Key State Breakdown

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

Based on National Adults

Approve	Disapprove	No opinion
	%	%	%

*Bush (Red) States*
2004 Oct 29-31	59	36	5
2004 Oct 22-24	59	38	3
2004 Oct 14-16	64	34	2
2004 Oct 11-14	55	42	3
2004 Oct 9-10	54	43	3
2004 Oct 1-3	58	40	2
2004 Sep 24-26	62	35	3
2004 Sep 13-15	56	39	5
2004 Sep 3-5	57	41	2
2004 Aug 23-25	57	38	5
2004 Aug 9-11	63	34	3
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	54	43	3
2004 Jul 19-21	57	37	6
2004 Jul 8-11	54	42	4
2004 Jun 21-23	54	42	4
2004 Jun 3-6	53	45	2
2004 May 21-23	53	42	5
2004 May 7-9	50	47	3
2004 May 2-4	54	42	4
2004 Apr 16-18	63	35	2
2004 Apr 5-8	62	35	3
2004 Mar 26-28	55	42	3
2004 Mar 5-7	54	41	5
2004 Feb 16-17	61	37	2
2004 Feb 6-8	55	42	3
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1	57	41	2
2004 Jan 9-11	68	28	4
2004 Jan 2-5	66	31	3

*Gore (Blue) States*
2004 Oct 29-31	41	55	4
2004 Oct 22-24	46	51	3
2004 Oct 14-16	41	58	1
2004 Oct 11-14	42	56	2
2004 Oct 9-10	44	52	4
2004 Oct 1-3	43	56	1
2004 Sep 24-26	47	52	1
2004 Sep 13-15	45	53	2
2004 Sep 3-5	46	50	4
2004 Aug 23-25	41	56	3
2004 Aug 9-11	42	55	3
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	39	57	4
2004 Jul 19-21	39	59	2
2004 Jul 8-11	42	57	1
2004 Jun 21-23	42	56	2
2004 Jun 3-6	44	54	2
2004 May 21-23	40	56	4
2004 May 7-9	41	56	3
2004 May 2-4	44	53	3
2004 Apr 16-18	43	54	3
2004 Apr 5-8	41	58	1
2004 Mar 26-28	48	49	3
2004 Mar 5-7	45	53	2
2004 Feb 16-17	45	51	4
2004 Feb 6-8	47	49	4
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1	46	53	1
2004 Jan 9-11	51	47	2
2004 Jan 2-5	55	38	7

*Up For Grab States*
2004 Oct 29-31	43	52	5
2004 Oct 22-24	46	51	3
2004 Oct 14-16	48	50	2
2004 Oct 11-14	48	48	4
2004 Oct 9-10	44	52	4
2004 Oct 1-3	48	50	2
2004 Sep 24-26	50	48	2
2004 Sep 13-15	52	44	4
2004 Sep 3-5	50	49	1
2004 Aug 23-25	49	49	2
2004 Aug 9-11	46	49	5
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	48	48	4
2004 Jul 19-21	49	48	3
2004 Jul 8-11	45	50	5
2004 Jun 21-23	45	51	4
2004 Jun 3-6	49	49	2
2004 May 21-23	46	51	3
2004 May 7-9	47	51	2
2004 May 2-4	47	51	2
2004 Apr 16-18	47	48	5
2004 Apr 5-8	51	45	4
2004 Mar 26-28	54	44	2
2004 Mar 5-7	47	51	2
2004 Feb 16-17	46	52	2
2004 Feb 6-8	53	42	5
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1	44	52	4
2004 Jan 9-11	57	40	3
2004 Jan 2-5	59	37	4

If Massachusetts Senator John Kerry were the Democratic Party's candidate and George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for – [ROTATED: John Kerry, the Democrat (or) George W. Bush, the Republican]?

As of today, do you lean more toward – [ROTATED: Kerry, the Democrat (or) Bush, the Republican]?

Based on Registered Voters

	Kerry	Bush	Neither (vol.)	Other (vol.)	No opinion
	%	%	%	%	%
*Bush (Red) States*
2004 Oct 29-31	39	58	*	*	3
2004 Oct 22-24	40	57	*	*	3
2004 Oct 14-16	34	62	2	--	2
2004 Oct 9-10	41	55	2	--	2
2004 Oct 1-3	38	60	*	1	1
2004 Sep 24-26	34	62	2	--	2
2004 Sep 13-15	39	56	2	*	3
2004 Sep 3-5	42	55	2	*	1
2004 Aug 23-25	41	55	2	--	2
2004 Aug 9-11	39	58	1	*	3
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	41	55	1	--	3
2004 Jul 19-21	41	54	1	--	4
2004 Jul 8-11	45	50	1	*	4
2004 Jun 21-23	43	51	2	1	3
2004 Jun 3-6	44	48	3	*	5
2004 May 21-23	43	51	1	1	4
2004 May 7-9	48	46	4	*	2
2004 May 2-4	41	54	2	1	3
2004 Apr 16-18	35	61	2	*	2
2004 Apr 5-8	41	53	*	2	4
2004 Mar 26-28	40	53	3	*	4
2004 Mar 5-7	45	52	1	*	2
2004 Feb 16-17	39	58	2	--	1
2004 Feb 6-8	44	54	*	--	2
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1	41	56	2	--	1
2004 Jan 9-11	32	66	1	--	1

*Gore (Blue) States*
2004 Oct 29-31	55	39	1	*	5
2004 Oct 22-24	53	44	1	--	2
2004 Oct 14-16	59	38	*	*	3
2004 Oct 9-10	53	44	1	--	2
2004 Oct 1-3	55	41	3	--	1
2004 Sep 24-26	49	49	1	--	1
2004 Sep 13-15	52	44	1	1	3
2004 Sep 3-5	52	45	2	*	1
2004 Aug 23-25	57	39	1	--	3
2004 Aug 9-11	56	40	1	*	3
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	58	39	1	*	2
2004 Jul 19-21	59	36	3	--	2
2004 Jul 8-11	58	39	2	*	1
2004 Jun 21-23	53	39	5	1	2
2004 Jun 3-6	57	37	3	*	3
2004 May 21-23	55	38	4	--	3
2004 May 7-9	58	35	3	1	3
2004 May 2-4	52	43	2	1	2
2004 Apr 16-18	57	40	1	*	2
2004 Apr 5-8	57	35	5	*	3
2004 Mar 26-28	57	40	1	*	2
2004 Mar 5-7	57	39	3	--	1
2004 Feb 16-17	57	39	2	*	2
2004 Feb 6-8	57	39	2	--	2
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1	53	42	1	--	4
2004 Jan 9-11	46	50	3	--	1

*Up For Grab States*
2004 Oct 29-31	52	42	1	1	4
2004 Oct 22-24	49	47	2	*	2
2004 Oct 14-16	47	47	1	--	5
2004 Oct 9-10	50	45	2	1	3
2004 Oct 1-3	51	46	2	1	*
2004 Sep 24-26	43	50	3	--	4
2004 Sep 13-15	43	54	2	--	1
2004 Sep 3-5	50	45	3	*	2
2004 Aug 23-25	47	46	4	--	3
2004 Aug 9-11	47	45	3	2	3
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	49	48	1	*	2
2004 Jul 19-21	48	44	4	*	4
2004 Jul 8-11	51	41	4	*	4
2004 Jun 21-23	53	44	1	--	2
2004 Jun 3-6	49	44	3	*	4
2004 May 21-23	50	45	2	*	3
2004 May 7-9	46	48	3	--	3
2004 May 2-4	49	45	2	*	4
2004 Apr 16-18	48	47	4	*	1
2004 Apr 5-8	47	47	4	*	2
2004 Mar 26-28	42	52	3	*	3
2004 Mar 5-7	50	43	4	*	3
2004 Feb 16-17	57	40	2	--	1
2004 Feb 6-8	47	49	1	--	3
2004 Jan 29-Feb 1	57	39	1	--	3
2004 Jan 9-11	43	53	2	--	2

Now suppose Ralph Nader runs as an independent candidate, who would you be most likely to vote for-- [ROTATED: Kerry, the Democrat, Bush, the Republican,(or) Nader, the independent]?

As of today, do you lean more toward -- [ROTATED: Kerry, the Democrat, Bush, the Republican,(or) Nader, the independent]?

Based on Registered Voters

	Kerry	Bush	Nader	None (vol.)	Other (vol.)	No opinion

*Bush (Red) States*
2004 Oct 29-31	39	57	1	*	*	3
2004 Oct 22-24	39	56	2	*	*	3
2004 Oct 14-16	33	62	2	1	--	2
2004 Oct 9-10	41	54	2	1	--	2
2004 Oct 1-3	38	58	2	1	*	1
2004 Sep 24-26	34	61	2	1	--	2
2004 Sep 3-5	40	54	4	1	*	1
2004 Aug 23-25	40	53	3	1	--	3
2004 Aug 9-11	37	55	5	1	--	2
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	40	55	2	1	--	2
2004 Jul 19-21	40	51	3	1	*	5
2004 Jul 8-11	44	49	2	1	*	4
2004 Jun 21-23	42	48	5	1	1	3
2004 Jun 3-6	41	47	7	1	1	3
2004 May 21-23	42	48	5	2	*	3
2004 May 7-9	42	45	7	3	*	3
2004 May 2-4	39	51	7	1	1	1
2004 Apr 16-18	34	58	5	*	--	3
2004 Apr 5-8	40	52	4	*	*	4
2004 Mar 26-28	39	51	6	--	--	4
2004 Mar 5-7	42	53	3	*	1	1

*Gore (Blue) States*
2004 Oct 29-31	54	39	1	1	*	4
2004 Oct 22-24	53	44	*	1	--	2
2004 Oct 14-16	58	38	1	*	--	3
2004 Oct 9-10	52	43	2	1	--	2
2004 Oct 1-3	54	41	3	--	1	1
2004 Sep 24-26	49	47	3	*	--	1
2004 Sep 3-5	49	45	4	*	--	2
2004 Aug 23-25	55	37	5	1	--	2
2004 Aug 9-11	53	37	6	*	--	4
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	56	39	2	1	--	2
2004 Jul 19-21	55	34	8	1	--	2
2004 Jul 8-11	59	37	2	1	*	1
2004 Jun 21-23	51	39	7	1	*	2
2004 Jun 3-6	51	36	8	2	--	3
2004 May 21-23	54	37	4	2	1	2
2004 May 7-9	53	35	8	2	*	2
2004 May 2-4	48	42	5	1	1	3
2004 Apr 16-18	56	38	4	--	--	2
2004 Apr 5-8	56	33	5	4	*	2
2004 Mar 26-28	52	39	5	1	--	3
2004 Mar 5-7	54	39	5	--	--	2

*Up For Grab States*
2004 Oct 29-31	51	42	2	1	1	3
2004 Oct 22-24	49	46	1	2	*	2
2004 Oct 14-16	46	46	2	1	--	5
2004 Oct 9-10	48	45	2	1	1	3
2004 Oct 1-3	50	45	2	1	1	1
2004 Sep 24-26	44	49	4	2	--	1
2004 Sep 3-5	50	45	3	1	--	1
2004 Aug 23-25	45	46	4	2	--	3
2004 Aug 9-11	46	44	4	2	1	3
2004 Jul 30-Aug 1	48	46	4	1	*	1
2004 Jul 19-21	49	43	3	2	*	3
2004 Jul 8-11	49	39	7	1	*	4
2004 Jun 21-23	48	45	5	*	*	2
2004 Jun 3-6	45	43	7	1	1	3
2004 May 21-23	44	44	7	2	1	2
2004 May 7-9	44	44	6	3	--	3
2004 May 2-4	46	43	7	1	*	3
2004 Apr 16-18	45	43	6	2	1	3
2004 Apr 5-8	44	46	5	2	1	2
2004 Mar 26-28	41	51	4	2	--	2
2004 Mar 5-7	47	40	6	2	1	4

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Key State Breakdown

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