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Independents

Election Lifts Economic Spirits for Democrats, Independents

More likely since election to say economic conditions are “getting better”

November 11, 2008
Democrats and independents have become significantly more positive about the direction of the economy after the Nov. 4 election, while economic optimism among Republicans -- which used to be significantly higher than optimism among independents or Democrats -- has dropped.More ...

Life Satisfaction Predicts Voter Preferences

Satisfied Republicans Prefer McCain; Optimistic Democrats Prefer Obama

November 1, 2008
Republicans who are more satisfied with their current lives more strongly prefer McCain in the presidential election. The preferences of Democrats have more to do with their expectations about their future lives. Those who expect to be more satisfied in the future more strongly prefer Obama.More ...

Recent Obama Surge Evident Among Men, Less Educated

Independents have also swung strongly in Obama’s direction

October 16, 2008
Since mid-September, registered voters’ presidential preferences have swung by 12 points, from a 2-point lead for John McCain to a 10-point lead for Barack Obama in the latest weekly aggregate. Obama’s gains are evident among men, voters with less formal education, and independents.More ...

Third-Party Candidates Receiving Only Minimal Support

Nader is tops with 2% of the vote

October 10, 2008
A recent Gallup Poll in which four third-party candidates were explicitly listed for voters along with the two major-party candidates found only minimal support for any candidate other than John McCain or Barack Obama.More ...

Public Divided on Need for Third Party

Republicans, Democrats think major parties adequately represent Americans

September 26, 2008
The public is evenly divided as to whether the two major parties do an adequate job of representing the American people (47%) or whether a third major party is needed (47%). That is a shift from 2007, when a majority saw the need for a third party.More ...

Obama's Voters More Negative on Economy Than McCain's

Obama’s voters mostly perceive grave problems; McCain’s more upbeat

September 18, 2008
Most Obama voters (73%), contrasted with less than half of McCain voters (45%), believe the economy is in either a “recession” or a “depression.” Americans are remarkably upbeat, however, on what the economy will look like a year from now.More ...

Intense Political Week Brings Decline in Swing Voters

Uncommitted voters down from 30% to 21% in past week

September 4, 2008
Both Barack Obama and John McCain have gained an increased number of committed supporters after last week’s Democratic Convention and GOP vice-presidential announcement. Now, only 21% of voters can be considered swing voters, down from 30% the prior week.More ...
Palin’s Possible Impact

Palin’s Possible Impact

August 29, 2008
The Palin pick may help John McCain close the gap in support with Barack Obama among white, female independents.

Independents Remain Split Between Obama and McCain

Overall, the race expanded slightly, then contracted in recent weeks

August 6, 2008
Demographic voting patterns in the race for president have been largely stable since June. Most notably, the candidates have been, and remain, nearly tied among independents: McCain is at 43%, and Obama at 40%.More ...
Inside the Swing Vote

Inside the Swing Vote

June 30, 2008
Independents, conservatives, moderates, and voters aged 30 and older are among the most likely to say they are currently undecided about who they will vote for or could still change their mind.
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