March 26, 2008

Gallup Daily: Obama 47%, Clinton 46%

McCain remains tied with Obama, Clinton

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton remain in a statistical tie in the preferences of national Democratic voters, with Obama at 47% support and Clinton at 46%.

Today's results are based on interviews conducted March 22 and March 24-25, with no interviews conducted Easter Sunday, March 23.

After the changes that occurred over the last two weeks spanning the Rev. Jeremiah Wright controversy, the Democratic race appears to have settled down, at least for the time being. Clinton's share of Democratic preferences has been either 45% or 46% for the last four Gallup Poll Daily tracking reports, while Obama's share has been either 47% or 48%. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)

Voters' preferences in two hypothetical November general election matchups are also very stable. In separate trial heats for president, John McCain has a two percentage point lead over both Obama and Clinton. -- Frank Newport

Survey Methods

Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general election results are based on combined data from March 20-22 and March 24-25, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,433 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 22 and March 24-25, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,241 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

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Gallup Poll: Election 2008
Click here for Gallup's complete coverage of Election 2008, including up-to-the-minute reports, our editors' blog, and key indicators to watch.
Gallup Poll: Election 2008

Global Migration Patterns
and Job Creation

Gallup's World Poll reveals new findings on the "great global dream" and how it will affect the rise of the next economic empire. Jim Clifton, Gallup's chairman and CEO, offers an in-depth analysis of the study's implications for leaders. Read the article or download the pdf.

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