup poll asked on Gallup tracking survey

G. Would work well with both parties to get things done in Washington

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

44

48

3

2

3

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

51

38

6

3

2

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

48

35

9

5

3

^ Asked of a half sample

H. Puts the country's interests ahead of his own political interests

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

42

49

4

2

3

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

44

42

5

5

4

^ Asked of a half sample

I. Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

41

31

5

19

4

^ Asked of a half sample

J. Would stand up to special interests, including those aligned with his party

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

48

34

7

6

5

^ Asked of a half sample

K. Understands the problems Americans face in their daily lives

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

54

29

7

8

2

^ Asked of a half sample

Do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- has -- or has not -- changed his position on issues for political reasons?

A. Barack Obama

Yes, has

No, has not

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7 ^

56

36

8

2008 Aug 21-23

64

31

5

^ Asked of a half sample

B. John McCain

Yes, has

No, has not

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7 ^

46

46

8

2008 Aug 21-23

57

36

7

^ Asked of a half sample

Next, how effective do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- would be as president in addressing problems in the U.S. economy -- very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all?

A. Barack Obama

Very
effective

Somewhat
effective

Not too
effective

Not effective
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

28

38

17

14

3

B. John McCain

Very
effective

Somewhat
effective

Not too
effective

Not effective
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

21

42

17

18

2

As you may know, both Barack Obama and John McCain say that they want to change the way the government in Washington works. How effective do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- would be as president in changing the way the government works -- very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all?

A. John McCain

Very
effective

Somewhat
effective

Not too
effective

Not effective
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

20

34

22

22

2

B. Barack Obama

Very
effective

Somewhat
effective

Not too
effective

Not effective
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Sep 5-7

25

36

22

15

2

Which best describes your view of Barack Obama and John McCain -- [ROTATED: both would be a good president, neither would be a good president, only Barack Obama would be a good president (or) only John McCain would be a good president]?

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

25

19

29

25

2

2008 Jun 15-19

24

18

30

24

4

For comparison (2004 election):

Both
would
be good

Neither
would be
good

Only
Kerry
would be
good

Only
Bush
would be
good

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2004 Oct 14-16

12

8

38

40

2

2004 Sep 3-5

15

11

33

40

1

2004 Feb 16-17

21

8

36

32

3

Do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- does -- or does not -- have a clear plan for solving the country's problems?

A. John McCain

Yes, does

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

48

47

5

B. Barack Obama

Yes, does

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

47

50

3

If you had to choose, which of the following will be more important to your vote for president this year -- [ROTATED: a candidate's ability to improve the nation's economy (or) a candidate's ability to ensure the nation's security]?

Improve the
economy

Ensure nation's
security

No
opinion

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

54

43

3

How concerned are you that Barack Obama may be too closely aligned with people who hold radical political views -- very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?

Very
concerned

Somewhat
concerned

Not too
concerned

Not
concerned
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

25

25

17

31

2

2008 Jun 15-19

28

24

23

24

1

^ Asked of a half sample

How concerned are you that John McCain is too old to be president -- very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?

Very
concerned

Somewhat
concerned

Not too
concerned

Not
concerned
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23 ^

16

23

25

36

*

* Less than 0.5%

^ Asked of a half sample

If John McCain is elected president, who do you think his policies would benefit the most -- [ROTATED: the wealthy, the middle class, the poor], or all about equally?

Wealthy

Middle
class

Poor

All
equally

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

53

19

1

25

2

If Barack Obama is elected president, who do you think his policies would benefit the most -- [ROTATED: the wealthy, the middle class, the poor], or all about equally?

Wealthy

Middle
class

Poor

All
equally

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

16

33

22

25

4

If Barack Obama is elected president, do you think his actions as president would make race relations in the United States -- [ROTATED: much better, somewhat better, have no effect, make race relations somewhat worse (or) much worse]?

Much
better

Some-
what
better

Have
no
effect

Some-
what
worse

Much
worse

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

13

31

30

15

9

2

Would you say that John McCain has -- or has not -- attacked Barack Obama unfairly?

Yes, has

No, has not

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

48

47

5

Would you say that Barack Obama has -- or has not -- attacked John McCain unfairly?

Yes, has

No, has not

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

30

64

6

When you are considering which presidential candidate to vote for, how important is the candidate's spouse in your decision -- very important, somewhat important, not too important, not important at all?

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not too
important

Not
important
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

23

29

25

23

*

2004 Sep 13-15

23

31

25

20

1

* Less than 0.5%

A president can come from many different types of backgrounds. Please tell me how important military service is. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for someone with military service or wouldn't it make a difference to you?

More
likely

Less
likely

No
difference

No opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Aug 21-23

36

5

58

1

2004 Feb 16-17

38

1

60

1

Trend for Comparison: A president can come from many different types of backgrounds. Please tell me how important each of the following is. What about military service? Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for someone with military service or wouldn't it make a difference to you? (Source: Gordon Black/USA Today)

More
likely

Less
likely

No
difference

No
opinion

1987 Oct 25-30

36%

4

60

--

Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for someone who was a prisoner of war while serving in the U.S. military or wouldn't it make a difference to you?

More
likely

Less
likely

No
difference

No
opinion

2008 Aug 21-23

12%

4

83

1

Which one of the candidates running for president do you plan to vote for in November? (OPEN ENDED)

(If undecided) Are you currently leaning toward voting for one of the candidates for president in November? [IF YES:] Who is that? (OPEN ENDED)

2008 Aug 7-10

Registered
voters

National
adults

Barack Obama (Democrat)

45

44

John McCain (Republican)

38

38

Bob Barr (Libertarian Party)

1

*

Ralph Nader (Independent)

1

*

Cynthia McKinney (Green Party)

*

*

Chuck Baldwin (Constitution Party)

--

--

Hillary Clinton

1

1

Other

1

1

None

5

6

Won't vote (vol.)

2

3

No opinion

6

7

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

Now, please think for a moment about the in which way Barack Obama and John McCain would handle important issues as president. When it comes to handling -- [RANDOM ORDER], please tell me if you think -- [ROTATED: both Obama and McCain would do a good job, neither would do a good job, only Obama would do a good job, (or) only McCain would do a good job]?

A. The economy

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

19

17

35

24

5

2008 Jun 15-19

23

13

36

23

5

B. Terrorism

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

28

10

17

39

6

2008 Jun 15-19

30

8

19

40

3

C. The situation in Iraq

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

17

11

31

36

5

2008 Jun 15-19

15

9

36

37

3

D. Energy, including gas prices

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

16

21

34

23

6

2008 Jun 15-19

23

17

36

19

5

E. (Asked of a half sample) Relations with other countries

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

27

5

35

28

5

F. (Asked of a half sample) Dealing with foreign leaders

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

31

7

28

30

4

G. Moral values

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

38

9

22

26

5

H. Illegal immigration

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

27

19

22

25

7

I. Healthcare

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

22

15

40

18

5

J. Taxes

Both

Neither

Only
Obama

Only
McCain

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

21

15

33

27

4

(Asked of those who say "both" would do a good job on a given issue) If you had to choose, who do you think would do a better job on -- [RANDOM ORDER AS APPROPRIATE] -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama (or) John McCain]?

COMBINED RESULTS: CANDIDATE WHO WOULD DO A BETTER JOB ON EACH ISSUE

A. The economy

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

45

30

17

8

2008 Jun 15-19

48

32

13

7

B. Terrorism

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

32

48

10

10

2008 Jun 15-19

33

52

8

7

C. The situation in Iraq

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

40

42

11

7

2008 Jun 15-19

43

43

9

5

D. Energy, including gas prices

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

41

28

21

10

2008 Jun 15-19

47

28

17

8

E. (Asked of a half sample) Relations with other countries

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

52

37

5

6

F. (Asked of a half sample) Dealing with foreign leaders

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

47

39

7

7

G. Healthcare

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

51

26

15

8

H. Taxes

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

44

35

15

6

I. Moral values

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

40

39

9

12

J. Illegal immigration

Obama

McCain

Neither do
a good job

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

34

36

19

11

As you may know, Barack Obama is concluding his overseas trip to Afghanistan, Iraq, the Middle East and Europe. Would you say you have a -- [ROTATED: very positive, positive, negative, (or) very negative] opinion of this trip, or don't you know enough to say?

Very
positive

Positive

Negative

Very
negative

Don't
know
enough
to say

No
answer

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jul 25-27

12

23

17

9

38

1

How much difference do you think the result of the election for president will make to you and your family -- a great deal of difference, quite a lot, not much, or no difference at all?

2008 Jun 15-19

A great
deal

Quite
a lot

Not
much

None
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

38

32

19

8

3

Registered voters

34

30

22

11

3

National adults

32

29

24

12

3

For comparison (Harris Polls)

A great
deal

Quite
a lot

Not
much

None
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2004 Oct 14-17 (likely voters)

43

30

19

6

1

2000 Oct 19-26 (reg. voters)

22

32

31

12

4

1996 Oct 17-20 (likely voters)

19

29

39

10

2

Which of the following do you think will be most important to you when you decide who to vote for -- [ROTATED: where the candidates stand on issues that matter to you (or) the leadership skills and vision that you think the candidates would have as president]?

Stance on
the issues

Leadership
skills and
vision

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

Likely voters

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

43

46

10

*

1

2008 Feb 8-10

48

44

7

*

1

2004 Oct 1-3

39

46

14

*

1

2004 Sep 24-26

37

48

14

*

1

2004 Sep 3-5

38

50

11

*

1

2004 Jan 2-5

40

50

9

*

1

2000 Oct 20-22

44

36

17

1

2

2000 Sep 28-30

44

36

15

2

3

2000 Sep 11-13

44

38

15

1

2

2000 Sep 10-12

47

35

14

1

3

2000 Sep 9-11

48

33

16

1

2

2000 Sep 8-10

48

33

16

1

2

2000 Sep 7-9

45

35

16

1

3

2000 Aug 18-19

43

37

18

1

1

2000 Aug 11-12

46

36

17

*

1

2000 Jul 25-26

40

39

20

*

1

2000 Mar 10-12

38

50

11

1

*

2000 Feb 25-27

41

47

11

*

1

2000 Feb 4-6

39

48

12

*

1

2000 Jan 17-19

37

44

17

--

2

2000 Jan 13-16

39

47

13

1

--

2000 Jan 7-10

36

51

12

1

*

Registered voters

2008 Jun 15-19

42

45

10

*

3

2008 Feb 8-10

46

44

7

1

1

2004 Oct 1-3

40

45

13

*

2

2004 Sep 24-26

36

47

15

*

2

2004 Sep 3-5

39

47

11

1

2

2004 Jan 2-5

42

50

7

*

1

2000 Oct 20-22

43

38

15

1

3

2000 Sep 28-30

45

34

15

2

4

2000 Sep 11-13

46

36

13

1

4

2000 Sep 10-12

48

34

13

1

4

2000 Sep 9-11

48

33

15

*

4

2000 Sep 8-10

49

33

14

1

3

2000 Sep 7-9

46

34

15

1

4

2000 Aug 18-19

43

39

16

1

1

2000 Aug 11-12

45

37

15

1

2

2000 Jul 25-26

39

40

18

1

2

2000 Mar 10-12

37

50

10

1

2

2000 Feb 25-27

41

48

10

*

1

2000 Feb 4-6

40

46

12

*

2

2000 Jan 17-19

36

46

16

*

2

2000 Jan 13-16

35

51

11

1

2

2000 Jan 7-10

38

50

10

1

1

National adults

2008 Jun 15-19

42

45

9

1

3

2008 Feb 8-10

45

45

7

1

1

2004 Oct 1-3

39

46

12

1

2

2004 Sep 24-26

35

48

14

1

2

2004 Sep 3-5

39

47

12

*

2

2004 Jan 2-5

41

50

7

*

2

2000 Aug 18-19

43

40

14

1

2

2000 Aug 11-12

44

37

14

2

3

2000 Jul 25-26

39

41

17

1

2

2000 Mar 10-12

38

50

10

1

1

2000 Feb 25-27

40

48

10

*

2

2000 Feb 4-6

39

47

11

1

2

2000 Jan 17-19

37

44

16

1

2

2000 Jan 13-16

36

50

11

1

2

2000 Jan 7-10

37

49

10

1

3

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

(Asked of a half sample) How concerned are you that, as president, Barack Obama would go too far in changing the policies that George W. Bush pursued -- very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?

Very
concerned

Somewhat
concerned

Not too
concerned

Not
concerned
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

30

19

19

31

1

If you had to choose, which of the following presidential candidates would you be more likely to vote for -- [ROTATED: a candidate whose greatest strength is fixing the economy (or) a candidate whose greatest strength is protecting the country from terrorism]?

Fixing the
economy

Protecting from
terrorism

No
opinion

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

56

39

5

(Asked of a half sample) If a situation arose that required the president to make a decision whether or not to send U.S. troops into combat, who would you trust more to make that decision -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama (or) John McCain]?

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

40

53

3

2

2

^ Asked of a half sample

(vol.) = Volunteered response

(Asked of a half sample) If a situation arose that required the president to make a decision whether or not to send U.S. troops to Iran, who would you trust more to make that decision -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama (or) John McCain]?

Obama

McCain

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19 ^

43

48

2

3

4

^ Asked of a half sample

(vol.) = Volunteered response

As you may know, John McCain and Barack Obama have said they want to prevent Washington lobbyists and insiders from influencing their campaigns and their administrations. How important a factor is this in influencing your vote for president -- very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not too
important

Not
important
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

43

31

15

10

1

Both John McCain and Barack Obama have said they want to conduct a presidential campaign based only on the issues and not based on personal attacks. How likely do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- is to conduct a campaign based only on the issues -- very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all]?

A. Barack Obama

Very
likely

Somewhat
likely

Not too
likely

Not likely
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

36

37

15

10

2

B. John McCain

Very
likely

Somewhat
likely

Not too
likely

Not likely
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

27

41

18

12

2

Are you concerned that Barack Obama lacks the experience needed to be an effective president, or not?

[IF "YES," PROBE: Are you very concerned, or only somewhat concerned?]

Very
concerned

Somewhat
concerned

Not
concerned

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

35

19

44

2

Everything else being equal, do you think the fact that Barack Obama is black would make him a -- [ROTATED: more effective president, would not make any difference, or would make him a less effective president]?

More
effective

Not make
any difference

Less
effective

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

9

82

8

1

Everything else being equal, do you think the fact that John McCain would be 72 years old when elected president would make him a -- [ROTATED: more effective president, would not make any difference, or would make him a less effective president]?

More
effective

Not make
any difference

Less
effective

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

11

65

23

1

How concerned are you that John McCain may be too closely aligned with people who hold radical political views -- very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?

Very
concerned

Somewhat
concerned

Not too
concerned

Not concerned
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Jun 15-19

17

25

30

27

1

(Asked of Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party) Next, I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Democratic primary for president. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, or if you would support someone else.

[ROTATED: New York Senator, Hillary Clinton; Former Alaska Senator, Mike Gravel; Illinois Senator, Barack Obama]

Democratic Presidential Nomination Preference:

(Asked of Republicans and independents who lean to the Republican Party) Next, I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primary for president. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2008, or if you would support someone else.

[ROTATED: Former Arkansas Governor, Mike Huckabee; Arizona Senator, John McCain; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; Former ambassador, Alan Keyes]

Republican Presidential Nomination Preference:

Suppose the election were being held today. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and John McCain were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- [ROTATED: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat (or) John McCain, the Republican]?

(Asked of those who are undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATED: Clinton, the Democrat (or) McCain, the Republican]?


Clinton


McCain

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2008 May 30-Jun 1

48

44

1

4

3

2008 May 1-3

46

49

1

3

1

2008 Apr 18-20

49

45

1

2

3

2008 Mar 14-16

51

46

*

1

1

2008 Feb 21-24

46

50

1

2

1

2008 Feb 8-10

48

49

1

2

1

2008 Jan 10-13

47

50

1

2

1

Registered voters

2008 May 30-Jun 1

49

43

2

4

2

2008 May 1-3

46

48

1

4

1

2008 Apr 18-20

50

44

1

3

3

2008 Mar 14-16

48

47

2

2

2

2008 Feb 21-24

47

49

1

2

1

2008 Feb 8-10

48

48

1

3

1

2008 Jan 10-13

47

50

1

2

1

2007 Nov 11-14

50

44

*

3

2

2007 Jun 11-14

49

46

*

3

2

2007 Feb 9-11

50

47

*

1

1

2005 Oct 21-23

43

53

1

2

1

2005 Jul 25-28

45

50

--

2

3

National adults

2008 May 30-Jun 1

49

42

1

5

3

2008 May 1-3

48

45

1

4

2

2008 Apr 18-20

51

42

1

4

3

2008 Mar 14-16

49

46

1

2

2

2008 Feb 21-24

48

47

1

3

1

2008 Feb 8-10

47

48

1

3

1

2008 Jan 10-13

48

48

1

2

1

2007 Nov 11-14

50

42

*

4

3

2007 Jun 11-14

50

45

*

3

2

2007 Feb 9-11

52

46

*

1

1

2005 Oct 21-23

43

53

1

2

1

2005 Jul 25-28

45

50

--

2

3

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

(Asked of Democrats and Democratic leaners) Do you think the long campaign for the Democratic nomination has -- [ROTATED: helped the party's chance of winning the presidential election in November, has not had any effect, or has hurt the party's chance of winning the presidential election in November]?

Helped

No effect

Hurt

No opinion

2008 May 30-Jun 1

24%

27

44

5

National adults

2008 May 30-Jun 1

19%

24

50

7

(Asked of Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party) Do you think Hillary Clinton should -- [ROTATED: drop out of the race for the Democratic nomination for president (or should she) continue to campaign for the Democratic nomination for president]?

Should
drop out

Should continue
to campaign

No
opinion

%

%

%

2008 May 30-Jun 1

39

59

2

Next we have a question about a president's policies to help improve the standard of living of blacks in the United States. Do you think the policies of -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- would go too far, would be about right, or would not go far enough in promoting efforts to aid the black community?

A. John McCain

Would go
too far

Would be
about right

Would not
go far
enough

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 May 30-Jun 1

5

37

36

22

B. Barack Obama

Would go
too far

Would be
about right

Would not
go far
enough

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 May 30-Jun 1

26

47

9

18

If Barack Obama were elected president, do you think he would improve relations between whites and blacks in this country in a way no other candidate could, or would Barack Obama not be able to achieve this?

Would improve
relations like
no other

Would not
be able to
achieve this

No
opinion

%

%

%

2008 May 30-Jun 1

47

44

9

For comparison: Colin Powell

Would improve
relations like
no other

Would not
be able to
achieve this

No
opinion

%

%

%

1995 Oct 5-7

42

38

20

Does the fact that Barack Obama is black make you -- [ROTATED: much more likely to vote for him for president, somewhat more likely, does it make no difference, does it make you somewhat less likely (or) much less likely to vote for him for president]?

Much
more
likely

Some-
what
more
likely

Makes no
difference

Some-
what
less
likely

Much
less
likely

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2008 May 30-Jun 1

1

5

89

2

2

1

Registered voters

2008 May 30-Jun 1

2

5

87

3

2

1

National adults

2008 May 30-Jun 1

2

5

86

3

3

1

Suppose Barack Obama is the Democratic candidate for president in the November election. Just your best guess, do you think in general, the fact that Barack Obama is black would -- [ROTATED: gain him more votes than it would cost him, make little difference, (or would it) cost him more votes than it would gain him]?

Gain him
more votes

Make little
difference

Cost him
more votes

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 May 30-Jun 1

20

47

27

6

If Barack Obama is the Democratic candidate for president, how likely do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- is to use race as an issue in the campaign -- very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely?

A. The Democratic Party

Very
likely

Somewhat
likely

Not too
likely

Not at
all likely

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 30-Jun 1

21

30

29

18

2

B. The Republican Party

Very
likely

Somewhat
likely

Not too
likely

Not at
all likely

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 30-Jun 1

26

26

24

22

2

(Asked of Democrats and Democratic leaners) In your view, what should happen now in the Democratic presidential nomination campaign -- [ROTATED: Hillary Clinton should drop out of the race and concede the nomination to Barack Obama, both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama should continue to campaign, (or) Barack Obama should drop out of the race and concede the nomination to Hillary Clinton]?

Clinton
should
drop out

Both should
continue to
campaign

Obama
should
drop out

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2008 May 8-11

35

55

7

2

2008 May 1-3

23

60

15

2

(Asked of Democrats and Democratic leaners) If Barack Obama is the Democratic presidential nominee, would you like to see him choose Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate, or would you rather he choose someone else?

Choose
Hillary Clinton

Choose
someone else

No
opinion

%

%

%

2008 May 8-11

55

38

7

(Asked of Democratic and independents who lean to the Democratic Party) If -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- wins the Democratic nomination for president, which would best describe your reaction -- you would vote for him/her enthusiastically in November 2008, you would vote for him/her, but mainly as a vote against the Republican, you would vote for the Republican, or you would stay home on Election Day and not vote?

A. Barack Obama

Vote for
enthus-
iastically

Vote for,
mainly
against
the
Repub-
lican

Vote for
the
Repub-
lican

Stay home,
not vote

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 1-3

54

20

12

12

2

2008 Jan 30-Feb 2

55

20

7

13

5

2007 Oct 12-14

49

31

6

8

6

B. Hillary Clinton

Vote for
enthu-
siastically

Vote for,
mainly
against
the
Repub-
lican

Vote for
the
Repub-
lican

Stay home,
not vote

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 1-3

55

26

9

9

1

2008 Jan 30-Feb 2

53

24

9

10

4

2007 Oct 12-14

64

22

4

6

5

(Asked of Democrats and Democratic leaners) Next, thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Hillary Clinton or more to Barack Obama. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Cares about the needs of people like you

Clinton

Obama

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 1-3

47

43

7

2

1

2008 Feb 21-24

41

48

9

2

1

(vol.) = Volunteered response

B. Has the best chance of beating John McCain in November

Clinton

Obama

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 1-3

48

43

5

*

4

2008 Feb 21-24 ^

30

63

4

1

2

* Less than 0.5%

^ WORDING: Has the best chance of beating the Republican in November

C. Is honest and trustworthy

Clinton

Obama

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 1-3

34

48

10

6

2

2008 Feb 21-24

37

50

8

2

3

D. Is a strong and decisive leader

Clinton

Obama

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 1-3

53

37

7

3

*

2008 Feb 21-24

49

42

5

1

2

* Less than 0.5%

E. Shares your values

Clinton

Obama

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 May 1-3

47

42

6

3

2

2008 Feb 21-24

40

48

8

2

2

F. Can get things done

Clinton

Obama

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 21-24

40

53

4

1

2

(vol.) = Volunteered response

G. Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems

Clinton

Obama

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 21-24

39

49

4

5

4

H. Has a vision for the country's future

Obama

Clinton

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 21-24

50

40

7

*

3

* Less than 0.5%

I. Understands the problems Americans face in their daily lives

Obama

Clinton

Both
equally
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 21-24

47

43

7

2

1

(vol.) = Volunteered response

(Asked of those following the Jeremiah Wright controversy very, somewhat or not too closely) Which comes closer to your view -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama's association with Jeremiah Wright is a meaningful reflection on Obama's character and judgment that should be discussed in the campaign, (or) Barack Obama's association with Jeremiah Wright should not be discussed in the campaign because it is not a meaningful reflection on Obama's character and judgment]?

2008 May 1-3

Meaningful
reflection/
Should be
discussed

Not meaningful/
Should not
be discussed

No
opinion

%

%

%

Following controversy ^

43

52

5

National adults

34

42

24

^ Based on 855 following the controversy

Does Barack Obama's association with Reverend Jeremiah Wright make you -- [ROTATED: more likely to vote for Obama, does it not affect your vote either way, (or) does it make you less likely to vote for Obama]?

More
likely

Not
affect vote

Less likely

No opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2008 May 1-3

1

64

33

2

Registered voters

2008 May 1-3

2

65

30

3

National adults

2008 May 1-3

2

66

29

3

Does Hillary Clinton's association with Bill Clinton make you -- [ROTATED: more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, does it not affect your vote either way, (or) does it make you less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton]?

More
likely

Not
affect vote

Less likely

No opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2008 May 1-3

18

48

33

1

Registered voters

2008 May 1-3

18

52

29

1

National adults

2008 May 1-3

19

52

28

1

Does John McCain's association with George W. Bush make you -- [ROTATED: more likely to vote for John McCain, does it not affect your vote either way, (or) does it make you less likely to vote for John McCain]?

More
likely

Not
affect vote

Less likely

No opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

2008 May 1-3

7

54

38

1

Registered voters

2008 May 1-3

7

54

38

1

National adults

2008 May 1-3

7

52

39

2

(Asked of Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party) Which comes closer to your view -- [ROTATED: the continuing Democratic nomination campaign is hurting the Democratic Party and party leaders should get together and back one of the candidates (or) the continuing Democratic nomination campaign is not hurting the Democratic Party and it should continue until one of the candidates has clinched the nomination]?

Hurting party/
Back one
candidate

Not hurting
party/
Continue
campaign

No
opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

48

48

4

(Asked of Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party) Do you think the Democratic campaign for president has become too negative, or is it not too negative?

(Asked of those who think campaign has become too negative) Who do you blame more for the negative campaigning -- [ROTATED: the Clinton campaign, the Obama campaign], or both equally?

COMBINED RESULTS: BASED ON DEMOCRATS AND DEMOCRATIC LEANERS

2008 Apr 18-20

%

Campaign has become too negative

47

(Mostly blame Clinton campaign)

(20)

(Mostly blame Obama campaign)

(1)

(Blame both equally)

(25)

(Unsure)

(1)

Campaign has not become too negative

49

No opinion

4

In your opinion, is John McCain a different kind of Republican, or is he basically the same as most other Republicans?

Different

Same as
most others

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

45

48

7

(Asked of a half sample) Based on what you have heard or read about John McCain's military service, do you, personally, consider him to be a war hero, or not?

Yes, a
war hero

No, not a
war hero

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Apr 18-20

66

20

14

(Asked of a half sample) Does John McCain's record of military service make you -- [ROTATED: more likely to vote for him, does it not make any difference, (or does it make you) more likely to vote against him]?

(Asked of those who say McCain's military service makes them more likely to vote for or against him) Would you say John McCain's military record is a major factor or a minor factor in your vote decision?

COMBINED RESULTS: BASED ON NATIONAL ADULTS

2008 Apr 18-20

%

More likely to vote for

38

(Major factor)

(15)

(Minor factor)

(23)

Does not make any difference

53

More likely to vote against

7

(Major factor)

(2)

(Minor factor)

(5)

No opinion

2

If -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- is elected president, how good of a job do you think he/she would do at ending the war in Iraq in the best possible way for the United States? Do you think he/she would do an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job, or a poor job?

2008 Apr 18-20
(sorted by "excellent")

Excellent

Good

Only fair

Poor

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

John McCain

10

30

28

29

4

Hillary Clinton

10

30

28

28

3

Barack Obama

8

32

27

28

4

(Asked of a half sample) Do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- looks down on the average American, or respects the average American?

2008 Apr 18-20 (sorted by "respects")

Respects

Looks
down on

No opinion

%

%

%

John McCain

71

22

8

Barack Obama

69

26

5

Hillary Clinton

63

32

5

(Asked of a half sample) Do you think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- looks down on working class Americans, or respects working class Americans?

2008 Apr 18-20 (sorted by "respects")

Respects

Looks
down on

No opinion

%

%

%

Barack Obama

70

25

5

John McCain

69

24

7

Hillary Clinton

65

32

3

If Barack Obama and John McCain become the Democratic and Republican nominees for president this year, would you be satisfied with that choice, or not satisfied?

If Hillary Clinton and John McCain become the Democratic and Republican nominees for president this year, would you be satisfied with that choice, or not satisfied?

Satisfied

Not satisfied

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Mar 14-16 (Obama-McCain)

65

32

3

2008 Mar 14-16 (Clinton-McCain)

60

38

2

2000 Jan 7-10 (Gore-Bush)

70

28

2

1996 Jan 12 (Clinton-Dole)

56

40

3

(Asked of Republicans and independents who lean to the Republican Party) Thinking about John McCain's choice of a vice presidential running mate, how important is each of the following to you -- very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. That John McCain chooses someone who is considerably more conservative than he is on the issues

Very

Somewhat

Not too

Not at all

No opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Mar 14-16

33

36

17

11

3

B. That John McCain chooses someone who is considerably younger than he is

Very

Somewhat

Not too

Not at all

No opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Mar 14-16

13

31

30

23

2

(Asked of Republicans and independents who lean to the Republican Party) If John McCain DOES NOT choose a vice presidential running mate who is considerably more conservative than he is, what would you be most likely to do in the November presidential election -- vote for McCain enthusiastically, vote for McCain, but mainly as a vote against the Democrat, vote for the Democrat, vote for a third party candidate, or stay home on Election Day and not vote?

Vote for,
enthusi-
astically

Vote for,
against
Demo-
crat

Vote for
Demo-
crat

Vote for
third
party

Not vote

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Mar 14-16

33

43

7

4

9

4

(Asked of a half sample) In your view, does -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- have the experience necessary to be a good president, or not?

2008 Feb 21-24

Yes, has

No, does not have

No opinion

%

%

%

John McCain

70

22

8

Hillary Clinton

65

32

3

Barack Obama

46

46

7

If you had to choose, which of the following candidate characteristics will be most important to your vote for president -- [ROTATED: experience, positions on the issues, (or) leadership skills and vision]?

2008 Feb 21-24

Leadership
skills and
vision

Positions
on issues

Experience

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

42

36

20

1

Registered voters

42

36

21

1

National adults

42

34

22

2

If you had to choose, which of the following issues will be most important to your vote for president -- [ROTATED: the economy, terrorism, the situation in Iraq, healthcare, (or) illegal immigration]?

2008 Feb 21-24

Economy

Iraq

Health-
care

Terror-
ism

Immi-
gration

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

Likely voters

42

19

14

14

9

2

Registered voters

43

19

15

13

9

2

National adults

42

18

16

12

8

3

(Asked of a half sample) Just your best guess, how old is -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Hillary Clinton [ACTUAL AGE = 60]

35-55

56-59

60

61-65

66 or older

No
opinion

Mean

Median

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 21-24

42

24

18

11

1

4

56

56

B. John McCain [ACTUAL AGE = 71]

35-65

66-70

71

72-75

76 or older

No
opinion

Mean

Median

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 21-24

35

22

14

22

4

4

67

70

C. Barack Obama [ACTUAL AGE = 46]

35-40

41-45

46

47-50

51 or older

No opinion

Mean

Median

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 21-24

17

32

7

24

15

5

46

45

For comparison: Prior presidential candidates

Mean

Median

Actual

Al Gore (2000 Oct 6-9)

50

50

52

George W. Bush (2000 Oct 6-9)

52

52

54

Bob Dole (1996 July 18-19)

70

72

72

Bob Dole (1996 Mar 15-17)

68

70

72

(Asked of a half sample) Do you feel John McCain is too old to be president, or not?

2008 Feb 21-24

Yes, too old

No, not too old

No opinion

%

%

%

National adults

20

76

4

Registered voters ^

20

77

3

Likely voters †

22

76

2

For comparison (Bob Dole): Do you feel Bob Dole is too old to be president, or not?

Yes, too old

No, not too old

No opinion

%

%

%

(LV) 96 Oct 19-20

32

67

1

(LV) 96 Oct 18-19

30

67

3

(LV) 96 Oct 17-18

30

67

3

(LV) 96 Oct 16-17

29

69

2

(LV) 96 Oct 15-16

32

66

2

(LV) 96 Oct 14-15

30

67

3

(LV) 96 Oct 13-14

31

65

4

(LV) 96 Oct 12-13

33

64

3

(LV) 96 Oct 11-12

32

65

3

(RV) 96 Oct 4-5

32

66

2

(RV) 96 Aug 16-18

28

71

1

(RV) 96 Aug 5-7

32

64

4

(NA) 96 Jul 18-19

31

66

3

(NA) 96 Mar 15-17

25

72

3

(NA) 96 Feb 23-25

27

67

6

(NA) = National adults

(RV) = Registered voters

(Asked of a half sample) Do you feel Barack Obama is too young to be president, or not?

2008 Feb 21-24

Yes, too young

No, not too young

No opinion

%

%

%

National adults

13

84

2

Registered voters ^

13

85

2

Likely voters †

14

85

2

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -- extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

Extremely

Very

Some-
what

Not
too

Not
at all

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2008 Jan 10-13

32

29

26

9

4

*

2007 Apr 13-15

28

28

26

9

7

2

2004 Oct 14-16

36

34

17

8

4

1

2004 Sep 3-5

32

32

23

9

4

*

2004 Aug 23-25

34

30

22

6

7

1

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

34

31

25

6

4

*

2004 Jul 19-21

28

33

21

13

4

1

2003 Oct 24-26

19

34

31

11

4

1

National adults

2008 Jan 10-13

29

29

25

9

8

1

2007 Apr 13-15

26

27

27

10

8

2

2004 Oct 14-16

35

34

17

8

5

1

2004 Sep 3-5

29

31

24

9

7

*

2004 Aug 23-25

30

29

23

7

10

1

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

33

29

24

7

7

*

2004 Jul 19-21

25

31

22

13

8

1

2003 Oct 24-26

18

32

32

12

5

1

Republicans/Republican leaners

2008 Jan 10-13

24

28

31

13

4

1

2007 Apr 13-15

24

26

28

12

9

1

2004 Oct 14-16

35

42

15

6

2

*

2004 Sep 3-5

31

39

21

6

3

*

2004 Aug 23-25

33

27

24

7

9

*

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

35

28

25

7

5

*

2004 Jul 19-21

27

33

24

13

3

*

2003 Oct 24-26

19

39

32

7

2

1

Democrats/Democratic leaners

2008 Jan 10-13

35

29

22

5

8

1

2007 Apr 13-15

29

30

26

7

6

2

2004 Oct 14-16

38

27

19

8

7

1

2004 Sep 3-5

31

26

23

10

10

*

2004 Aug 23-25

31

32

25

8

3

1

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

33

32

22

8

5

*

2004 Jul 19-21

26

31

21

13

7

2

2003 Oct 24-26

19

29

31

16

5

*

* Less than 0.5%

Thinking now about all the people who have run for president during your lifetime, do you consider -- [ROTATE: Hillary Clinton/John McCain/Barack Obama] [ROTATE 1-5/5-1: 1) the best presidential candidate in your lifetime, 2) better than most candidates, (or) 3) not much different from other candidates, 4) worse than most candidates, (or) 5) the worst presidential candidate in your lifetime]?

A. Hillary Clinton

Best in
lifetime

Better
than
most

Not
much
different

Worse
than
most

Worst in lifetime

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 8-10

5

28

28

18

18

3

B. John McCain

Best in
lifetime

Better
than
most

Not
much
different

Worse
than
most

Worst in lifetime

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 8-10

1

26

53

12

3

5

C. Barack Obama

Best in
lifetime

Better
than
most

Not
much
different

Worse
than
most

Worst in lifetime

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

%

2008 Feb 8-10

7

36

32

12

8

6

(Asked of a half sample) Do you think each of the following candidates would do more to unite or more to divide the country as president? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

2008 Feb 8-10

More to unite

More to divide

No opinion

%

%

%

Barack Obama

66

30

4

John McCain

59

36

5

Hillary Clinton

40

57

3

Mike Huckabee

38

47

14

(Asked of a half sample) If -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- were elected president, do you think he/she would or would not transform the way the government in Washington works?

2008 Feb 8-10

Yes, would
transform
government

No, would not

No opinion

%

%

%

Barack Obama

55

39

5

Hillary Clinton

51

46

3

John McCain

33

62

4

(Asked of Republicans and independents who lean to the Republican Party) Would you be satisfied if John McCain ended up the winner in the Republican race, or would you have preferred to see one of the other Republican presidential candidates win?

Satisfied
with
McCain

Would have
preferred
another
Republican

Don't like
any of the
candidates
(vol.)

No
opinion

2008 Feb 8-10

51%

45

*

3

* Less than 0.5%

(vol.) = Volunteered response

(Asked of Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party) Suppose Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee for president. If he were to choose Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate, which of the following would best describe your reaction -- [ROTATED: excited, pleased, neutral, disappointed, (or) angry]?

Excited

Pleased

Neutral

Dis-
appointed

Angry

No
opinion

2008 Feb 8-10

24%

31

25

15

4

1

As you may know, a common theme in this year's presidential election has been a desire for change in this country. What type of change would you, personally, most like to see the next president bring about? (OPEN-ENDED)

2008 Jan 10-13

%

End the war in Iraq/Bring troops home

26

Healthcare reform

19

Fix the economy/Create more jobs

18

Secure the country's borders/Address illegal immigration issue

10

Change tax laws

7

Change U.S. foreign policy/Improve the U.S. role in the world

6

Better honesty/ethics in government

6

More domestic spending, less international spending

6

Balance the budget/Better fiscal discipline

5

Improve the schools

5

Lower gas prices/Less dependence on foreign oil

4

Change in leadership from Bush/New direction

4

Increased morality/religion/spirituality/values

3

Fix the Social Security system

2

More help for the poor/Address poverty issue

2

World peace

2

Address environmental problems/global warming

2

Less government intrusion/interference in personal lives

1

More help for the middle class

1

Overturn Roe v. Wade/End abortions/Fewer abortions

1

Less corporate influence

1

More/Better care for the elderly

1

Other

5

Nothing/No change (vol.)

2

Change everything (vol.)

1

No opinion

6

(vol.) = Volunteered response

NOTE: Percentages add to more than 100% due to multiple responses.

(Asked of Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party) Just your best guess, how committed do you think -- [ITEMS ROTATED] -- is to bringing about real change in Washington -- very committed, somewhat committed, not too committed, or not committed at all?

2008 Jan 10-13
(sorted by
"very committed")

Very
committed

Somewhat
committed

Not too
committed

Not
committed
at all

No
opinion

Barack Obama

56%

32

4

4

4

Hillary Clinton

54%

35

6

4

1

Next we have some questions about the 2008 presidential campaign. Please try to answer each question based on what you may have heard or read so far about the campaign and the candidates. [RANDOM ORDER]

A. Does it make a real difference to you who is elected president, or not?

Yes

No

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Jan 10-13

87

12

1

2007 Dec 14-16

90

10

*

2000 Mar 10-12

60

35

5

2000 Jan 7-10

54

37

9

1996 May 9-12

57

40

3

1992 Oct 23-25

76

22

2

1992 Sep 11-15

66

30

4

1992 Apr 20-22

53

43

4

1992 Feb 28-Mar 1

53

42

5

1992 Jan 6-9

60

30

10

* Less than 0.5%

B. Is there any candidate running this year that you think would make a good president, or not?

Yes

No

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Jan 10-13

84

11

5

2007 Dec 14-16

83

14

4

2000 Mar 10-12

71

24

5

2000 Jan 7-10

75

16

9

1996 May 9-12

57

39

4

1992 Oct 23-25

68

26

6

1992 Sep 11-15

61

32

7

1992 Apr 20-22

47

44

9

1992 Jan 6-9

40

41

19

C. Does the way this year's presidential campaign is being conducted make you feel as though the election process is working as it should, or not?

Yes

No

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Jan 10-13

67

30

3

2007 Dec 14-16

47

49

3

2000 Mar 10-12

53

43

4

2000 Jan 7-10

57

37

6

D. Are the presidential candidates talking about issues you really care about, or not?

Yes

No

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Jan 10-13

72

24

4

2000 Oct 13-15 ^

77

20

3

2000 Mar 10-12

60

35

5

2000 Jan 7-10

54

37

9

1996 May 9-12

57

40

3

1992 Oct 23-25

76

22

2

1992 Sep 11-15

66

30

4

1992 Apr 20-22

53

43

4

1992 Feb 28-Mar 1

53

42

5

1992 Jan 6-9

60

30

10

^ Based on registered voters

E. Do you feel that any of the presidential candidates have come up with good ideas for solving the country's problems, or not?

Yes

No

No opinion

%

%

%

2008 Jan 10-13

58

36

6

1996 May 9-12

44

52

4

1992 Oct 23-25

65

30

5

1992 Sep 11-15

50

44

6

1992 Apr 20-22

35

58

7

1992 Mar 20-22

32

57

11

1992 Jan 6-9

29

61

10

(Asked of a half sample) Generally speaking, would you say that you personally care a good deal which party wins the presidential election in 2008 or that you don't care very much who wins?

Care good
deal

Don't care
very much

No
opinion

%

%

%

2008 Jan 10-13

77

22

1

1991 Jun 13-16

63

33

4

1987 Apr 25-May 10

54

40

6

(Asked of a half sample) Would you like to see the next president generally continue with George W. Bush's policies, or would you rather see the next president change direction from Bush's policies?

Continue policies

Change direction

No opinion

2008 Jan 10-13

17%

79

4

Trends for Comparison:

Would you like to see the next president generally continue with Bill Clinton's policies, or would you rather see the next president change direction from Clinton's policies?

Continue policies

Change direction

No opinion

2000 Jan 7-10

50%

45

5

1999 Oct 8-10

50%

47

3

Would you like to see the next president generally continue with Ronald Reagan's policies, or would you rather see the next president change direction from Reagan's policies?

Continue policies

Change direction

No opinion

1987 Aug 24-Sep 2

36%

57

7

(Asked of a half sample) How important do you think it is for a president to be inspiring -- very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?

Very
important

Somewhat
important

Not too
important

Not
important
at all

No
opinion

2008 Jan 10-13

71%

23

3

2

*

* Less than 0.5%

(Asked of a half sample) Which type of candidate would you prefer to see elected president in 2008 -- [ROTATED: a candidate who is inspiring but who has not been tested as a leader, (or) a candidate who is a tested leader but who is not that inspiring]?

Inspiring,
not tested

Tested,
not inspiring

No
opinion

2008 Jan 10-13

43%

52

5

Regardless of whether you personally support him/her, are you -- [ROTATED: very optimistic, optimistic, pessimistic, (or) very pessimistic] -- that -- [RANDOM ORDER] --would be able to bring about change in Washington if he/she were elected president in November 2008?

2008 Jan 10-13
(sorted by "very optimistic")

Very
optimistic

Opti-
mistic

Pessi-
mistic

Very
pessimistic

No
opin-
ion

%

%

%

%

%

Hillary Clinton

16

41

24

16

2

Barack Obama

15

46

25

9

5

John McCain

9

50

30

7

4

Mike Huckabee

6

40

35

12

8

Do you, personally, think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- is a tested leader, or not?

2008 Jan 10-13
(sorted by "yes, tested leader")

Yes, tested
leader

No, not

No opinion

John McCain

72%

22

6

Hillary Clinton

57%

41

2

Mike Huckabee

34%

53

13

Barack Obama

33%

61

6

Do you, personally, think -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- is inspiring, or not that inspiring?

2008 Jan 10-13
(sorted by "inspiring")

Inspiring

Not that inspiring

No opinion

Barack Obama

69%

29

3

Hillary Clinton

49%

50

1

John McCain

48%

48

4

Mike Huckabee

35%

58

8

(Asked of a half sample) How confident are you that, at the voting facility where you vote, the votes will be accurately cast and counted in next year's election -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

Very
confident

Somewhat
confident

Not too
confident

Not at all
confident

No
opinion

2007 Nov 30-Dec 2

60%

28

7

5

*

2006 Oct 20-22

66%

25

6

2

*

* Less than 0.5%

Do you think that, across the country, -- [ITEMS ROTATED] -- will be a major problem, a minor problem, or not a problem across the country in next year's presidential election?

A. People using illegal or fraudulent means to cast votes

Major
problem

Minor
problem

Not a
problem

No
opinion

2007 Nov 30-Dec 2

26%

53

19

2

B. People who are eligible to vote being prevented from voting

Major
problem

Minor
problem

Not a
problem

No
opinion

2007 Nov 30-Dec 2

19%

37

42

2

If you had to choose, which do you think will be the bigger problem in next year's election -- [ROTATED: people using illegal or fraudulent means to cast votes, (or) people who are eligible to vote being prevented from voting]?

Using
fraudulent
means to
cast votes

Eligible voters
being prevented
from voting

No
opinion

2007 Nov 30-Dec 3

61%

35

4

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have.

2007 Nov 2-4
(sorted by "agree, has qualities")

Agree,
has qualities

Disagrees,
does not

No
opinion

%

%

%

Hillary Clinton

60

36

3

Rudy Giuliani

59

34

7

Barack Obama

56

35

9

John Edwards

51

36

13

Mitt Romney

32

45

23

Fred Thompson

27

48

26

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with -- [RANDOM ORDER] -- on the issues that matter most to you.

2007 Nov 2-4
(sorted by "agree with")

Agree

Disagree

No
opinion

%

%

%

Hillary Clinton

51

44

5

Rudy Giuliani

50

39

11

Barack Obama

48

38

13

John Edwards

45

39

16

Fred Thompson

27

46

28

Mitt Romney

26

49

26

Looking ahead to next year's presidential election, what will be the most important issues that you will take into account when deciding whom to vote for? (OPEN-ENDED)

2007 Apr 13-15

RVs

NAs

%

%

War issues in Iraq

43

42

The economy

15

13

Healthcare/Health insurance

10

11

Homeland security/Military defense

7

7

Education

6

5

Illegal immigration

5

5

Honesty/Integrity/Credibility of candidate

5

5

International/Foreign affairs

4

4

Taxes

3

4

Domestic issues/Taking care of homeland first

3

3

Terrorism

3

2

Environmental issues

2

3

Financial/Money

2

2

Abortion

2

2

Budget deficit/Spending

2

2

Social Security reform

2

2

Senior care/Medicare/Prescription drugs

2

2

Vote Democrat/Not a Republican

1

1

Employment issues

1

1

World peace

1

1

Christian values/beliefs

1

1

Bush (doing a bad job)

1

1

Judicial issues

*

*

Vote Republican/Not a Democrat

*

*

Bush (doing a good job)

--

--

Other

9

9

None

2

3

No opinion

6

6

Total

138%

137%

* Less than 0.5%

NAs = National adults

RVs = Registered voters

NOTE: Totals add to more than 100% due to multiple responses.

Gallup http://www.gallup.com/poll/17785/Election-2008.aspx Gallup World Headquarters, 901 F Street, Washington, D.C., 20001, U.S.A +1 202.715.3030