March 25, 2008

Gallup Daily: Obama and Clinton Remain Nearly Tied

General election looks too close to call for now

PRINCETON, NJ -- For the fourth consecutive Gallup Poll Daily tracking report Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are nearly tied in the preferences of national Democratic voters, earning 47% and 45% of the vote, respectively.

Today's results are based on interviews conducted March 21-22 and March 24, with no interviews conducted Easter Sunday, March 23.

While the Democrats' battle for delegates continues to be fought on a state-by-state basis, the national preferences of Democratic voters could be an important factor in whom the superdelegates to the Democratic National Convention this summer choose to support, and thus in the outcome of the race. At the moment, neither Obama nor Clinton has a significant edge. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)

For now, the November general election looks just as competitive as the Democratic nomination battle has become. In separate trial heats for president, John McCain's lead over both Democrats has narrowed to one percentage point. -- Lydia Saad

Survey Methods

Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general election results are based on combined data from March 19-22 and March 24, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,399 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from March 21-22 and March 24, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,280 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

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Gallup Poll: Election 2008
Click here for Gallup's complete coverage of Election 2008, including up-to-the-minute reports, our editors' blog, and key indicators to watch.
Gallup Poll: Election 2008

Global Migration Patterns
and Job Creation

Gallup's World Poll reveals new findings on the "great global dream" and how it will affect the rise of the next economic empire. Jim Clifton, Gallup's chairman and CEO, offers an in-depth analysis of the study's implications for leaders. Read the article or download the pdf.

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