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Polling, Likely Voters, and the Law of the Commons

As our tradition has been in presidential election years, Gallup's focus this year was on producing an estimate of the national popular vote. We don't "predict" the election, nor do we make estimates of the Electoral College. In the end, ...

The Thorny Challenge of Defining Evangelicals

Survey researchers face the difficult challenge of meaningfully defining and measuring evangelicals in the U.S. today.

As Senate Trial Begins, 44% Approve of Trump

President Donald Trump's job approval rating is holding steady at 44% as the Senate impeachment trial begins.

Obama's Approval Edge Among Women Holds Generally Constant

Karen Tumulty's interesting story on The Washington Post's website Thursday highlighted the fact that President Barack Obama is losing the confidence of key parts of the coalition that elected him. The story reports the changes in Obama's job ...

U.S. Leadership Has an Image Problem. Should We Care?

Gallup's report on the approval of U.S. leadership shows that the image of the U.S. remains low. But should we care what the world thinks of the U.S.?

Gallup Decade in Review: 2010-2019

Gallup findings over the past decade reveal that the years from 2010 to 2019 encompassed some revolutionary changes in public opinion.

Trump Approval Lower Than U.S. Mood Might Predict

An analysis of the relationships between presidential job approval and ratings of the economy and U.S. direction predict that Donald Trump's approval rating should be 47% to 54%, not the current 38%.

3 Key Issues Facing Nigerians Ahead of Their Election

Gallup surveys ahead of Nigeria's election on Saturday shed light on key issues that will likely be on voters' minds as they elect their next president.

Americans' Social Distancing Habits Have Tapered Since July

Americans' likelihood to avoid contact with others outside their household dropped to new lows as 53% say they have avoided public places in the week before the survey, and 45% have stayed away from small gatherings during that time.

Democratic, Republican Identification Near Historical Lows

Independents (42%) continue to greatly outnumber self-identified Democrats (29%) and Republicans (26%) in the U.S. The percentage of Democrats is at a historical low, while Republican identification is slightly above its recent low.