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Government and Politics

Religion Remains Major Dividing Factor Among White Voters

Patterns are similar to 2004

September 5, 2008
John McCain’s lead over Barack Obama among highly religious white voters, currently 65% to 26%, has been quite stable all summer and has not yet changed with the selection of Sarah Palin as his vice-presidential running mate.More ...

Intense Political Week Brings Decline in Swing Voters

Uncommitted voters down from 30% to 21% in past week

September 4, 2008
Both Barack Obama and John McCain have gained an increased number of committed supporters after last week’s Democratic Convention and GOP vice-presidential announcement. Now, only 21% of voters can be considered swing voters, down from 30% the prior week.More ...

Notes on the Convention Whirlwind

September 3, 2008
We knew that this two-week period encompassing two conventions and two vice presidential announcements would be extraordinary. We didn’t know, of course, that there would be a hurricane thrown into the mix, along with unanticipated sidebar stories about the Republican vice presidential selection’s family and personal life.More ...

Will the Abortion Issue Help or Hurt McCain?

Women divide 50% pro-choice, 43% pro-life

September 3, 2008
While a slightly greater share of American women consider themselves “pro-choice” (50%) than “pro-life” (43%), few say the issue is critical to their vote.More ...

Obama Gains Overall, McCain Among GOP Women

McCain manages to increase support among women of his own party

September 3, 2008
Barack Obama has gained significant support among white men since the Democratic Convention, but his support level among white women has remained the same. The reason: Republican white women have slightly increased their support for McCain, offsetting Obama’s gains among independent and Democratic women.More ...

Republicans Still Face Enthusiasm Gap to Democrats

Slight increase in enthusiasm in past week

September 2, 2008
After an eventful week in the presidential campaign, 54% of voters say they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting, up from 48% a week prior, but lower than during the primaries earlier this year. Even with a steep decline, Democrats continue to express much greater enthusiasm than Republicans.More ...

Obama Gains Among Former Clinton Supporters

Obama gains on other dimensions, including terrorism and leadership

September 2, 2008
The Democratic convention appears to have helped solidify support for Barack Obama among former Hillary Clinton supporters, with the percent saying they will vote for Obama in November increasing from 70% pre-convention to 81% post-convention, and the percent who say they are certain to vote for Obama up from 47% to 65%.More ...

U.S. Education System Garners Split Reviews

Grade school earns best parent ratings

September 2, 2008
The majority of parents of school-aged children in the United States are generally satisfied with the quality of their children’s education; however, only 35% are “completely satisfied,” and parents of older children (attending grades 7-12) are even less satisfied.More ...

Can Sarah Palin Appeal to White, Female Independents?

Biggest gender gap is among those who are white and independent

August 29, 2008
If John McCain’s pick of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate was intended to sway female voters this fall, it appears the most vulnerable group could be white, independent women, who currently are split almost equally between the two presidential candidates.More ...

Obama Regains Support of Conservative Democrats

No disproportionate increase in support among women

August 29, 2008
Barack Obama’s gain in support among registered voters from Monday to Wednesday of this week was in part due to gains among conservative Democrats -- the group among whom the Democratic nominee had lost ground last week as he slipped to an overall tie with John McCain.More ...
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