In Depth: Topics A to Z

Election 2006

If the Elections for Congress Were Being Held Today, Which Party's Candidate Would You Vote For in Your Congressional District -- the Democratic Party's or the Republican Party's?

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district -- [ROTATE: 1) The Democratic Party's candidate or 2) The Republican Party's candidate]?

As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATE: 1) The Democratic Party's candidate or 2) The Republican Party's candidate]?

Democratic
candidate

Republican
candidate

Undecided/
Other

%

%

%

Registered voters

2006 Sep 7-10

53

41

7

2006 Aug 18-20

47

45

7

2006 Aug 7-10

50

41

9

2006 Jul 28-30

51

40

8

2006 Jul 6-9

51

41

9

2006 Jun 23-25

54

38

7

2006 Jun 9-11

51

39

10

2006 Jun 1-4

51

42

7

2006 Apr 28-30

54

39

7

2006 Apr 7-9

52

42

6

2006 Mar 10-12

55

39

7

2006 Feb 28-Mar 1

53

39

7

2006 Feb 9-12

50

43

8

2006 Jan 6-8

49

43

8

2005 Oct 21-23

50

43

7

2005 Aug 28-30

53

41

6

National adults

2006 Sep 7-10

53

40

7

2006 Aug 18-20

48

43

9

2006 Aug 7-10

50

40

10

2006 Jul 28-30

52

39

9

2006 Jul 6-9

49

39

11

2006 Jun 23-25

55

36

8

2006 Jun 9-11

52

38

10

2006 Jun 1-4

51

40

9

2006 Apr 28-30

53

38

9

2006 Apr 7-9

53

40

7

2006 Mar 10-12

54

38

8

2006 Feb 28-Mar 1

52

39

10

2006 Feb 9-12

49

42

9

2006 Jan 6-8

49

42

9

2005 Oct 21-23

50

42

8

2005 Aug 28-30

52

41

7

Regular voters

2006 Sep 7-10

53

43

4

2006 Aug 18-20

48

48

4

2006 Aug 7-10

N/A

N/A

N/A

2006 Jul 28-30

50

42

7

2006 Jul 6-9

51

42

7

2006 Jun 23-25

55

38

7

2006 Jun 9-11

49

44

7

2006 Jun 1-4

55

40

5

2006 Apr 28-30

53

44

3

2006 Apr 7-9

51

44

5

NOTE: Regular voters are defined as registered voters who say they "always vote" and who say they voted in the last mid-term election. The regular voter sample consists of 512 respondents and has a margin of sampling error of ±5 percentage points.

Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?

Trend for Midterm elections

More
enthusiastic

Less
enthusiastic


Same
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

National adults

2006 Sep 7-10

42

46

10

2

2006 Aug 18-20

39

43

16

3

2006 Jun 23-25

50

36

13

1

2006 Apr 28-30

44

42

13

1

2006 Apr 7-9

40

46

12

2

2006 Jan 6-8

45

39

14

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

38

45

14

3

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

37

46

14

3

1998 Oct 23-25

35

47

16

2

1998 Oct 9-12

35

47

16

2

1998 Aug 21-23

38

41

17

4

1998 Apr 17-19

30

48

19

3

1994 Nov 2-6

38

48

13

2

1994 Oct 7-9

34

46

18

2

Republicans/Republican leaners

2006 Sep 7-10

40

47

11

1

2006 Aug 18-20

36

40

22

2

2006 Jun 23-25

43

35

21

*

2006 Apr 28-30

38

46

15

1

2006 Apr 7-9

33

47

18

2

2006 Jan 6-8

47

32

20

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

42

42

15

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

39

46

14

1

1998 Oct 23-25

44

39

16

1

1998 Oct 9-12

45

36

17

2

1998 Aug 21-23

42

39

17

2

1998 Apr 17-19

31

48

19

2

1994 Nov 2-6

44

44

11

1

1994 Oct 7-9

40

42

18

*

Democrats/Democratic leaners

2006 Sep 7-10

47

42

9

2

2006 Aug 18-20

46

43

9

2

2006 Jun 23-25

56

35

8

1

2006 Apr 28-30

50

37

12

1

2006 Apr 7-9

48

43

8

1

2006 Jan 6-8

48

44

7

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

38

46

13

3

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

39

44

15

2

1998 Oct 23-25

32

51

16

1

1998 Oct 9-12

41

45

13

1

1998 Aug 21-23

37

41

18

4

1998 Apr 17-19

31

48

19

2

1994 Nov 2-6

35

50

14

1

1994 Oct 7-9

29

50

18

3

Registered voters

2006 Sep 7-10

44

44

10

1

2006 Aug 18-20

42

40

16

2

2006 Jun 23-25

49

36

14

1

2006 Apr 28-30

46

39

14

1

2006 Apr 7-9

42

44

13

1

2006 Jan 6-8

46

37

15

1

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

41

42

15

2

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

41

43

15

1

1998 Oct 23-25

37

44

18

1

1998 Oct 9-12

45

38

16

1

1998 Aug 21-23

39

39

19

3

1998 Apr 17-19

31

47

20

2

1994 Nov 2-6

40

45

14

1

1994 Oct 7-9

34

44

20

2


Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Bush on the war in Iraq, more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Bush on the war in Iraq, or would that not make much difference to your vote?

Supports
Bush on Iraq

Opposes
Bush on Iraq

Not much
difference

No
opinion

Registered voters

2006 Aug 18-20

26%

35

37

2

National adults

2006 Aug 18-20

25%

35

38

1


Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about -- [ROTATED]?

A. The U.S. Representative in your congressional district

Yes, deserves

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

National adults

2006 Jun 23-25

61

24

14

2006 Apr 28-30

59

26

15

2006 Jan 6-8

60

27

13

2005 Oct 21-23

63

24

13

2004 Oct 14-16

62

21

17

2003 Oct 10-12

64

22

14

2002 Sep 20-22

64

19

17

2002 Apr 29-May 1

66

18

16

2001 Aug 24-26

64

20

16

2000 Jan 7-10

67

15

18

1998 Oct 9-12

68

16

16

1998 Apr 17-19

64

19

17

1997 Oct 27-29

62

18

20

1997 Aug 22-25

63

21

16

1996 May 9-12

65

22

13

1996 Jan 12-15

62

21

17

1994 Nov 2-6

53

29

18

1994 Oct 22-25

54

30

16

1994 Oct 18-19

57

29

14

1994 Oct 7-9

54

29

17

1994 Jul 15-17

60

27

13

1994 Mar 25-27

60

23

17

1994 Feb 26-28

59

28

13

1993 Dec 17-19

59

26

15

1993 Nov 2-4

62

19

19

1993 Jul 19-21

58

25

17

1991 Nov

58

25

17

Registered voters

2006 Jun 23-25

62

25

13

2006 Apr 28-30

59

26

14

2006 Jan 6-8

62

26

12

2005 Oct 21-23

65

24

11

2004 Oct 14-16

63

21

16

2003 Oct 10-12

65

24

11

2002 Sep 20-22

67

19

14

2002 Apr 29-May 1

67

19

14

2001 Aug 24-26

67

20

13

2000 Sep 11-13

66

19

15

2000 Jan 7-10

70

16

14

1998 Oct 9-12

69

17

14

1998 Apr 17-19

65

21

14

1994 Nov 2-6

54

30

16

1994 Oct 22-25

55

32

13

1994 Oct 7-9

55

30

15

1994 Jul 15-17

61

28

11

1994 Mar 25-27

60

23

17

1994 Feb 26-28

59

28

13

1992 Oct 23-25

48

30

22

1992 Sep 11-15

54

25

21

1992 Jul 31-Aug 2

61

25

14

1992 Apr 20-22

50

31

19

1992 Apr 9-12

58

29

13

1992 Mar 20-22

56

30

14

1992 Jan 31-Feb 2

64

24

12

1992 Jan 3-9

61

25

14

Likely voters

2002 Sep 20-22

74

18

8

2000 Sep 11-13

70

20

10

2000 Jan 7-10

75

15

10

1996 Oct 27-28

62

19

19


B. Most members of Congress

Yes, deserves

No, does not

No opinion

%

%

%

National adults

2006 Jun 23-25

39

50

12

2006 Apr 28-30

37

52

11

2006 Jan 6-8

42

47

11

2005 Oct 21-23

45

44

11

2004 Oct 14-16

51

33

16

2003 Oct 10-12

51

35

14

2002 Sep 20-22

57

28

15

2002 Apr 29-May 1

58

22

20

2001 Aug 24-26

51

31

18

2000 Jan 7-10

55

31

14

1998 Oct 9-12

58

26

16

1998 Apr 17-19

56

28

16

1997 Oct 27-29

50

29

21

1997 Aug 22-25

56

27

17

1996 May 9-12

50

35

15

1996 Jan 12-15

47

38

15

1994 Nov 2-6

39

45

16

1994 Oct 22-25

43

44

13

1994 Oct 18-19

44

42

14

1994 Oct 7-9

37

48

15

1994 Jul 15-17

41

43

16

1994 Mar 25-27

46

38

16

1994 Feb 26-28

42

44

14

1993 Dec 17-19

38

47

15

1993 Jul 19-21

39

46

15

1991 Nov

38

48

14

Registered voters

2006 Jun 23-25

38

51

11

2006 Apr 28-30

38

53

10

2006 Jan 6-8

43

47

10

2005 Oct 21-23

46

44

10

2004 Oct 14-16

51

34

15

2003 Oct 10-12

50

37

13

2002 Sep 20-22

57

29

14

2002 Apr 29-May 1

57

24

19

2001 Aug 24-26

52

30

18

2000 Sep 11-13

54

30

16

2000 Jan 7-10

56

31

13

1998 Oct 9-12

58

27

15

1998 Apr 17-19

55

29

16

1994 Nov 2-6

38

47

15

1994 Oct 22-25

43

45

12

1994 Oct 7-9

37

49

14

1994 Jul 15-17

40

46

14

1994 Mar 25-27

46

38

16

1994 Feb 26-28

42

44

14

1992 Oct 23-25

29

50

21

1992 Sep 11-15

32

46

22

1992 Jul 31 Aug 2

40

46

14

1992 Apr 20-22

33

50

17

1992 Apr 9-12

32

53

15

1992 Mar 20-22

31

58

11

1992 Jan 31-Feb 2

43

43

14

1992 Jan 3-9

43

42

15

Likely voters

2002 Sep 20-22

57

31

12

2000 Sep 11-13

55

32

13

2000 Jan 7-10

57

31

12

1996 Oct 27-28

55

26

19


How much thought have you given to the upcoming elections for Congress -- quite a lot, or only a little?

Quite
a lot

SOME
(vol.)

Only
a little


None

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

37%

4

56

3

*

2006 Apr 7-9

25%

3

66

5

1


How motivated do you feel to get out and vote this year -- extremely motivated, very motivated, somewhat motivated, not too motivated or not at all motivated?

Extremely
motivated

Very
moti-
vated

Somewhat
motivated

Not too
moti-
vated

Not at all
motivated

No
opin-
ion

%

%

%

%

%

%

National adults

2006 Jun 23-25

44

27

19

5

5

*

2002 Oct 3-6

30

25

23

10

11

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

28

25

25

9

12

1

1998 Oct 23-25

28

23

26

10

12

1

1998 Oct 9-12

27

26

28

9

9

1

1998 Sep 23-24

31

30

22

8

8

1

Republicans

2006 Jun 23-25

44

30

19

5

*

1

2002 Oct 3-6

37

28

19

10

5

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

31

28

26

7

7

1

1998 Oct 23-25

36

31

20

7

5

1

1998 Oct 9-12

31

28

26

9

4

2

1998 Sep 23-24

40

33

17

4

5

1

Independents

2006 Jun 23-25

37

24

23

7

9

*

2002 Oct 3-6

22

25

25

10

17

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

20

23

24

11

20

2

1998 Oct 23-25

19

18

31

12

19

1

1998 Oct 9-12

22

26

28

10

14

*

1998 Sep 23-24

22

27

23

12

14

2

Democrats

2006 Jun 23-25

49

28

15

3

5

*

2002 Oct 3-6

31

24

25

9

10

1

1998 Oct 29-Nov 1

32

25

26

7

9

1

1998 Oct 23-25

33

23

27

8

8

1

1998 Oct 9-12

28

25

29

9

7

2

1998 Sep 23-25

32

30

25

7

5

1


Do you think the country would be better off if the Republicans controlled Congress, if the Democrats controlled Congress, or would the country be the same regardless of which party controlled Congress?


Republicans


Democrats

Same
regardless

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2006 Jun 23-25

18

32

48

3

2004 Mar 5-7

25

31

39

5

2002 Nov 8-10

28

22

47

3

2002 Oct 31-Nov 3

25

27

42

6

1998 Oct 23-25

24

22

48

6


When you vote for a candidate for the House of Representatives, which is more important to you -- [ROTATED: his or her ability to do things that help people in your congressional district (or) that you agree with his or her positions on major national issues]?

Ability to
help people
in district

Agree with
positions
on issues


Both
(vol.)


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Registered voters

2006 Jun 23-25

39

52

9

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

46

8

1

2002 Oct 3-6

38

53

5

3

2002 Apr 5-7

45

48

6

1

1994 Oct 22-25

50

39

10

1

1992 Apr 22-24

47

41

9

3

National adults

2006 Jun 23-25

39

51

8

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

45

8

2

2002 Oct 3-6

39

53

5

3

2002 Apr 5-7

45

48

5

2

1994 Oct 22-25

52

36

10

2

Likely voters

2002 Oct 3-6

35

58

6

1

1994 Oct 22-25

46

42

11

1


Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Bush, or more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Bush, or would that not make much difference to your vote?

Supports

Opposes

No difference

No opinion

Registered voters

2006 Jun 23-25

21%

39

40

*

National adults

2006 Jun 23-25

20%

40

40

*


Would you be much more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who [supports/opposes] President Bush, or just somewhat more likely?

[COMBINED RESPONSES]

2006 Jun 23-25

Registered
voters

National
adults

%

%

Much more likely to vote for candidate who supports Bush

14

14

Somewhat more likely to vote for candidate who supports Bush

7

6

Makes no difference

40

40

Somewhat more likely to vote for candidate who opposes Bush

16

16

Much more likely to vote for candidate who opposes Bush

23

24

No opinion

*

*


How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for Congress this year -- will it be -- extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Abortion

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2006 Jun 23-25

27

24

24

24

1

2006 Jan 6-8

27

25

25

21

1

2002 Sep 20-22

18

28

24

28

2

B. Corruption in government

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

49

36

12

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

43

38

15

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

36

15

3

1

C. The economy

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

45

40

13

2

1

2006 Jan 6-8

38

45

14

1

1

2005 Oct 21-23

43

41

15

1

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

37

44

17

2

*

2002 Aug 19-21 ^

34

44

17

3

2

^ WORDING: Economic conditions

D. Gas prices

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

41

32

19

8

*

2006 Jan 6-8

33

33

26

8

1

2005 Oct 21-23

41

29

22

8

*

E. Healthcare

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

44

36

17

3

*

2006 Jan 6-8

43

39

15

2

1

2005 Oct 21-23

42

37

18

3

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

35

39

22

4

*

^ Asked of a half sample

F. Immigration

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

33

32

23

11

1

2006 Jan 6-8

26

35

29

9

1

G. The situation in Iraq

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

55

34

8

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

45

40

11

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

44

37

13

4

2

H. Same-sex marriage

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

24

21

16

38

1

I. Social Security

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

39

37

21

4

*

2006 Jan 6-8

36

43

18

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

38

37

20

5

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

34

37

24

5

*

2002 Aug 19-21

34

36

21

7

2

^ Asked of a half sample

J. Taxes

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

33

36

26

5

*

2006 Jan 6-8

33

38

24

4

1

2005 Oct 21-23

35

38

23

3

1

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

27

33

32

7

1

^ Asked of a half sample

K. Terrorism

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

47

34

15

4

*

2006 Jan 6-8

45

35

16

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

32

19

4

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

47

36

13

3

1

^ Asked of a half sample

Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with each of the following issues and problems? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Abortion



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2006 Jun 23-25

33

48

12

7

B. Corruption in government



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

24%

44

26

6

C. The economy



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

35%

50

11

4

D. Gas prices



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

22%

52

19

7

E. Healthcare



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

25%

59

12

4

F. Immigration



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

38%

40

15

6

G. The situation in Iraq



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

37%

47

11

5

H. Same-sex marriage



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

34%

47

12

8

I. Social Security



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

28%

55

12

4

J. Taxes



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

36%

50

10

5

K. Terrorism



Republicans



Democrats

No
difference
(vol.)

No
opinion

2006 Jun 23-25

46%

35

15

4

Regardless of how you, yourself, plan to vote, which party do you think will win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the congressional elections this fall -- [ROTATED: The Republicans (or) the Democrats]?

Republicans

Democrats

No opinion

%

%

%

2006 Apr 28-30

39

52

9

1962 Sep 20-25

16

60

24

1958 Sep 10-15

12

67

22

1947 Oct 12-17

27

52

22

1946 Sep 27-Oct 2

63

37

--

1946 Jul 26-31

46

38

16

1946 Jun 28-Jul 3

45

35

20


How important will the issue of Iraq be to your vote for Congress this year -- will it be -- the most important issue, very important, but not the most important issue, moderately important, or not that important?

Most
important
issue

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

Registered voters

2006 Mar 10-12

18%

43

28

10

1

National adults

2006 Mar 10-12

18%

42

28

11

1

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