Amazon

The Careers of the Future Index is a weighted average of occupation-level data on income, job growth, job vacancies per unemployed worker and resistance to automation. Gallup drew upon several sources to construct these metrics. Income and job growth data were compiled from the 2021 and 2010 U.S. Census Bureau (via IPUMS USA). These data were also used to calculate the number of unemployed workers, and provide contextual data on the educational attainment, racial and gender demographics of workers in each occupation/career. Lightcast (formerly Burning Glass) was the source for job vacancies by occupation, using data from June 2021 to May 2022. The resistance to automation index is a summary measure of the level and importance of non-automatable tasks to each occupation. It was constructed using data from the 2019 Gallup Great Jobs Survey and O*NET data on the tasks performed by each occupation. These sources allowed the authors to create a measure of how likely workers in each occupation are to believe that their job could be automated or replaced by a machine or robot. Starting with 24 tasks that were identified in the scientific literature as relevant to automation, Gallup estimated how well the level and importance of each task predicts automation risk. The strength of the statistical relationship between each task and automation risk is then used as a weight to calculate the mean important/level of automatable and non-automatable tasks for each occupation. See the report’s appendix for details.