Sub-group Voting Patterns

November 2-5, 2006

% of Registered Voters

Democratic candidate

Republican candidate

Democratic lead

%

%

%

%

Men

48

47

46

+1

Women

53

56

34

+22

18-34 year olds

23

49

40

+9

35-49 year olds

30

51

40

+11

50-64 year olds

26

50

42

+8

65 years and older

21

55

38

+17

Non-Hispanic whites

81

47

45

+2

Blacks

10

83

7

+76

All others

10

55

34

+21

East

22

64

30

+34

Midwest

24

53

36

+17

South

33

44

48

-4

West

21

48

42

+6

Urban

27

53

36

+17

Suburban

51

50

43

+7

Rural

22

53

38

+15

Less than $30,000 per year

21

61

26

+35

$30,000-$74,999 per year

45

53

40

+13

$75,000 or more per year

34

47

49

-2

Republicans

34

6

90

-84

Independents

30

50

30

+20

Democrats

36

95

3

+92

Conservative Republicans

28

5

94

-89

Moderate/liberal Republicans

14

12

77

-65

Conservative Democrats

9

91

3

+88

Moderate Democrats

25

94

4

+90

Liberal Democrats

16

94

3

+91

White frequent churchgoers

37

36

57

-21

White infrequent churchgoers

47

58

33

+25

All others

16

69

18

+51

October 2006

% of Registered Voters

Democratic candidate

Republican candidate

Democratic lead

%

%

%

%

Men

47

51

43

+8

Women

53

60

31

+29

18-29 year olds

13

61

32

+29

30-49 year olds

39

54

38

+16

50-64 year olds

26

55

37

+18

65 years and older

22

56

36

+20

Non-Hispanic whites

80

51

41

+10

Blacks

10

86

9

+77

All others

10

62

29

+33

East

23

60

32

+28

Midwest

23

58

34

+24

South

32

52

40

+12

West

22

54

38

+16

Urban

29

64

27

+37

Suburban

49

52

41

+11

Rural

22

54

39

+15

Less than $30,000 per year

25

64

27

+37

$30,000-$74,999 per year

43

57

37

+20

$75,000 or more per year

33

47

46

+1

Republicans

30

7

89

-82

Independents

31

54

28

+26

Democrats

38

96

2

+94

Conservative Republicans

26

5

91

-86

Moderate/liberal Republicans

13

13

80

-67

Pure independents

5

18

16

+2

Conservative Democrats

10

94

2

+92

Moderate Democrats

26

90

4

+86

Liberal Democrats

19

97

1

+96

White frequent churchgoers

35

43

50

-7

White infrequent churchgoers

50

58

34

+24

All others

16

76

16

+60

October 2006: Based on a sample of more than 1,700 registered voters.

September 2006

% of Registered Voters

Democratic candidate

Republican candidate

Democratic lead

%

%

%

%

Men

47

47

47

0

Women

53

56

37

+19

18-29 year olds

12

58

40

+18

30-49 year olds

40

49

43

+6

50-64 year olds

27

50

44

+6

65 years and older

20

53

39

+14

Non-Hispanic whites

79

47

46

+1

Blacks

10

84

8

+76

All others

11

51

42

+9

East

23

60

32

+28

Midwest

22

50

44

+6

South

32

45

48

-3

West

23

54

41

+13

Urban

30

60

36

+24

Suburban

49

50

43

+7

Rural

21

42

48

-6

Less than $30,000 per year

22

65

26

+39

$30,000-$74,999 per year

45

50

44

+6

$75,000 or more per year

33

47

49

-2

Republicans

32

8

90

-82

Independents

32

50

36

+14

Democrats

36

93

4

+89

Conservative Republicans

27

5

92

-87

Moderate/liberal Republicans

16

15

80

-65

Pure independents

5

32

21

+11

Conservative Democrats

9

84

10

+74

Moderate Democrats

25

88

7

+81

Liberal Democrats

18

93

4

+89

White frequent churchgoers

36

36

58

-22

White infrequent churchgoers

48

57

37

+20

All others

16

71

21

+50

September 2006: Based on an aggregate sample of more than 1,700 registered voters.

August 2006

% of Registered Voters

Democratic candidate

Republican candidate

Democratic lead

%

%

%

%

Men

48

45

49

-4

Women

52

52

38

+14

18-29 year olds

14

49

42

+7

30-49 year olds

39

47

46

+1

50-64 year olds

26

52

40

+12

65 years and older

21

48

45

+3

Non-Hispanic whites

82

43

50

-7

Blacks

10

80

11

+69

All others

9

62

27

+35

East

22

56

34

+22

Midwest

24

45

47

-2

South

31

45

47

-2

West

23

50

44

+6

Urban

27

59

36

+23

Suburban

52

45

46

-1

Rural

21

43

46

-3

Less than $30,000 per year

22

51

35

+16

$30,000-$74,999 per year

45

52

41

+11

$75,000 or more per year

33

43

53

-10

Republicans

34

5

92

-87

Independents

29

46

34

+12

Democrats

36

92

6

+86

Conservative Republicans

27

3

95

-92

Moderate/liberal Republicans

15

12

83

-71

Pure independents

8

22

16

+6

Conservative Democrats

9

85

11

+74

Moderate Democrats

23

88

8

+80

Liberal Democrats

17

94

4

+90

White frequent churchgoers

34

33

62

-29

White infrequent churchgoers

49

52

40

+12

All others

16

72

16

+56

August 2006: Based on an aggregate sample of more than 1,700 registered voters.

June-July 2006

% of Registered Voters

Democratic candidate

Republican candidate

Democratic lead

%

%

%

%

Men

47

47

45

+2

Women

53

56

35

+21

18-29 year olds

15

60

33

+27

30-49 year olds

39

48

43

+5

50-64 year olds

27

52

40

+12

65 years and older

20

53

37

+16

Non-Hispanic whites

81

47

44

+3

Blacks

10

87

10

+77

All others

9

57

31

+26

East

23

57

33

+24

Midwest

23

51

40

+11

South

32

47

46

+1

West

22

54

36

+18

Urban

29

64

29

+35

Suburban

48

48

42

+6

Rural

23

44

47

-3

Less than $30,000 per year

23

59

31

+28

$30,000-$74,999 per year

45

51

40

+11

$75,000 or more per year

32

49

44

+5

Republicans

33

7

91

-84

Independents

30

48

29

+19

Democrats

38

95

3

+92

Conservative Republicans

26

5

91

-86

Moderate/liberal Republicans

15

13

81

-68

Pure independents

7

20

17

+3

Conservative Democrats

10

88

7

+81

Moderate Democrats

23

91

4

+87

Liberal Democrats

18

96

2

+94

White frequent churchgoers

35

35

56

-21

White infrequent churchgoers

50

55

36

+19

All others

16

77

16

+61

June-July 2006: Based on an aggregated sample of more than 3,500 registered voters.