Gallup Poll Accuracy Record
|
Year |
Candidates |
Final |
Election |
Gallup |
|
% |
% |
% |
||
|
2008 |
Obama |
55.0 |
53.0 |
+2.0 |
|
McCain |
44.0 |
46.0 |
-2.0 |
|
|
2004 |
Bush |
49.0 |
50.7 |
-1.7 |
|
Kerry |
49.0 |
48.3 |
+0.7 |
|
|
2000 |
Bush |
48.0 |
47.9 |
0.1 |
|
Gore |
46.0 |
48.4 |
-2.4 |
|
|
Nader |
4.0 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
|
|
1996 |
Clinton |
52.0 |
49.2 |
+2.8 |
|
Dole |
41.0 |
40.7 |
0.3 |
|
|
Perot |
7.0 |
8.4 |
-1.4 |
|
|
1992 |
Clinton |
49.0 |
43.3 |
+5.7 |
|
Bush |
37.0 |
37.7 |
-0.7 |
|
|
Perot |
14.0 |
19.0 |
-5.0 |
|
|
1988 |
Bush |
56.0 |
53.0 |
+3.0 |
|
Dukakis |
44.0 |
46.1 |
-2.1 |
|
|
1984 |
Reagan |
59.0 |
59.2 |
-0.2 |
|
Mondale |
41.0 |
40.8 |
+0.2 |
|
|
1980 |
Reagan |
47.0 |
50.8 |
-3.8 |
|
Carter |
44.0 |
41.0 |
+3.0 |
|
|
Anderson |
8.0 |
6.6 |
+1.4 |
|
|
Other |
1.0 |
1.6 |
-0.6 |
|
|
1976 |
Carter |
48.0 |
50.1 |
-2.1 |
|
Ford |
49.0 |
48.1 |
+0.9 |
|
|
McCarthy |
2.0 |
0.9 |
+1.1 |
|
|
Other |
1.0 |
0.9 |
+0.1 |
|
|
1972 |
Nixon |
62.0 |
61.8 |
+0.2 |
|
McGovern |
38.0 |
38.2 |
-0.2 |
|
|
1968 |
Nixon |
43.0 |
43.5 |
-0.5 |
|
Humphrey |
42.0 |
42.9 |
-0.9 |
|
|
Wallace |
15.0 |
13.6 |
+1.4 |
|
|
1964 |
Johnson |
64.0 |
61.3 |
+2.7 |
|
Goldwater |
36.0 |
38.7 |
-2.7 |
|
|
1960 |
Kennedy |
50.5 |
50.1 |
+0.4 |
|
Nixon |
49.5 |
49.9 |
-0.4 |
|
|
1956 |
Eisenhower |
59.5 |
57.8 |
+1.7 |
|
Stevenson |
40.5 |
42.2 |
-1.7 |
|
|
1952 |
Eisenhower |
51.0 |
55.4 |
-4.4 |
|
Stevenson |
49.0 |
44.6 |
+4.4 |
|
|
1948 |
Truman |
44.5 |
49.5 |
-5.0 |
|
Dewey |
49.5 |
45.1 |
+4.4 |
|
|
Wallace |
4.0 |
2.4 |
+1.6 |
|
|
Thurmond |
2.0 |
2.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
1944 |
Roosevelt |
51.5 |
53.8 |
-2.3 |
|
Dewey |
48.5 |
46.2 |
+2.3 |
|
|
1940 |
Roosevelt |
52.0 |
55.0 |
-3.0 |
|
Willkie |
48.0 |
45.0 |
+3.0 |
|
|
1936 |
Roosevelt |
55.7 |
62.5 |
-6.8 |
|
Landon |
44.3 |
37.5 |
+6.8 |
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